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2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!

We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:

1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.

2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.

3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.

We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..

Monday December 28, 2009

Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)

Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)

Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)

Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)

Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)

Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)

Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)

Friday January 1, 2010

Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)

Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)

Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)

Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)

Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)

Saturday, January 2, 2010

International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)

Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)

Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)

Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)

Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)

Monday January 4, 2010

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!

Thursday, January 7, 2010

BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!

Week 14 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Elin Nordegren is about to be $300 Million Richer, We Help Her Bet NCAA Football

What an amazing week in sports with the whole Tiger Woods fiasco. Looks like this guy got more poon than a porn set. To quote Chris Rock, “A man is only as faithful as his options!” Man does that hold true with this story. Elin is better looking than the string of infidels that Tiger bedded. Check her out:

The $300 million bikini

We also hope that the rumors of her beating his ass are true because we are hoping she overtakes Tawny Kitaen as our favorite athlete beater. Chuck Finley could finally get some rest!!! Well it will come as no surprise that we are dedicating this post to Tiger, Elin and his gaggle of ho-bags and we will of course pick some winning NCAA football games. We are not in love with our record this season but for all of our fans you know this has been our best season on record so we will take it. We hope we made you some killer coin on the season. RPJ $yndicate’s record on the season is 92-78-3 and we are going to make some more money this weekend.

Friday, December 4, 2009

Ohio at Central Michigan (-13) - Just wanted to point something out in case you have not been loyal followers of our picks. Central Michigan is the #2 cover team in the entire nation at 9-2 ATS. Dan LeFevour is one of the best players in the country. The Fever has the following stats: 71% completion, 2,787 passing yards, 25 TDs to 5 INTs, 652 yards rushing at 4 yards per rush and 14 rushing TDs. Yes, he is responsible for 39 TDs on the season. Tim Tebow on the other hand is only responsible for 20 TDs, Suck on that Tebow bible pounders. Just to show that we are not total homers and willing to break away from our man crush, Central Michigan has a far superior offense in general and we do not think Ohio will be able to keep up. The Chips run for more than 55 yards more per game, more than a full yard per rush, pass for more yards, convert offensive third downs 17% better (50% vs. 33%) and on defense The Chips are better against the run and about even against the pass. Chips win the game. We are not going to mess with a good thing. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Ohio

• Bobcats are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bobcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

• Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Chippewas are 25-7-2 ATS in their last 34 conference games.
• Chippewas are 25-8-2 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
• Chippewas are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 39-15-3 ATS in their last 57 games overall.
• Chippewas are 23-9-2 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS win.
• Chippewas are 25-10-2 ATS in their last 37 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Rachel Uchitel "My legs may be crossed now but I am simply waiting for some Tiger meat!!!"

Saturday, December 5, 2009

The Yes we are Actually Betting These Retarded Games - If you have followed out impressive winning streak session, you know that we pull some of the games right out of our arses. We do not tell you why we are betting them nor do we give you any insight and more times than not these games hit for big wins. Here are our idiotic games of the week.

The sweet smell of money!!!

Kalika Moquin "I may be Miss Butterface but Tiger loved it when I smeared my butter on his driver for good luck"

Jaimee Grubbs "I spent all my free time on Tiger's Tool (academy)"

• Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
• Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
• Gators are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 20-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Gators are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Gators are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Gators are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
• Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Gators are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Hey Tiger, I own you now. No literally, I own you. My poon is now worth $300 million and you are not getting any of it! Dumb Ass!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: We have more picks than teen girls at a Twilight: New Moon premiere

This week is unprecedented in RPJ history. We have a ridiculous amount of picks coming at you. We are never happy to pump out this many picks but we can not let the opportunity pass us by. This is a fantastic weekend to be a NCAA football bettor. Since we have so many picks we are not going to provide you with our normal banter and detailed analysis. We do not have the time and we know you want to get your bets out there. If you want detail, please click on our matchup tool analysis section of our website so you can get all of the info you need. If you have no idea what we are talking about then click here: RPJ Syndicate Match up tool. On with the picks…

Saturday, November 21, 2009

So here is the deal. We apologize for the lack of detail but we are encouraging you to use our tools. Just click the matchup tool link in the above paragraph. This week simply was the vortex of gambling gods coming together to screw with our heads. We literally only disagreed on two games and are passing on only 20+ games because we did not see any advantage in the games. So in short, we have a lot of games that simply met all of our models. This is unprecedented territory and we are ready to rock and roll and load up this weekend. In order to process this many games we are breaking them down by conference and will only provide detailed info on the Notre Dame game because it is an awesome display of how the public is a bunch of suckers for the Irish.

MAC Picks

Kent State at Temple (-10.5) - We are taking Temple

Sun Belt Picks

UL Monroe (-3.5) at UL Lafayette - We are taking UL-Monroe

Conference USA Picks

Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (-8) - We are taking Southern Miss

WAC Picks

Hawaii (-3) at San Jose State - We are taking Hawaii

Nevada (-30) at New Mexico State - We are taking Nevada

Mountain West

TCU (-31) at Wyoming - We are taking TCU

ACC Picks

North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5) - We are taking UNC. Might throw some Moneyline cash on it.

Duke at Miami (-19.5) - We are taking Miami

Virginia at Clemson (-21) - We are taking Clemson

Big Ten Picks

Penn State (-3) at Michigan State - We are taking Penn State

Big 12 Picks

Oklahoma (-6.5) at Texas Tech - We are taking Oklahoma

Kansas at Texas (-27.5) - We are taking Texas

Baylor at Texas A&M (-5) - We are taking Texas A&M

Pac-10 Picks

Oregon State (-31) at Washington State - We are taking Oregon State

California at Stanford (-8) - We are taking Cal

SEC Picks

Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-16.5) - We are taking Tennessee

LSU at Mississippi (-4) - We are taking Ole Miss

Obligatory make fun of Notre Dame Pick

UCONN at Notre Dame (-6) - We are taking UCONN. We love games like this. Notre Dame opened as 7 point favorites and the line dropped to Notre Dame -6. The line dropped a full point with the public hammering Notre Dame to the tune of 81% of the money going on the Irish. When lines drop like this with all of the money going against the line drop we love to load up against the public. UCONN is a team of destiny this season. They are playing every game for their fallen teammate. UCONN might not win this game but they play damn hard all the time. Notre Dame is a mess and on the verge of quitting on the season. UCONN will be fired up this week just like Stanford will be fired up later in the season to take out the Irish. We do not think Notre Dame has any fight left in them. They lost to Navy and then Pitt and might not win another game this year. People are calling for Charlie Weis’ head and it is definitely becoming a distraction. No contest here.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: Go with the flow: Chicks and Picks part 2!

We were a solid 6-3-1 last weekend and we are now 53-49-2 on the season. We have a ridiculous amount of picks this week. We are excited for all of the freaks that will be out at NCAA games this weekend. Halloween night at Autzen might be the most insane place on earth Saturday night. We can not wait. We are back mentioning our clean sweep strategy. What this means is we have numerous stats that we look at that impacts a team’s ability to control the ball on both sides of the ball. Based on our historical analysis of this aspect of our betting algorithms, these clean sweep games provide tremendous opportunities to win bets.

Friday, October 30, 2009

West Virginia (-3) at South Florida - Love love love kicking off the week with this game. South Florida has come back to earth. For the third consecutive season, an undefeated, nationally ranked USF team has fallen off its perch and into a mid-year skid. West Virginia is winning. Why is this line where it is? This should be a 7-10 point line. This line opened at -3 and has creeped up to -3.5 in some places. Majority of the money is on West Virginia and that has us slightly nervous. We think this is an easy bet to kick off the week. No ATS numbers to speak of but check this out. We have a virtual clean sweep. West Virginia is better rushing the ball, yards per rush, offensive 3rd down conversion percentage, stopping the run (total yards and yards per rush) and defensive 3rd down percentage. We love these types of games. West Virginia wins and covers easily!

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Rutgers at UCONN (-7) - UCONN remains the best cover team in the country with a record of 7-0 ATS. Betting can be simple and who are we to say UCONN breaks their streak. When you combine this with the fact that Rutgers is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 against UCONN, you start to get excited. Start your Halloween off right and bet UCONN. UCONN wins and covers!!!

Cincinnati (-15) at Syracuse - This game should be haunted house frightening. Cincy is a beast right now and this game meets a lot of our clean sweep requirements. This will make you feel a lot better. Cincy rushes for more yards and at a better yards per rush basis; they control the clock better on offense; are significantly tighter against the run and protect the QB a lot better. Tony Pike is not going to play but Collaros has filled in just fine. We are betting Cincy to win and cover!

Cincinnati

• Bearcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

• Orange are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
• Orange are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
• Orange are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

SMU at Tulsa (-16) - This should be one of the biggest ass kickings of the weekend. SMU QB Bo Levi Mitchell got knocked out of last week’s game and remains questionable for this week. The Boise State beating hangover should finally be gone for Tulsa. UTEP took advantage last week. Tulsa plays great at home and Coach Graham’s teams always finish strong. When you look at the stats side by side, this is where it should get ugly for SMU fans. Tulsa rushes for 60 yards more per game, converts third downs 12% better (37% vs. 25%), SMU gives up 175 yards rushing per game (120 for Tulsa) and 4.49 yards per rush. SMU’s defense also gives up third downs 43% of the time (36% for Tulsa). These numbers are ugly. Tulsa dishes out another Golden Hurricane!! Tulsa wins and covers big!

NC State at FSU -8: If you followed us all season, you know we have loved NC State and their QB. You would also know that we like ganing up on FSU and Bobby Bowden. This week, however, we think FSU takes it. The ATS numbers are pretty god for FSU, but that is not why we like them. We like them mosltly because they are playing inspired football ever since Bowden came under fire. We think they will be up for this game and ready to roll. Plus, FSU just has much, much more talent than NC State does. Take the Seminoles and give the points.

Ole Miss at Auburn +4.5: This is a HUGE game for both teams. Both teams need this winn to save some credibility for their seasons and to keep Bowl chances alive. We have always thought both team are overrated. The Rebels have been hit-or-miss all season, and Jevon Snead does not look like the QB he was last year. The edge in this game, despite being on the road, goes to the Rebels. Chizik is not a good coach and Snead can get the win on the road. We love that Vegas is giving Auburn no respect at home. Take the Rebels and give the points.

Georgia (+15) neutral location versus Florida - Does Florida look right to anybody out there? The Florida defense looks good but not dominating. Tim Tebow looks terrible since his concussion. Florida’s offense is not dynamic enough, is relying too much on a not right Tebow and is not focused on getting the ball in the playmakers’ hands. Something is not right with the Gators. Florida is coming off two less than inspiring efforts and Georgia righted the ship last week with a solid and needed win at Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs are still a bit miffed at the Florida coach for calling two timeouts in the final minute of last year’s 49-10 blowout, a ploy that Meyer described — apparently with his tongue firmly planted in his cheek — as merely a way to get a few extra carries for a little-used running back.  The picture of Urban Meyer calling a timeout hangs all over Georgia’s training facility. The Bulldogs get to see it when they’re changing into their uniforms, when they’re lifting weights, when they’re heading off to meetings. Not sure Georgia has the horses to win this game outright but the combination of revenge and Florida sucking of late has on on the side of the Dawgs. We are betting Georgia to cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

Penn State (-17) at Northwestern - This is another clean sweep game and a blatant one at that. Not even worth going into how inferior this Northwestern team is. Penn State is on a roll. 4 straight wins, 4 straight blowout wins and 4 straight covers. Northwestern is spotty at best. 17 points is a lot but expect a better performance than the Michigan performance last week and that was 35-10 on the road. Penn State wins and covers!!

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Nittany Lions are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games in October.
• Nittany Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win

• Wildcats are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a S.U. win.
• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Yellow Jackets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Yellow Jackets are 8-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite

Vanderbilt

• Commodores are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Commodores are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Eastern Michigan at Arkansas -34.5: We are calling this the Bigfoot Bowl becuase it is so very rare that a SEC team schedules an out of conference cupcake team at home, it is like seeing Bigfoot. NOT!! The SEC is comical and the pollsters should be pounding the Razorbacks (and every other SEC team) for these types of games. That said, we know why these games happen and we are going to take advantage and win some scratch for us. Petrino will have no problem running up the score in this game. It will not be close. Take the Razorbacks and give the points.

USC (-4) at Oregon - This is the game of the week and one of the biggest games in the history of Oregon football. The nation will probably not give a crap but consider this…. USC is a top 5 BCS team so a win on the road against a top ten team elevates them against the one loss teams and the no loss teams. If Oregon wins, they will certainly jump into the mix for top 5 BCS standings. We all know that November is a mess for BCS leaders and any upset is possible. Whichever of these teams wins out, if they win out, will have an edge over the Bama/Florida loser if both pay undefeated and will have the edge over every one loss team. Now onto the game, which is what we are here to do. USC is 2-4 straight up in Oregon in their last 6. Forget the spread, Autzen is brutal. If you have never been there you just do not get it. It has the smallest space in all of NCAA football in terms of fans from the field. Fans are literally vertical straight up from the outline of the field. Now add the freak show that is the Eugene Oregon hippies and this is going to be an amazing scene in terms of freaks and noise. Regardless of USC’s record the last few years, they have struggled the last three seasons in the BCS and are only covering 35% of the time. Now we know Barkley won in South Bend and Columbus, but this is another animal. Sorry Golden Homers and Horseshoers, Autzen is a special animal. Mark Sanchez choked there two years ago filling in for the injured Booty. USC contained Dixon but could not make up for Sanchez’s mistakes. We love betting teams we think will win straight up when they are underdogs and Oregon is that animal this week. You know we are USC homers but we love making money as well. Oregon is a no brainer this week. Take Oregon to cover!

USC

• Trojans are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Picks, Chicks and a Salute to Texas RPJ $tyle!

We are 39-39-1 heading into the weekend while waiting for the outcome of the PITT/Rutgers game. So far we are 1-1 on the week. We are very, very afraid this week because we love a ton of games. We usually end up with 3-8 games but this week we are unleashing the fury Mitch!!! When these weeks come, when all of our models and opinions sync up, we hammer the games. This week we are going to discuss some of the marquee matchups and then sling picks for the obvious games. Enjoy the picks. May your wallets be stuffed, your beer fridge full and your girl’s face on your (insert noun here)! It is Red River rivalry and USC/Notre Dame week. We are fired up.

These teams do not need any detailed analysis Games: These picks are pretty straight forward and are set up as either a good team versus a bad team or a bad team versus a horrific team. We are not going to go into detailed analysis to save our carpel tunnel syndrome. Feel free to use our website and our free matchup tools. Click here to stroll through our free data! Just click on this link, find the game you want to analyze and click away on the matchup, supergrid and or preview functions. There is tons of free data for you to use on your own. Bodog has been an awesome partner for us and if you like our picks, which you should of late, help us out by clicking on one of the banner advertisements to sign up for a Bodog account and to get free money.

Kent State at E. Michigan (+6.5) - Give us some credit, you have to respect anyone that is going to drop any sort of knowledge on a Kent State-EMU game!!!! Sometimes we just make it easy for you. Eastern Michigan is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country, sitting at 1-4 ATS and 0-5 on the season. So do not be deceived that Eastern Michigan almost beat Northwestern. Other than that, they have been pounded by the likes of Army and Temple to name a few of the teams they lost to. They also lost to Michigan and Central Michigan but that was expected. We expect Kent State to rebound from the horrible loss to Bowling Green last week. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven. We are betting Kent State to win and cover!!!

Hawaii at Idaho (-8) - Do you know who the best cover team is in the country right now? We do and it is the Idaho Vandals. Idaho is 5-1 overall and 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came at Washington and this team actually won at Northern Illinois and Colorado State. Very impressive. Who are we to bet against them. We love any opportunity to bet on the Vandals!! We are betting Idaho to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5) - Central Michigan is one of the best cover teams in the nation sitting at 5-1. With their lone ATS loss at Buffalo by 1.5 points or so, depending on where you got the line. We also have a bizarre man crush on Dan LeFevour and we are unlikely to bet against him. We have been lucky that he rewarded us nicely two years ago when he was 100% healthy and has rewarded us again this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Houston at Tulane (-17) - Well Toolame burned us last week but we are persistent. Houston will run and gun and sling it all over the place. Toolame is not that good and still have the swine flu lingering around campus. Never a good combo..bad football and swine flu. Our boy Case Keenum is going to put 50 on these guys. We are betting Houston to win and cover!!!

BYU (-17) at San Diego State - Another battle of the shit show matchups. BYU has talent. San Diego State does not. BYU = 4-2 ATS. San Diego State = 1-4 ATS. San Diego State basically loses to who they are supposed to lose to. See losses to UCLA, Idaho and Air Force and they beat who they are supposed to beat most of the time. BYU will beat San Diego State and they will beat them easily. We are betting BYU to win and cover!!!

Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5) - If you have not picked up on it yet, bet against Kentucky every week you can in the SEC. They snuck one in on us at South Carolina last week but we got nice covers with Alabama and Florida. We are going to ride the anti-Kentucky bandwagon once again. We still have no clue as to how this program is in any Div 1 conference. They are terrible even for SEC standards. Auburn wins and covers!!!

Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue - Another certainty, Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten and covers most of the time. Just keep riding the wave. This is not rocket science. Ohio State has covered every Big Ten game this year (3-0) and Purdue has lost all of them (0-2). Ohio State is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Purdue is in a major transition year. New coach. New players. New offensive philosophy. They have been playing games hard, but they just don’t have the talent and cohesion OSU has. This game may be close in the first half, as the Boilermaker faithful will be out in full force and going bananas. However, OSU will pull away in the 2nd half. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois (-3) at Indiana - We love this game!! Runny has been to it in person a couple of times. It is like a battle of the two worse state fairs you can think of!!! These teams hate each other. The Hoosiers have been a HUGE surprise this year. The fact this team has even won one game is shocking. The Illini have also blown our minds with some of the worse play in college football (we picked this team to beat Mizzou outright in week one!!!!). Juice is a huge bust. Benn is having a terrible year. So, what will give in this sideshow of a game??? The Illini will give. They are favorites based on the rep and promise over the past few seasons. This team is not the team that played SC in the Rose Bowl. The Hoosiers will win outright. Take Indiana at home with the points.

Louisville at UCONN (-13)- Big East match-up with implications. The Huskies are looking to show their program is no fluke and the Cardinals are trying to salvage some respectability at home. UConn’s pogram IS solid. They are similar to Cincy. They are well coached and play hard. They will be stoked at home. The cover will be close, but the Huskies will still pull it out. This is another one of the brainless picks. UCONN is 5-0 against the spread. Always bet into strength. This line seems awfully high but bet it with confidence. Take the Huskies and give the points.

Iowa at Wisconsin (-3) - This game is a trap!! Beware!!! There is absolutely no logical reason to justify why the Hawkeyes are the dogs in this game. The Hawkeyes are arguably the best team in the Big 10. Wisconsin is having a down year. Although the Badgers are at home in Madison where it is extremely tough to play, this team is just not that good and they are certainly not playing to the level of Iowa right now. Further proof of the trap comes from the numbers: 68% of the money is on Iowa and the line opened Iowa -1. The line should have gone up, not down to the Badgers as favorites. VEGAS KNOWS!! Don’t fall for it!! Take Iowa to win and cover!

Washington at Arizona State (-6.5) - Is it us, or does ASU break your hearts every freakin’ year? Every year this team has the promise of being good, and every year, we bet them and bet them only to get left at the alter. Not this time!! The Huskies have an entirely new lease on life. After beating USC, they have shown they have some swagger and the guts to hang in there against anyone. They played the Irish super tough in the South Bend, so they have shown that road trips do not scare them. They will be ready for the PAC-10 game. ASU may win, but it will be within a TD. Take the Huskies and the points!

Stanford at Arizona (-4.5) - Very similar game to the Washington-ASU game. Stanford gets the edge for us despite being on the road. They are really well coached (Harbaugh may be one the best coaches in Div 1 football). Harbaugh gets more out of talent than any coach in the country (except for maybe Chris Peterson in Boise). They are a smart team. Zona is solid, too, but Stanford will be ready and they are playing with a chip on their shoulders for some national respect. Take the Cards and the points.

Arkansas at Florida (-25) - This game has “let down” written all over it. Everyone has anointed the Gators as national champs despite having half the season left to go. The Gators are in cruise control. They will be at home. They have not looked dominating at all. Not at all. The Razorbacks having nothing to lose and they will pull out all the stops. They have a solid QB in Ryan Mallett. He can straight sling it!!! The gators have not faced a QB this good all year. Remember Ole Miss last year? The Razorbacks could do the same thing. Plus, don’t underestimate Petrino. He is a good coach, and we know he can play dirty (just ask Arthur Blank and the Falcons). Look for Petrino to pull an Arkansas sweathog move and knock Tebow out of the game! Take the ‘Backs and the points.

Not the Red River Rivalry but the next best game of the week!

Southern California (-10) at Notre Dame - For months people (i.e. the media and dumb Domers) have been touting the Irish as a legit BCS championship contender and one of the best teams in the country. Guess what? Another year proves yet again that they are probably the most overrated program in all of sports. If they were in the SEC they would probably be ranked #5 in the country, but we know they are a joke. Michael Floyd is out for this game so that means the only threat they have is Golden Tate. That is not enough against this SC Defense. USC comes in with tons of swagger knowing that they have stomped this team in recent years. They also are playing inspired ball from rallying behind their fallen comrad, Stephon Johnson. USC relishes playing opponents on the road under the spotlight. Barkley knows he is the man for this team, and he is grasping control of the offense more and more each week. They destroyed Cal in Berkley two weeks ago, and that team had WAAAAAAAY more talent on both sides of the ball than this Irish team. This game will not be close. Look for a HUGE game from Taylor Mays as Clausen tries to test fate and go deep on this team. Mays will get him. Now that we got our USC homerness out of the way you really need to think about this game logically. Look at the line and what do you see? USC is favored, on the road, against the 25th rated team in the country, against the QB with the best QB rating in the country, a team with multiple 4th quarter comebacks and USC is playing a true freshmen. Did you just follow that sequence of logic? Makes you want to bet Notre Dame right? Well we always say that Vegas knows and Vegas set this line at ten points because Vegas knows all of the Notre Dame idiots will easily bet this game at USC -10. That line speaks volumes. If Notre Dame was any good the line would not be USC -10. Be safe, be smart and listen to Vegas. Plus, look at the picture below….could you feel remotely safe betting on a team with that guy leading the charge?What the hell does the “CC” stand for on the banana hammock on the dude on the left? How is he not getting crushed in the papers for this? Take USC and gladly give the points.

USC

• Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. INDEP.
• Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
• Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Trojans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

• Fighting Irish are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
• Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Red River Rivalry Game of the week!

Oklahoma at Texas (-3) - The Sooners need this game more, but Texas is just too good right now. Bradford is not close to 100% and Stoops cannot win big games. McCoy is primed for a huge game. He will get it this week against the Sooners. Oklahoma is another one of those early season teams that had uncertainty on their O-line. This has not been solved due to injuries and Texas is going to bring a nasty defense to the Texas State Fair. If you watched last week’s game, Sam Bradford is not ready to go and one more week of practice will help but will certainly not make him comfortable. These teams look very similar on paper but we think the difference will be QB and O-line and Texas wins both of those matchups. And how could we forget Big Game Bob Stoops. Big Game Bob is 0-4 ATS in his last 4 in this series and we expect the pain to continue. We are betting Texas to win and cover!!!

Oklahoma

• Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Sooners are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Texas

• Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
• Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Longhorns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Get the latest Sports Wagering Odds at Bodog Sportsbook

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

2009 NCAA Football: Week 2 picks: Taking our head out of our Arse! Ohio State Versus USC Week!

We were 5-9 in Week 1. Really unexcuseable so no excuses will be made. Hopefully you read our preview piece and were able to capitalize on some of the predictions we made yet were too ignorant to put in our freakin Week 1 pick piece. We are pissed and we promise to take our heads out of our arses for Week 2.

RPJ will take its head out of its ass this week!

Week 2 picks

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Iowa at Iowa State (+6.5) - This really has turned into the series of ineptitude. Iowa either has big hopes and totally lays a dud int he game and does not cover or even gets upset. It happens year after year after year. Both teams played 1-AA school last week and Iowa almost lost; only won by one freakin point. This was a team that was supposed to contend for the Big-10 title. Well at least until Jewel Hampton went down. Iowa State has covered in this game 6 years in a row, winning two of them as underdogs. We are playing with history here. Check out these Head to Head numbers:

• Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
• Hawkeyes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

These two will not be happy come Saturday!

Central Michigan at Michigan State (-14.5) - In-state rivals dial it up for a backyard brawl of sorts. MAC vs. Big 10. If you read our posts, you know we love us some MAC. You will also know we hate the Big 10. Are we homers? Maybe, but we have a presence in the Midwest and we see these teams firsthand week in and week out. The Big 10 is way overhyped. In this one, we are not even sure MSU is the better team, let alone 14.5 point favorites.  CMU put on a decent, yet controversial display last week in Zona to squeak by with a cover for us. We like them again this week. The Spartans play at Notre Dame next week and in the past two seasons under Mark Dantonio, have failed to cover the spread in the game before playing the Fighting Irish. Take CMU and the points.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
• Chippewas are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
• Chippewas are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Chippewas are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 31-13-3 ATS in their last 47 games overall.
• Chippewas are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Chippewas are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
• Chippewas are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

• Spartans are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
• Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

My name is Ryan Lovette and I was kicked out of MSU for psoing in Playboy. Supoort my cause and bet against the Spartans.

Houston at Oklahoma State (-15.5) - OSU is too legit to quit!! Great win last week at home against a coveted SEC team. They will destroy Houston. This is way too few points to give at home. Take OSU and give the points.

Its OSU Hammer Time!!!

Houston

• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

UNC at UConn (+3.5) - UNC is stacked this year with young talent and they may have had the best recruting class in the ACC. UConn lost a ton of skill and experience on both sides of the ball. No doubt UConn has overachieved since it started playing football 8 years ago, but UNC just has too much experience.  UNC’s veteran O-Line and QB will be too much for the Huskies. Take the Heels and give the points.

UNC

• Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

• Huskies are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Do cheerleader pics ever get old?

TCU at Virginia (+11) -Generally we like to avoid road favorites. However, TCU’s D is just too stacked not to like them in this one. Jerry Hughes is a mean man. One of the best defenders in the country. This team is pissed they went 11-2 last year!!!! Andy Dalton is progressing at QB. Virginia has no offensive threats we even care to mention. Take TCU and give the points.

TCU

• Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Horned Frogs are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
• Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

• Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
• Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
• Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.

If I am not careful I will get horned by one of those Texas frogs!

UCLA at Tennessee (-10) - Tennessee did exactly what we thought they would do last week-play mean and run up the score. They will do the same this week. Kifin hates UCLA and Neuheisel, but that aside, the key to this game will be the same it was last week-DEFENSE. Pops Kiffin is one of the defensive minds the game has ever seen. He will throw things at UCLA’s QB that he has never seen before. For that alone, Tennessee will be outstanding this year. This is way too far for UCAL to travel and it is a VOLS revenge game. Look for the Vols in a route. Take the Vols and give the points.

UCLA

• Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
• Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
• Bruins are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
• Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
• Bruins are 27-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

• Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Volunteers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Volunteers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

ATS numbers do not favor Tennessee but this is a new regime in Knoxville. Lane and Monte Kiffin and the coaching staff is top notch.

Kiffin's wife is top notch also!!!

Hawaii at Washington State (+2) - Another laugher, but it is another opportunity. Hawaii beat Washington State by 14 last year at home. They return a senior QB, senior RB and a veteran O-Line. Washington State returns as the same terrible team. Hawaii can make somewhat of a statement by beating a BCS Conference team (even though that team is terrible) on the road. They can win by a fieldgoal. Take Hawaii and give the points.

Hawaii

• Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Warriors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Warriors are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on turf.

Is Hawaiian Tropic close enough to Hawaii? We thought so!

BYU at Tulane (+17.5) - BYU showed the nation what they can do this season. Bradford going out with an injury was not an excuse. The senior leadership and superior line play were key. Tulane, coming off a spanking by Tulsa will have no reason being in this game. Do not even think BYU will have any type of hangover either. BYU is led by senior leadership and is highly disciplined. Yeah we blew a nice cover last week by ignoring all of the signs in Norman but we are on the BYU bandwagon. Take BYU in a blowout!!

BYU

• Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Cougars are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Green Wave are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
• Green Wave are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Green Wave are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games on turf.
• Green Wave are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
• Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Mormons know how to party!!!

Kansas at UTEP (+12.5) - Kansas finally has a line and we are all over it. UTEP lost at home to Buffalo, you think they are going to compete with Kansas. This does not even need a write-up. Remember Mangino and Todd Reesing!!! Take Kansas in a blowout!!!

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Jayhawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

• Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
• Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Miners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big 12.
• Miners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

Tulsa at New Mexico (+17.5) - Tulsa responded well for us last week on the road and this game is no different. Tulsa puts the peddle to the metal all game, every game. Tulsa won by 42 points last season and we do not see why that can not happen again. New Mexico was blown out by a medicore Texas A&M team and this season is not looking good for them. We love Tulsa to cover in this one.

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Golden Hurricane are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Lobos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

New Mexico gets golden showered by the Golden Hurricanes

South Carolina at Georgia (-7 and O/38) - South Carolina surprised us last week. We learned a lot…their offense is still terrible and their defense is fast and nasty. Georgia got stomped at OSU like we said and lost their QB and left tackle in the process. Cox might play but is banged up. What does this lead to? A clear play on the UNDER. Also, we really do not see either team scoring and that helps us lean towards The Cocks. The ATS numbers are all over the board but the Head to Head stats are beautiful. Check this out:

• Under is 12-0 in the last 12 meetings.
• Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia.
• Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Last time I played in the Big House I threw 7 INTs and was sacked 8 times!!! Has anything changed?

Game of the Week!!!! Collision in Columbus!!!!

Game of the Week!!!

USC at Ohio State (+6.5) - If you read us regularly this pick will come as no surprise so lets look at the ATS numbers first:

USC

• Trojans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
• Trojans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Trojans are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
• Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-10.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
• Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Hope we had enough girls for you this week!

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

More food please!

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

Would you bet against this man?

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

Caption says it all!!!

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

Like we needed 77 reasons.

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

"Rangers Lead the Way"

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

Not in my house!!!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

4/4/2009 - Free Final Four Winning Picks - Michigan St. vs. UCONN and Villanova vs. UNC

The Flash Flash Math model has been ok so far during March Madness. I would have expected it to work a little bit better but this was the first run through and it helped us pick some big upsets. I am expecting some great games this weekend and I am looking forward to attending a big Final 4 party Saturday night. I am going to look at each game in two ways…..Who is going to win and Who is going to cover.

Michigan State versus UCONN (-4.5 and O/U 134) - This one is an easy one to pick. People have warned me and it is all about the same thing over and over again…..the Big East is the best conference blah blah blah. Well this will be a home game for Michigan State. To top it off, Flash Flash Math Model is actually picking Michigan State as the outright winner. So here it is….I am picking Michigan State to win and I am betting them to cover and taking the Moneyline at +170,

UNC (-7.5 and O/U 159) versus Villanova - Philadelphia is going bananas for the Wildcats right now and I will be watching the game with friends at a Villanova party outside Philly Saturday night. So in my heart I am rooting big time for Nova to pull the upset. However, The Flash Flash math model says other wise and I am picking UNC to win the game outright. Because I will be rooting for Nova and because I think it is the right play, I am betting on Nova to cover; 7.5 points is simply too many to give to the hardest working team in the dance this year. So UNC wins but I am betting Nova to cover and probably dropping a little on the Nova moneyline to try and get a little lucky.

Should be an awesome weekend.

Flash Flash

2009 March Madness Free Sweet 16 Picks and Predictions: Flash Flash style

My NCAA bracket came out a little below what I was expecting. I was 23-9 in the first round games and only 10-6 in the second round games. This added up to a winning percentage of 69% and the model was supposed to return winners at a 74% clip. If you followed me you probably still have a great chance to win your office pool though because I still have every elite 8 team left. Based on the games that were played and the new matchups I applied my picking system to the 16 teams that remain and low and behold…the whole bracket is turned upside down now. Here is what my math system predicts now…..

Most likely to win their next game….Louisville, Pitt and UNC - This comes as no surprise.

Favored teams most likely to scrape by in a close one to advance….UCONN and Duke - Do not be surprised if Purdue keeps the UCONN game close. These teams matchup really tightly. Purdue is hot and sneaking under the radar. The Duke Nova game should be one for the ages and my system has Duke sneaking out a hard fought, close win.

Who wins the pick em game….Syracuse - This should be another close game but the edge now goes to Cuse. Cuse is playing really well right now and I like their effort.

Upsets in the round of 16…Kansas and Missouri - Yup you heard it hear first. Missouri is going to upset Memphis. Not sure Kansas is much of an upset but they are not favored.

Teams that will play in the Final 4….Kansas, Missouri, Pitt and UNC - I absolutely hate this Final 4 but this is what the math told me. If you remember from my first post of the tourney, I removed all bias from my picks and simply picked on a mathematical model I developed that picked winners at a 74.4% rate. As much as this Final 4 looks retarded, this is what I am posting.

Enjoy the games and good luck with your picks.

Flash Flash

NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Buffalo Versus UCONN

Yes we are crazy enough to bet this game. Crazy like Pam Anderson….

She needs to hide. What a train wreck! What the hell happned to her?!?!

Buffalo versus UCONN (-7 and OVER/UNDER 51.5)

RPJ is picking Buffalo to cover and here is why: Never bet against the Boys from upstate. We learned our lesson in the MAC championship game. This game is in Toronto and will have a ton of Buffs fans in attendance. Buffalo is 6-1 straight up in their last 7 losing a look ahead game to Kent State before the Ball State smack down. Buffs are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6. UCONN has lost two in a row and is 0-2 ATS in those games.

RPJ Math selects Buffalo

RPJ Pics of the day!

and one more for good measure!

Some Vida Guerra for Runny!

Flash Flash and Runny