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Utah State Aggies

FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 19, 2009

Greetings. Back-to-back terrible nights for us. We went 3-5 ATS on Tuesday and followed it up with a 6-6 night. Not a losing night (except for the vig), but not even in the same area code of where we need to be. With that, our season record ATS stands at 43-34-1. Here is what we like tonight:

Suns @ Hornets +8: The Suns must be looking forward to rollin’ into the Big Easy right now. Especially Steve Nash who will not have to put up with Chris Paul on either side of the ball. This is HUGE for this match-up. With CP3 in the line-up, this is a much different team. It will free-up Nash on both sides of the ball. Phoenix are terrible on their last few Thursday games (5-17 ATS in their last 22) and against the Hornets (2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings). However the head-to-head stat, we think, is a product of CP3. Now that he is out, this is a different game. The only injury the Suns have is Robin Lopez. This won’t be a factor. Take the Suns and give the points.

Jazz @ Spurs -5: The home team (19-7 ATS in their last 26 meetings) and favorite (19-7 ATS in their last 26 meetings) has a huge advantage in their series as of late. Both teams are off games last night with the Jazz travelling into San Antonio for tonight’s game. The Spurs are off a tough loss to the Mavericks in Dallas last night. That game showed us that the Spurs cannot beat good teams with just Tim Duncan alone. It is too much to ask. Tonight, there is a good chance he rides solo again as Ginobili is out and there is a good chance Tony Parker will not play. Not good for the Spurs. Deron Williams is getting his legs back underneath him, and he looked great last night. That will be the key to this game-the Jazz bring way too many healthy weapons to the court. They may not win, but they will cover. Take the Jazz and the points.

Bulls @ Lakers -9.5: Game two for the Bulls on their annual circus road trip. They spanked the Kings in game one. Tonight they get a much harder opponent in the Lakers. The Lakers have struggled as of late, but they seemed to turn it around last time out against the Pistons. They get a HUGE lift tonight as Pau Gasol is scheduled to return. He poses huge problems for the Bulls. He will be the key along with the Lakers front court. They will have too much for the Bulls. We are going against the grain a little on this-most of the significant ATS numbers scream take the Bulls. Take the Lakers and give the points.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: Time to make the serious cash Oprah style!!!

We had another winning week last week but we continue to simply tread water with our NCAA picks. On the season we are 70-65-3. However, we know this is better then a lot of so-called experts who sit around and spew bullshit all day long that they always go 17-3 every weekend. We are full disclosure all the time and you can back check all of our picks. We also put ourselves out there to our fans. You can reach us on Facebook and Twitter (click the icons on the top left of this page to follow us, and you can always leave comments on each post or email us on the side at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We will get back to you and we are always happy to discuss every single game. We do not bet every game but we have rationale for betting or not betting every game. We are here for you, our readers, 24/7.

Wednesday, 18, 2009

Central Michigan (-14.5) at Ball State - You really think we were going to pass on an opportunity to bet on one of the best cover teams this season. Central Michigan is Team Kaching and we have been on board for most of their games. They are 7-2 ATS on the season. We also have a LARGE man crush on Dan LeFevour. This kid tore it up last week at home against Toledo. The Chips only have one ATS loss in the MAC and it was by a mere 1.5 points. Central Michigan wins and covers!

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Chippewas are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 conference games.
• Chippewas are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 18-6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Chippewas are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite.
• Chippewas are 37-15-3 ATS in their last 55 games overall.
• Chippewas are 21-9-2 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
• Chippewas are 23-10-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 road games.

Ball State

• Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ball State.
• Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Colorado at Oklahoma State (-18) - This seems like a lot of points but once you get into the numbers you start to understand why the line is where it is. Compared to Colorado, Oklahoma State runs for more than 110 yards per game, almost two yards more per carry and converts third downs on offense at a 43% clip. Translation = Oklahoma State has some serious ball control strengths. The Colorado defense gives up 156 yards rushing per game and 4.1 yards per rush. Translation = Colorado ain’t stopping The Cowboys in this one. We think Oklahoma State runs early and often and beats down the Buffs. We are betting Oklahoma State to win and cover!

Colorado

• Buffaloes are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Buffaloes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buffaloes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
• Buffaloes are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games.
• Buffaloes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buffaloes are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog.

Oklahoma State

• Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
• Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Cowboys are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Cowboys are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Cowboys are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Cowboys are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Cowboys are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.

Friday, November 20, 2009

Boise State (-23) at Utah State - If there was one time to be confident in a line it is for this game. Boise State has not lost against the spread in this contest since 1996. Boise State has even pushed lines as high as 39 points in this series. This is not that far a road game for Boise State. We know Boise did not cover against Louisiana Tech two weeks ago but that road trip is Boise’s kryptonite. Utah State is a good home cover team but we think this Boise State team is on a mission and a little trip to Aggie land is not going to slow them down. Now we look at some hard numbers and like the game even more. Utah State gives up 200.8 yards a game rushing, 5.2 yards per rush and lets opposing offenses convert 43% of their third downs. That body of work is blowout city for Boise State. We are betting Boise State to win and cover!!!

Boise State

• Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Broncos are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Broncos are 9-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
• Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite.
• Broncos are 30-10-2 ATS in their last 42 games in November.
• Broncos are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
• Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Broncos are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Friday games.
• Broncos are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Broncos are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
• Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Broncos are 37-15-2 ATS in their last 54 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Broncos are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win.
• Broncos are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Utah State.
• Favorite is 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Broncos are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
• Road team is 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Good luck.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 5 Free Picks: If September is any indication, October will be AWESOME!!!

Last week turned into one big clown show; both for NCAA power rankings and for our bets. We had some games dead on like Iowa and the ones we were wrong on we were way wrong like Cal. We did warn of the Tedford turd sandwich we just did not think it would be his largest turd sandwich ever. On the BCS front, Houston looks great, Florida State is done, Ole Miss done, Cal done, Miami done. We love it. Every week that goes by like this the closer we will get to a playoff system. The Flash Flash/Backwoods Southern Lawyer approach has not slayed it yet and Runny will be back soon to get us back on track. We also look forward to our statistical models rolling out in the coming weeks. Lots of picks this week. We pick the winners in the big games (USC-CAL) and we continue to hammer some of the biggest losers (think Miami-Ohio).

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Friday, October 2, 2009

Utah State at BYU (-23.5) - Well we are back on the BYU bandwagon. Besides the FSU debacle, BYU has covered in each game. Utah State has done a good job as 20 point underdogs and covered against Texas A&M and Utah. Both games were set at 20.5 points. The home team in this series is 5-0-1 in their last 6 meetings and BYU is certainly no cupcake place to play. Max Hall and Co. will run up the score early and ram it down The Aggies throats late. Besides the ATS head-to-head numbers the other ATS numbers scream Aggies. This might be the last time we bet BYU this season if they lose because we are expecting a game of 38-7 or 56-10 or something along those lines. Utah State has the 117th ranked defense in the country and only has 2 sacks. No pressure on Max Hall = bad results. Utah State actually has the 9th rated offense in the nation, which blows our minds because they have a 22.5% offensive 3rd down success rate. BYU wins and covers!!

Saturday October 3, 2009

Wisconsin at Minnesota (-2.5) - Totally surprised to see Minnesota favored in this one. Wisconsin actually has some nice, hard fought victories against the likes of Michigan State, Fresno State and Northern Illinois. Minnesota is enjoying their new stadium but really do not have as impressive a run going. These teams look identical on defense with Wisconsin holding a slight edge where it matters. The largest difference is on offense. Wisconsin is significantly better at running the ball and converting third downs. That formula leads to better ball control and the ability to wear down a defense. We also like the fact that the Badgers are 5-2 heads up ATS in their last seven against Minnesota. We are betting Wisconsin to win, cover and Golden Shower the Golden Gophers!

Wisconsin

• Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Badgers are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
• Badgers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Badgers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
• Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Alabama (-15.5) at Kentucky - Does this really need any sort of analysis? See Kentucky at home against Florida -21 and now you have Kentucky at home against Alabama -15.5. Kentucky is just not that good. Where is the media now talking up the SEC? Kentucky might not be able to beat anybody this season in conference. What we do love is that Kentucky is shaking up the BCS in their own way by knocking out Tim Tebow. Just remember what happened to Penn State’s QB last year after he got a concussion…PSU lost to Iowa the next week. The Gator’s showdown in Baton Rouge next week will be awesome. Those Alabama fans who worried that Greg McElroy would have a hard time replacing John Parker Wilson stopped worrying Sept. 5. McElroy is third nationally in pass efficiency and might be throwing it better than Wilson ever did. We like Alabama to pound on Kentucky and cover easily!!!

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Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Tulane at Army (-6.5) - This is the BSL special. BSL is from Baton Rouge and loves picking on Toolame. We hit nice wins against them earlier in the season when they had swine flu and could not cover against Tulsa and BYU. Time to dump on them again. It is 1,350 miles from New Orleans to West Point and that is asking a lot to go play against a rowdy, disciplined Army team. Army takes care of business just like they did 44-13 on the road last season. No contest. We are betting Army to win and cover!!!

Tulane

• Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Green Wave are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
• Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

LSU at Georgia (-2.5) - I could not get BSL to take credit for this bet because it makes him sick as a Tigers fan. This is classic SEC brutal scheduling. LSU travels to Georgia the week before they host Florida and focus will be spotty. Georgia is actually running a 3 game winning streak against LSU and the games have been ugly. Neither of these teams have helped bettors this year. LSU has one cover and it was against UL-Lafayette and Georgia has one cover and it was at Arkansas. These teams look like mirror images of each other on defense. LSU is sporting a weak offense and is ranked 105th in the country but Georgia’s numbers are not that much better. With a spread under -3 for the home field advantage we will take Georgia all day long. There is a reason the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. We are betting Georgia to win and cover!!!

LSU

• Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Tigers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
• Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Penn State (-6.5) at Illinois - Big rebound game for Penn State. Illinois showed who they are this year and that is a bad team. See games against Missouri and Ohio State. Joe Pa will have the Nittany Lions ready to play and rebound from their second half break down against Iowa last week. Both teams are O-fer ATS this season but we think the Iowa game provided Penn State with the necessary wake up call. Look for big things from the Penn State offense. We are betting Penn State to win and cover!!!

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
• Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Ohio State (-17.5) at Indiana - It is that time of year again. Ohio State rolls through the Big Ten bringing sports bettors along for a great ride. Yes Indiana gave Michigan a run for its money but we do not know anything about Michigan yet but the fact that their defense is suspect and everyone loves Forcier. What do we know about Ohio State? Tressel and the Buckeyes roll through the Big Ten every year. Maybe they slip up once but maybe they don’t. They certainly will not slip against Indiana. Ohio State is on fire, posting back to back shutouts. Look at the Head-to-Head ATS numbers and you will get on board. We love and are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
• Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
• Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Buckeyes are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
• Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in October.
• Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Tulsa (-15.5) at Rice - Tulsa has an offense and Rice stinks. We loaded up on Tulsa against Toolame and we look to capitalize some more on the Golden Hurricanes. We might just pick Tulsa so we can make more Golden Shower references but that will be up to you to decide. We are betting Tulsa to win, cover and Golden Hurricane (extreme golden shower)!!!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Golden Hurricane are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Golden Hurricane are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

USC (-5) at Cal - This is another painful one to put in the books but we have to be realistic. The only reason USC is favored is because of the historic USC, not this season’s USC and because CAL was thumped by Oregon last weekend. Stafon Johnson just went out for this game due to a freak weight lifting accident and Matt Barkley is still banged up. USC is decimated. They lost more guys to injury on defense last week against Washington State, Stafon will be out, RoJo is out, Taylor Mays is banged up. This USC is too beat up. Also, USC’s offense is anemic and a CAL team at home will score points, even on USC’s defense. If they score 20 points it just might be enough. Yes USC has the 6th rated defense in the country but Cal is not too shabby. They are giving up less than 3 yards per rush on defense and have 14 sacks so they might be able to get to Barkley more than other teams have. Here is the truly frightening stat; USC only converts 25% of their 3rd down opportunities on offense. That is horrific. Cal for example is up at 43%. This might very well be the difference. We would not be surprised to see a game much like we saw in USC at Ohio State. USC’s defense will play awesome and keep the team in the game until the offense comes through or does not come through. We think Cal will win a close one but even if USC wins it will not be by more than a FG. We are taking Cal to cover!!!

USC

• Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Trojans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

California

• Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
• Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on turf.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Virginia Tech (-17) at Duke - Va Tech started at +15.5 and is now up to +17.  Va Tech coming off their game of the year after dominating Miami.  Duke with nothing to lose….nothing but the game we guess, but we think they do that by less than 2 tds. We are betting Duke to cover!!!

Va Tech

• Hokies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Colorado St. (-3) at Idaho - Both teams are fairly decent (for loser teams from loser conferences).  Both are 3-1, with loses coming by way of identical 42-23 scores.  Difference is that Colorado St. lost to BYU and Idaho lost to Washington.  Most importantly, the line started out higher and is falling.  Obviously, the betting public loves the Vandals.  We are betting Colorado State to win and Cover this one easily!!!

Colorado State

• Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. WAC.

Houston (-14.5) at UTEP -Houston is undefeated ATS this season and rolling through their schedule taking down Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. This team is good and Case Keenum is awesome. Yes, Houston’s defense is ranked 97th but UTEP’s is ranked 109th. The difference here, Houston has the 2nd rated offense and UTEP is dead last at 120th. Houston wins this by 30 points as Keenum pads his Heisman stats. We are betting heavy on Houston to win and cover!!!

Houston

• Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!

Thursday, September 3, 2009

South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.

USC

• Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.

Utah State

• Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
• Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
• Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
• Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
• Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!

Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.

Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!

Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:

*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***

* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.

* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.

You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!

Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.

Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!

Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.

Monday, September 7, 2009

Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.

Miami

• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

If you like what you see, like our picks and like our free analysis tools, we would appreciate it if you signed up through our website to use Bodog as your betting vehicle of choice. We love Bodog and have never had any issues getting our money out. The same can not be said for BetUs, Sportbook and other sites so bettor be warned!!!

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: November Rain (11/29/2008)

Well we are getting to that time of year. The NCAA football regular season is almost over. We are a little, well a lot pissed, and we are scrambling right now to make this season a profitable one and it is quickly escaping us, much like the season for the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles fans hold a slimmer of hope what the rest of the nation knows is an impossibility. Well the chance RPJ can spin its record around to better than 55% is going to be a tall order. We think our system is coming around. We had a nice winning week last week and we are looking to build on it this week and weekend. Even Runny is on a nice little winning streak and when that happens you know it is going to be a great week! We have a bunch of picks for you this weekend so enjoy. We also are very pleased to bust out more Nina Moric pics.

 

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Virginia at Virginia Tech (-8 and OVER/UNDER 38) - We have been riding the Va Tech UNDER to some nice paydays lately; hitting three in a row. Even UVA has hit the UNDER 6 of their last 8 games. This game is right in our wheel house. Virginia Tech runs for 166 yards per game, almost twice UVA. Va Tech’s defense gives up 107 yards per game rushing and UVA gives up 144. Next piece of business, UVA turns the ball over 2.5 times per game and Va Tech only gives up 1.4 turnovers per game. UVA is crumbling down the stretch and has lost three games in a row. Here are the ATS numbers:

Virginia

Cavaliers are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games on grass.

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games overall.

Under is 7-2 in Cavaliers last 9 games following a S.U. loss.

Under is 16-5-1 in Cavaliers last 22 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 16-5-2 in Cavaliers last 23 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 games in November.

Under is 11-4-2 in Cavaliers last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 22-8-3 in Cavaliers last 33 conference games.

Under is 19-7-1 in Cavaliers last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 21-8-3 in Cavaliers last 32 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 9-4-1 in Cavaliers last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

The Hokies

Hokies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in November.

Hokies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Hokies are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 conference games.

Hokies are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Hokies are 61-30-1 ATS in their last 92 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 6-1 in Hokies last 7 games on grass.

Under is 12-2 in Hokies last 14 home games.

Under is 6-1 in Hokies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 9-3 in Hokies last 12 games in November.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 conference games.

Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

This is where Beamer ball really comes to play, in a home game, against a team on the ropes. Look for Va. Tech to completely dominate this game. Also, Va. Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against UVA. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Virginia Tech. Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. We think we have shown you the light. Expect UVA not to score and Va. Tech to run the ball a lot and run the clock down which leads to a nice UNDER. We are taking Virginia Tech to win and cover and we are on betting the UNDER also! If you only want to be this one way, Va. Tech is the way to go first. Save the UNDER for the true Degenerates.

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (+7.5) - This is Oklahoma’s season. Most experts predict that Oklahoma will jump Texas in the BCS standings with a win over OK. State. In the case of a three way tie, the team with the highest BCS ranking goes to the Big 12 Title game. RETARDED!!!! But those are the rules. Oklahoma made a huge statement with their win against the Red Raiders and look for this team to continue their roll. Oklahoma has been one of the top 2 teams in the country this season and only played one half of bad football, the second half against Texas. They were winning at halftime. The Sooners have topped 60 points in each of their last three games and averaged 59.2 points and 598.0 yards in their five-game winning streak since losing to the Longhorns. The surge has made quarterback Sam Bradford a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, and he enters the game with 3,710 yards and 42 touchdown passes. But Bradford, who threw four TD passes in last year’s 49-17 win over Oklahoma State, also has a very strong backfield in DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown. Each rushed for over 100 yards against Texas Tech and combined for five touchdowns. Here are the ATS numbers:

Oklahoma

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Sooners are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Sooners are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Sooners are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Oklahoma State

Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma State.

Tough, tough numbers. We are simply going with the hot team. When you find a hot team you ride it until it bucks you off. We are taking Oklahoma to win and cover! 

Nevada (-5) at Louisiana Tech - This is one of those games where we throw out a game and a pick and you simply say huh, why are these two clowns picking this retarded game? Well it hits a blatant win and cover in our joint model and when that happens we bet it. Plain and simple. Here are the ATS numbers:

Nevada

Wolf Pack are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Wolf Pack are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.

Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

La Tech

Bulldogs are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a S.U. win.

Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Bulldogs are 7-21 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bulldogs are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Well those numbers just about give it away. Nevada has won three in a row ATS in this series and we think they will continue that streak. We are taking Nevada to win and cover!

Notre Dame at USC (-31.5) - This is our favorite game of the weekend. Lee Corso said ND has zero chance of scoring a touchdown and ESPN’s Trevor Madich gave the quote of the week. Trevor said Notre Dame can consider the game a victory if they leave without suffering any serious, disabling injuries. He says Rey Rey, Mays and Cushing will lay the lumber and Notre Dame’s young players do not know how to protect themselves. We have never heard of any ESPN announcer actually predict injury. This is freakin hilarious. This is really all you need to see from the best defense in the country.

Just so you think we analyzed this game, here are some ATS numbers:

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Fighting Irish are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.

Fighting Irish are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

USC

Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Trojans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.

Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.

Trojans are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in November.

Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Trojans are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Trojans are 30-14 ATS in their last 44 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Southern California.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

We think those head-to-head numbers really tell the story. The last 6 years, USC is an elite program and Notre Dame should play in the MAC. The Fighting Leprechauns can not hold USC’s jock, they can smell it, but they sure as hell can not hold it!!! Only thing that has us nervous is every single friend of ours is calling us to figure out how to place bets on this game. People will take USC up to 40 points no problem. We get nervous when our boy Indian Pain calls to lay some cash but the more the merrier. We know our phones will be ringing off the hook from our boys in SoCal and our Notre Dame homer fans. Does not matter to us. USC wins big and covers!!!!

Flash Flash Picks

Arkansas State at North Texas (+20.5) - Runny is missing out on the wonderful betting opportunity other wise known as the Sun Belt Conference. Yes, I am back with a Sun Belt pick this week. I really like this game. North Texas is DEFEATED against the spread at home. Check this out too….North Texas gives up 209 rushing yards per game and Arkansas State runs for 209 yards per game. You know I love numbers like that. Also, North Texas turns it over 2.7 times per game. Teams that turn the ball over and can not stop the run are in for a long, long day. Throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and I have my team. Arkansas State wins and covers!

Flash Flash 3 play - I have a three play for you today. Basically these games never showed up on Runny’s radar so we skipped them for RPJ but they fall right in my wheel house. The basic premise as it was with the Arkansas State game is as follows: I follow numerous statistical data points and when one team literally sweeps the board for all relevant stats I call it my clean sweep games. Just so you do not think I am nuts, I look for an offensive rushing advantage, a defensive rushing advantage and a turnover margin leader. I look at multiple more stats but I just wanted to give you three pieces of my clean sweep model. So there are three more clean sweep games I am going to bet this weekend because one team is the clear victor in my model.

Game 1: Tulane at Memphis (-14) - Memphis will win and cover.

Game 2: New Mexico State at Utah State (-5.5) - Two miracles here, Utah State is favored and I am betting them to win and cover.

Game 3: Southern Miss at SMU (+15) - I am taking Southern Miss to win and cover.

There you have it. The first clean sweep Flash Flash three play. Not quite like the ass rape three play that was awesome but this is my latest creation.

Runny Pelvis picks

Sorry guys but I was active today and have had a great week. I am gearing up for Sunday’s NFL games. Stay tuned.

RPJ $yndicate Pic of the Day!

 

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!

It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!

RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)

We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.

Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:

Purdue

• Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
• Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Iowa

• Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
• Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
• Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!

UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!

Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!

Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
• Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.

Check out these scores:

2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12

2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16

2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17

2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30

See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!

Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.

Auburn

• Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!

Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
• Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

Houston

• Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
• Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
• Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
• Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.

We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!

USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!

Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)

Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.

Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.

Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.

UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.

Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.

Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.

Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.

BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.

South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.

Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.

Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.

Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.

Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)

Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:

Northwestern

• Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Michigan

• Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!

Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!

RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!

Good luck with your picks!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 11 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks and the Return of Heidi Klum

We are pretty surprised and pissed off that we are having a down year. Here we are with a new website, awesome tools from Bodog and generally speaking, for the season as a whole, our picks are not as good as last year and we are down money or pretty flat. Well we are invoking the spirit of Heidi Klum. She was with us last year for a lot of wins and we think she provides us with great gambling juju. It just happens to coincide with a new Heidi Klum ad for Guitar Hero. We have the video and a bunch of pictures to support her holiness.

If you did not enjoy that then you have serious problems.

We have a still photo also.

Business first. On the season we are:

RPJ is 33-39-2

Flash Flash is 15-9-2

Runny Pelvis is 22-23-1

If you have not taken advantage of our new live odds tool as well as our matchup tool then you are seriously missing out. By coming to our website, you can instantly check the lines on games and you can check out relevant ATS stats, team stats, injury reports, the weather etc… Please, for your own good, check these out.

Click here for RPJ $yndicate’s live odds tab.

Click here to use our Matchups tool. We love this one. At first glance it looks like you just get one page but if you look in the box at the top of the matchups page, you can click on each relevant sport and dive in to whatever you want to learn about. On with the picks.

RPJ Betting $yndicate (33-39-2 on the season)

We do not have that many picks for you this week. Most degenerate gamblers would keep pressing and pressing to try and make their money back and bet games they are not 100% confident in. Well we are disciplined bettors and if a week comes up where we only pick a couple of games, then that is all we are going to do. Of course we want to win our money back and win it back fast but if the games are not there we have to stick to our discipline and stay away.

Alabama (-3) at LSU - This one really pains us. In our eyes, Alabama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. LSU on paper should be good and is playing at home but as we saw with Georgia, this is not the same LSU team. They entire key to this game is Terrance Cody, Alabama’s 6′5″ 380 pound nose tackle. When Terrance plays, Alabama gives up only 2.6 yards per carry and 65.6 rushing yards per game, which is second in D-1. The key is not Alabama’s offense or John Parker Wilson, the key is Cody. LSU’s offense is a mess and if they have trouble running they will really have trouble because they do not have a good passing game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

LSU

• Tigers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Tigers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Louisiana State.
• Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Road team is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

LSU is definitely a sentimental favorite and the mere thought that the talented Tigers team can lose back-to-back SEC games at home seems unbelievable. Throw in the fact that this is Saban’s first visit back and you know the LSU homers will be fired up and the crowd will be insane. Unfortunately for Tigers fans, this is not their year. They do not have a viable QB, their defense has been torched multiple times this year and when the dust settles, Saban will have his victory and the Crimson Tide will leave with a media friendly convincing win. This is simply not the LSU team that won a title last year and was stacked the previous years. Alabama might start slow but they will win convincingly. Alabama wins and covers!

Georgia (-12) at Kentucky - We are terrified we are picking two games with the Backwoods Southern Lawyer. We correctly predicted the Florida/Georgia beatdown. That was an easy one. So now people will be down on Georgia and as far as Georgia versus Kentucky goes….there really is no contest. Georgia is 10-1 versus Kentucky since 1997. The Bulldogs’ offense is averaging an SEC-leading 427.6 yards thanks to quarterback Matthew Stafford, who paces the conference with 245.7 passing yards per game, and running back Knowshon Moreno, whose 110.0 rushing yards per game rank third in the SEC. Kentucky has a decent defense but a young defense and they will not be able to keep up with Georgia. Kentucky gives up too many rushing yards and turns the ball over more than Georgia. Richt is a good coach and will get the Dawgs refocused. Here are the ATS numbers:

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Kentucky

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Wildcats are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

We do not expect this game to be close. Moreno will be running and Stafford will be throwing. Both are proud and have a lot to prove after their disappointing Florida performances. Georgia wins and covers!

Baylor at Texas (-28) - Well Texas gets to come home and get rid of some of their frustration on Baylor. The Longhorns suffered an incredible defeat at the hands of Texas Tech last week and this week is payback. Check out these ATS numbers:

Baylor

• Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
• Bears are 6-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bears are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
• Bears are 10-30 ATS in their last 40 games in November.
• Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Texas

• Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Longhorns are 20-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Longhorns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss.
• Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

We have enjoyed betting against Baylor at the right times this year and this weekend is definitely the right time. Texas wins big and covers!

Flash Flash Picks (15-9-2 on the season)

I am going to make this short and sweet this week. No analysis, just straight picks and girls. Yes I did the analysis but all of these games have the same exact reason for betting them. Based on my statistical models, each team clearly dominates the other team based on my weighted categories and all three of them feature ranked teams playing at home against inferior opponents.

San Diego State at BYU (-36.5) - BYU wins big and covers!

Utah State at Boise State (-35) - Boise State wins big and covers!

Kansas State at Missouri (-27) - Missouri wins big and covers!

These three games will simply be beat downs.

Purdue at Michigan State (-10) Purdue broke their 5 game losing streak last week versus Michigan but they are about to start a new one. Michigan State still thinks they have a shot to win the Big Ten title and that will help motivate them at home versus an inferior opponent. After this week, the Spartans have a week off before they go play Penn State. Michigan State escaped with a with a win against Wisconsin and they will look to continue with their momentum. The ATS numbers:

Purdue

• Boilermakers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Boilermakers are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Boilermakers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

Michigan State

• Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
• Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State.

I think Michigan State will look to make a serious statement in this game and Dantonio will have his team ready to play. Michigan State wins and covers!

Runny Pelvis Picks (22-23-1 on the season)

I’m following Flash and making this short and sweet, too. We gave you the chicks, now I’m just going to drop my picks. No need for much analysis. Here you go:

Florida at Vanderbilt (+24): Vandy covers. This is way too many points. Take ‘Em.

Oklahoma at Texas A&M (+27): Oklahoma is still, in my book, the best of the super talented Big 12 South. I don’t give a darn about records. However, this is too many points to give an A&M team at home. They will keep it close. Oklahoma will be looking ahead to next week. Take A&M and the points.

OK State @ Texas Tech (-4.5): Tech will ride the wave of last week’s win into another cover. OK State is darn good, but Tech knows they can beat anyone. My pick would be different if this was in Oklahoma, but it is not. Take Tech and give the points.

RPJ Ass shot of the week!

Good luck with your picks!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2

We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.

The Great Debate Game

Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.

Missouri

Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.

Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.

Texas

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.

Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.

Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:

Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!).  FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.

 

Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.

Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.

Akron

• Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Eastern Michigan

• Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)

• Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….

Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!

San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:

• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
• Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!

San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.

San Jose State

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

New Mexico State

• Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!

Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:

Houston

• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

SMU

• Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
• Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!

Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:

Florida International

• Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Troy

• Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)

Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.

Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.

UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.

Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.

Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.

Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.

USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.

Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.

Flash Flash and Runny

NCAA Football Week 3 Winning Picks: The Best of the Rest!!!

We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!

Heidi Klum ass

Dahm Triplet asses

Anna Kournikova Ass

and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)

Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.

Friday, September 12

Kansas at South Florida (-3) - It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?

Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:

Kansas
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

South Florida
Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.

Saturday, September 13

Cal at Maryland (+14.5) - We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.

You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:

California
Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Maryland

Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!

Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) - When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:

Nevada
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Missouri
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.

Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) - This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

South Carolina
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!

Penn State at Syracuse (+27) - Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:

Penn State
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.

Syracuse
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.

Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) - Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:

Auburn
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!

Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) - It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:

Michigan
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!

Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)

I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).

Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)

UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.

Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.

Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One.  They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.

Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.

NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a  conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.

Flash Flash and Runny

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