VaTech
2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!
We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:
1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.
2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.
3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.
We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..
Monday December 28, 2009
Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)
Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)
Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)
Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)
Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)
Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)
Friday January 1, 2010
Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)
Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)
Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)
Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)
Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)
Saturday, January 2, 2010
International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)
Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)
Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)
Monday January 4, 2010
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!
Thursday, January 7, 2010
BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!
NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy
RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.
If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.
Friday, September 25, 2009
Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!
Missouri
- Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
- Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
- Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Arkansas (+17.5) at Alabama - Arkansas has itself the best QB in the SEC right now. Quiet Tebow fans!!! He was terrible last weekend and showed why he will not be a top NFL QB. He is a gimmick QB. On the other hand, Ryan Mallett kicks ass. Arkansas lost their shootout with Georgia last week but Mallett looks damn good. The defense is the issue. We think Arkansas can score on anybody, even the hyped Bama defense. After Bama got lucky wearing down a Virginia Tech team they scheduled the typical Saban games against FIU and North Texas. We would not be surprised to see a high scoring affair but Arkansas will keep this closer than 17.5 points. Head-to-Head numbers are key in this game, just like in the LSU game so read on. We are betting Arkansas to cover!!!
- Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5
- Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
- Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
- Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
- Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
- Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
- Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
- Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.
- Fighting Illini are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
- Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
- Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.
- Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.
- Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!
RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.
Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!
Ball State
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
- Redhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Redhawks are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Redhawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
- Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Volunteers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Mississippi State (+9) at Vanderbilt – Vandy has several players out and is a little beaten up after tangling with LSU last weekend. Vandy has a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s got nearly zero talent around him (as several dropped passes a game will attest). Miss St will get progressively better throughout the season as the players buy in to Dan Mullen’s system. I think MSU’s defense rises to the challenge after giving up a bunch of points to Auburn last week. This is likely to be a one score game at the buzzer. We are taking Miss State to cover!
Mississippi State
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
- Commodores are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Commodores are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
- Commodores are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
- Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
UL Lafayette (+26.5) at LSU – LSU is 1-11 (and 0 for their last 7) ATS in their last 12 at home, and it’s time for that streak to end. BSL has ridden this team to the brink of economic collapse and this is where it pays off. UL-L is due for a letdown coming off of an emotional last minute win over Kansas State, UL-L’s second win over a BCS-conf school (last one was Texas A &M in 1996). Yes, UL-L is better than usual, but they are still UL-L. In 21 games against the Tigers, UL-L has scored a total of ….wait for it…22 points. Meanwhile, LSU’s offense has a big time chip on their should after turning in sub-par performances against UW and Vanderbilt and hearing all week that they don’t throw deep enough. LSU will throw deep in this one. True freshman phenom Russell Sheppard will find the endzone (maybe more than once), and LSU will roll big time. The ATS numbers are not going to be reflective on how this game plays out. We are taking the Tigers in a big way.
- Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
- Cornhuskers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Hokies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hokies are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Seminoles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Seminoles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cougars are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
If you like what you see, like our picks and like our free analysis tools, we would appreciate it if you signed up through our website to use Bodog as your betting vehicle of choice. We love Bodog and have never had any issues getting our money out. The same can not be said for BetUs, Sportbook and other sites so bettor be warned!!!
Long known as one of the best online sportsbooks, Bodog does it all:
It’s easy to bet on every game – they have every major sport & league covered, their software’s a cinch to learn and they have some nice extras, like live betting and tons of fantasy leagues. This is a big part of why they’re always ranked so highly at sportsbook review sites.
Useful help is always available – if you ever have to call customer service, they’ll handle your problem quickly and without any hassles.
Your money and your information are safe – they have a perfect security, privacy & payout record since they started up in 1994.
Bodog has its head office, and is licensed in, the Caribbean nation of Antigua. The Bodog group of companies (www.bodog.com) offer a host of entertainment services, including online gambling, which includes Poker, Casino and a suite of other world-class products.
Bodog is operated in North America under License by Morris Mohawk Gaming Group.
In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
.jpg "Jenna")
Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: 11/23/2008 Back to the Va Tech well!
After yesterday’s Central Michigan win (no comment on how freakin ridiculous that game was), we are now 35-42-2 on the season and that is not good. We do have some games we like for our Thursday night delight special and this brings us back to the Virginia Tech well which proved to be a winner last week.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (16-11-3 on the season)
Virginia Tech at Miami (-4.5 and OVER/UNDER 43) - When you get down to the end of the season, you get Beamer ball at its finest. Va. Tech took it to Maryland last week on prime time and they look to do the same this week against Miami. Va. Tech, just like last week, does not know who they are starting at QB. We do not think it matters once again just like it did not matter against Maryland. Va. Tech will pound the run again and again and are superior on special teams and coaching. MIami is on a 4 game winning streak and has looked pretty good on defense, a defense that ranks in the top 25. Here are the ATS numbers and the OVER/UNDER numbers:
Va. Tech
- Hokies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- Hokies are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games.
- Hokies are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hokies are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 conference games.
- Hokies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Hokies are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hokies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0 in Hokies last 8 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 13-5 in Hokies last 18 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 7-3 in Hokies last 10 games in November.
Miami
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hurricanes are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 conference games.
- Hurricanes are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.
- Hurricanes are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 home games.
- Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Hurricanes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week.
- Under is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 21-7 in Hurricanes last 28 games in November.
- Under is 26-9 in Hurricanes last 35 home games.
- Under is 11-4 in Hurricanes last 15 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 21-10 in Hurricanes last 31 games on grass.
- Under is 27-13 in Hurricanes last 40 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Those numbers say it all. Miami is improving and Randy Shannon is a good coach. Look out for THE U in 2009 or 2010 because they are getting players and Shannon is legit. However, this Canes team is not ready for the prime time and Virginia Tech always is. I am taking the Hokies to win and I am double playing this with the UNDER. Do not be surprised to see a 16-10 type of game that Va. Tech wins. I think they win outright and I get points. I love it.
I spread for the HOKIES!!!
RPJ $yndicate Pick (35-42-2 on the season)
Wyoming at UNLV (-7) - Yes Wyoming beat Tennessee at Tennessee last week and we think that is the exact reason to bet on UNLV this week. Wyoming hit this ass!!!
There is no way Wyoming is focused after pounding that ass like last wekeend. Just pathetic that an SEC team loses at home to Wyoming; and of course according to the Pope, Jesus and Mother Teresa, the SEC is the best conference in football. Makes us sick! This just shows how bad Tennessee is. Wyoming averages 11.8 points per game, gives up 28 points per game, turns the ball over three times a game and is 2-7 ATS this season. UNLV is nothing to speak of but they are playing at home against a team that is primed for a letdown. We are not even giving you the ATS numbers this week because they are irrelevant and they do not favor UNLV (worked for us with the Chips/No. Illinois game). Ha ha. Check for yourself on our matchups tool. We love UNLV in this game. They will win and they will cover! You can bet Tennessee’s sweet ass on that.
Gratuitous Ass Shot of the Week!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 11 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Utah Becomes the Next Thursday Night Victim
Nate Davis burned us last night. Thought Northern Illinois could keep him in check better then they did, although they did a nice job in the 1st quarter. With our Wednesday night loss, RPJ is now 32-38-2 on the season. We have two picks for you tonight!
Yeah we gave away our pick in the title. This is a no brainer game for bettors.
TCU (-2) at Utah - TCU has one loss this year and it was to Oklahoma. They destroyed BYU and will take their nasty defense and running attack on the road to play Utah. TCU ranks third in the nation in scoring defense (10.8 points per game), and second in total defense (214.5 ypg). Its run defense, which leads the nation with 38.9 yards allowed per game, will be tested by a Utah team that has rushed for 520 yards over its last two games. The Horned Frogs, who have won five straight games by an average of 28.4 points since a 35-10 loss to then-No. 2 Oklahoma on Sept. 27, limited UNLV to 175 total yards in Saturday’s 44-14 victory. Also, we are very cognizant that TCU has lost four of its last meetings in Utah and that scares us but this TCU team will not have a let down. They are physical and nasty and control their own destiny because they got through BYU and only have one game left after this one, a winnable game against Air Force. Two wins and TCU writes their own BCS ticket. The ATS numbers:
TCU
- Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Horned Frogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Horned Frogs are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
- Horned Frogs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Horned Frogs are 13-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Utah
- Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Utes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
- Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Utes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Utes are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Utes are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
This TCU team has witnessed Utah winning the last two years and will be ready to exact revenge. We think Utah’s offense is getting a bit stale; New Mexico showed that last week. Utah has been living dangerously close to multiple loses this year. Check out these scores. 13-10 at New Mexico, 31-28 vs. Oregon State, 30-23 at Air Force, 25-23 at Michigan. TCU on the other hand has only had one flukey game this year, a 13-7 win at Colorado State the week before the BYU game. We will chalk that one up as a look ahead game. We love this game. TCU wins big and easily!
They get better every day!
Maryland at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 42) - The fighting turtles scare the crap out of us and have burned us all year. How in the hell is NCAA football so bad the the Terps are ranked 21st in the country. This is literally the same Terps team that was shut out by Virginia and lost to Middle Tennessee State. We hate them so we are going to do what we do best, not worry about the outcome of the game and focus on the amount of points scored. Check these numbers out:
Maryland
- Under is 7-0 in Terrapins last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 conference games.
- Under is 8-2 in Terrapins last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-6 in Terrapins last 27 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Terrapins last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 10-4 in Terrapins last 14 games overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Terrapins last 10 games following a bye week.
Virginia Tech
What is the spread?
- Under is 7-0 in Hokies last 7 Thursday games.
- Under is 7-1 in Hokies last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in Hokies last 12 home games.
- Under is 17-4 in Hokies last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 12-5 in Hokies last 17 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Looks just like our lovely Northern Illinois team. Under, under, Under. We do not even know who will be playing QB for Va. Tech. Both guys are hurt and their offense was not that good to begin with. Next throw in that Maryland’s star RB, Da’Rel Scott was injured and is banged up and a bad offense just got worse. No further explanation needed. We are betting the UNDER 42 in this game! Ralph Friedgen is still fat!
RPJ Hot Chick of the Day
Trish Stratus We Love You!
Good luck with your picks.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate
First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,
Who wants to floss with my thong?
It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…
RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.
Bowling Green
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.
It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:
Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Toledo
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!
Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!
<!–[endif]–>
Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.
Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.
Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.
And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….
Over, over, over, over, over!!!
The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!
Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.
We really went to the wrong college. God Bless SEC girls!!!
LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!
Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:
Baylor
Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….
Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.
It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.
Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)
I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:
- Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
- Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.
Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2
Green = Ass for the Cash!!!
Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:
Colorado State
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.
SDSU
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Head-to-Head
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3
3 Asses to end my triple play!
Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:
- Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.
Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!
Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)
Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas.
Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.
Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.
Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.
Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.
BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.
Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.
Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.
Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.
UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU. Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.
South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2
We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.
The Great Debate Game
Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.
Missouri
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.
Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.
Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:
Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!). FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.
Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.
Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.
Akron
- Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Eastern Michigan
-
Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)
- Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….
I love the internet!!!
Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!
San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:
- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
- Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!
San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.
San Jose State
- Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
New Mexico State
- Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
-
Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!
Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:
Houston
- Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
SMU
- Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
- Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.
Head-to-Head
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!
Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:
Florida International
- Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Troy
- Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)
Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.
Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.
Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.
UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.
Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.
Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.
Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.
Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.
USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
No comment necessary!
RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.
Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.
Flash Flash and Runny
9/20/2008 - Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks - Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!
First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.
Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.
Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….
And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….
And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.
Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.
Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Temple at Penn State (-28.5) - Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:
Temple
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.
Penn State
NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.
LSU at Auburn (+2.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:
LSU
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.
Auburn
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.
Wake Forest at Florida State (-5) - This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:
Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.
Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) - Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….
Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Michigan State
Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.
Head-to-Head
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.
Runny Versus Flash - The Great Debate Game
Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:
Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Arizona State
Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.
Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.
Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap - THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?
The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.
(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).
Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.
Flash Flash Picks (3-1 on the season) and the rule of 28
Seems like all my picks have 28 point spreads. Here goes:
Wyoming at BYU (-28) - BYU is coming of a total decimation of UCLA in very impressive fashion and continuing with the nation’s longest winning streak. BYU has the toughness and wants to make it into the BCS title picture. Some points to think about…Last week, the Cougars rolled up 521 total yards even though no individual player had more than 110 yards from scrimmage. The Cougars forced four turnovers and allowed nine rushing yards on 16 carries in handing UCLA its first shutout loss since 2001. Do not doubt this team for a second. 28 points does not scare me. BYU wins and covers convincingly!!!
Rice at Texas (-28) - Good things typically happen for Texas when it meets Rice. The Longhorns, who have won nine straight games over the Owls, are 37-1 against them since 1966 to improve to 68-21-1 in the all-time series, which dates to 1914. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Rice Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Texas wins and covers easily!!!
Runny Pelvis (6-6 on the season)
VaTech at UNC (-3) - UNC shocked me last week with their dominating win over Rutgers in Jersey. Pretty damn impressive. Butch Davis has completely turned that program around. He has done an excellent job of recruiting and it is starting to show. Props to him and that team. However, the Hokies have a great coach, too, and a very established program. Frank Beamer knows how to run a team. Despite the fact that they have looked bad this year and lost their opener to East Carolina, I think they cover in this one. I love the points. Some facts: Tech is 10-1 ATS on the road against opponents they beat the year before, Tech is 12-2 in their lined road openers and UNC is 2-8 as Favorites of 6 points or less. VaTech covers and wins outright.
Miss St. at GaTech (-7.5) - Miss St scrapped last week against Auburn. Impressive? Not to me. Their schedule has been a joke: the lost to LaTech and beat SE LA. That’s right-SE LA!!!! Tech, on the other hand played J’Ville St, BC and VaTech. Much more impressive to me. Paul Johnson is a great coach and within two years, he will have GaTech competing for a BCS title. They aren’t there yet, but I think they are the much better team here. Also, Miss St is 1-6 ATS in their games immediately following Auburn. That says to me that they blow their loads against Auburn. Bad timing this week. I’m taking GaTech -7.5.
Iowa at Pitt (+1) - This line says a lot about how Pitt’s season is going. With all the pre-season hype and the studs they have on this team, no way Pitt should be an underdog in this game. However, after an opening loss to Bowling Green and not destroying Buffalo, Pitt finds themselves sucking it. They haven’t covered all year, and they won’t this week. Iowa has a solid D (allowing a Nation’s best only 2.7 points per game) and they beat their bitter rival last week. We like them here, too. Facts: Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against a team .600 or better under Dave Wannstadt. Enough said for me. Take Iowa -1.
Central Michigan at Purdue (O/U: 64.5) - You readers know that we love us some Dan LaFevour. He is the man!! He knows how to run wild and throw-up some points. However, so does Curtis Painter and Purdue. I love he MAC and I researched this game more than any other this week. Honestly, I cannot figure out who will cover (at posting time, Purdue is giving 3). So, I’m not picking a team. I’m taking the game. Both teams can throw-up massive amounts of point. I love the over in this. Take the OVER 64.5.
Troy at Ohio State (-20.5) - OSU is fresh off the drubbing they received at the hands of SC last weekend. They were completely over matched and dejected by halftime. Now they come home with their tails between their legs and looking to salvage their program and self-respect. Beanie Wells is out, and there has been no decision on who will start at QB. If Tressel is smart, he will go with Pryor for the rest of the season. We watched him in person last week and think he is every bit as good as advertised. He needs to play. However, I think Tressel is still going to play him in spots. I think this is a mistake. This strategy barely beat Ohio. Troy is a MUCH better team than that. They play good D and they smell blood. Facts: Troy is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and OSU is 0-5 at home against non-conference opponents who are coming of a straight-up win. I think OSU wins, but Troy can keep it within 20.5.
Bama at Ark (+8.5) - HUGE SEC battle!! I can’t wait to watch this game. Both coaches left the NFL under high scrutiny. Both have excellent NCAA coaching histories. Bama is stacked and had, in my opinion, the best recruiting class in the country. Julio Jones is a future NFL star and an immediate difference make. Ark does not have that type of player, but they can still play. Both teams will be geeked for this game. What will give? I say Ark covers. Facts: The Dog in this series is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 match-ups, and Ark is 7-1 as underdogs off a non-conference game vs. an opponent off double digit straight-up win. Due to hurricane Ike, Ark is rested and this is the game they have had circled all year. I think they get a huge emotional edge at home. I’m taking the points and riding Ark +8.5.
Ball State at Indiana (-3) - I will be heading to this game and tailgating like a madman. This is a HUGE rivalry for the great state of Indiana. Both teams will be fired-up. I can’t wait!! Should be shootout, but I think Ball State covers. Facts: IU is 6-1-1 against the MAC and 6-1 at home against an opponent off of back-to-back straight-up ATS wins. This favors IU immensely and give that they are in the Big 10, they should blow Ball State out. However, they have had some turmoil this season (Middleton suspension) and they have not looked that great. Balls State is hot, and I can guarantee you that have had this game circled on their calendars since they were pummeled by Rutgers in last year’s final game. Nate Davis is a stud who leaves it all on the field every game. I’m taking Ball State +3.
Florida at TENN (+7.5) - THE #2 game of the week. Another HUGE SEC match-up. These teams hate each other and it is typically a good game. The ATS numbers scream take Tenn: Tenn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 match-ups and Fla is 2-6 in their last 8 September games. However, the key to me to this game is that Florida is coming off the bye. This is huge. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They will be ready. Remember, this is the same Tenn team that lost to a terrible UCLA that was crushed by BYU last week. Tenn is overrated. This spread is high because Vegas knows Tenn is bad. With the ATS numbers, the spread should not be this high. I’m taking Fla -7.5.
Enjoy the picks and feel free to make comments, tell us we suck and cost you your house or tell us what hot chicks you want to see of feel free to send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
Flash and Runny
P.S no idea why this darn blog bolded everything but this is not a beauty contest. Also, we just saw Jeff Tedford and he was eating a turd sandwich.
2008 Week 2: Weekend NCAA Football Picks: RPJ Syndicate is on a Roll (Heidi Klum’s rolls)
Some record keeping from last week:
RPJ Syndicate is 4-1
Flash Flash for the Cash is 2-0
Runny Pelvis the Fat is 1-1
Heidi Klum is hot as hell!!!
Yup hot chicks won out!!! Thanks for your input.
How this blog works is as follows. Flash Flash and Runny merge two successful betting systems to optimize their picks. RPJ Syndicate is our combined effort. Our solo picks are picks that failed one of our betting systems but each individual handicapper still loves and wants to put out there for our readers. The single most important fact is this…..we put our money where our mouth is!!! We share the gain, like last week, and share the pain, which is inevitable to bite us in the ass once in a blue moon and hopefully never but ee are realists and know that shiznit happens so we are not going to sit here and say we are always perfect or winners like our rivals. They are full of Lexington Steele’s cahk, in their anus, and are just trying to make a quick buck at your expense. Over the course of the season we will win more than we lose and the proof is in our results plain and simple. We know some of you are winning with us because you share your gains with us via email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com to the tune of thousands of dollars. You know who you are and please keep up the dialogue and share your thoughts with us.
This is always a little scary when we love this many games but we have to put our money to work when things are this good. We come at you with 8 games this weekend. On with the picks…..
RPJ PICKS (4-1 on the season)
These are all 1 unit bets for us. We think it is still too early to jack up some of these games.
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State (-21) - Michigan State is coming off an emotional loss at Cal. Sorry Spartan fans but they had no chance. Teams do not travel well when they head West. Sounds like a dumb reason to lose but it is the fact. Just ask Vols fans this week. Coach Dantonio is a good coach and has the Spartans moving down the right path. Javon Ringer is one of the best players in the Big Ten and one of the most overlooked players in football. He will break out this game.
Some ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Eagles are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Michigan State Spartans
Nothing relevant
Looks to us like the Eagles do not play well after wins, out of conference, in September and versus the Big Ten. We smell an old fashioned arse whooping. Take Michigan State to the bank with an easy cover!
Central Michigan @ Georgia (-24) - This is the most painful bet we will ever lay. Yes we are going to bet against The Fever.
Dan LeFevour is simply the man. We admit that we have man-crushes. If Tebow was not playing right now all anybody would be talking about is The Fever. Fever is the second player in history to pass for more than 3,000 yards and rush for more than 1,000 yards. Vince Young was the first. Also, keep in mind that with all the well deserved accolades laid down on Tebow last year, The Fever was one rushing TD away from reaching the 20-20 club that won Tebow the Heisman (The Fever had 27 passing TD’s to Tebow’s 32).
The ATS numbers for both schools are good:
Chippewas are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Chippewas are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chippewas are 24-7-3 ATS in their last 34 games overall.
Chippewas are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chippewas are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Chippewas are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
It is a sad day but as Clemson proved last year, and that was Clemson, The Chips can not compete with elite competition. Bulldogs win big and cover!!!! Sorry Dan but we will jump back on your bandwagon later in the season.
BYU (-9) at Washington - BYU had the turnover jitters last week and still won 41-17. Washington pulled a Willingham and competed for one half before getting decimated in the second half. BYU always plays tough and has some experience winning against the Pac-10. Willingham is a clown and can not get talent to Washington and guards his players and practices with a steel curtain. He needs to look South to see that Pete Carroll holds open practices. Does this look like the face of a winner? Body language says it all.
The ATS numbers:
Cougars are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cougars are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cougars are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Cougars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Huskies are 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 home games.
Huskies are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Washington has zero chance of winning this game. BYU is for real and will play in a decent bowl. 10 points should be enough. Take BYU to cover against the suckfest that is Ty Willingham. If you were not aware, Washington coach Ty Willingham is 6-21 in the Pac-10 and 1-9 against the other Northwest teams. So to reiterate….Take BYU to win and cover!!!
Ole Miss at Wake Forest (-7.5) - We are following one of our rules, Ole Miss will not travel well out of conference. Wake Forest is coming off an impressive easy win at Baylor and is coming home, after their first win ever in Texas and to a new stadium. They are going to fight like hell for that first home win and it will come at Ole Miss’ expense. Houston Nutt versus Jim Grobe is no contest. Wake beat these guys in 2006 in Mississippi and should not be worried at home. Houston Nutt is not the savior Ole Miss fans think he is and he does not have Run DMC or Felix Jones to save his ass every week like they did last year when he coached at Arkansas. Wake plays solid D, efficient O and has the coaching advantage while playing at home. Throw in the fact that Ole Miss has lost 4 straight road openers and 13 of 14 and you know what we are cooking here. The ATS numbers:
Rebels are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
Rebels are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Demon Deacons are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Demon Deacons go to 2-0 and although we would love to see this line under 7 we think a 10 point Wake win is not out of the question. Take Wake to win and cover!!!
West Virginia at East Carolina (+7.5) - This smells like a little bit of let down city to us. E. Carolina is coming off an emotional upset of Va. Tech and now has to come right back to face Pat White and West Virginia. Yes the same Pat White and West Virginia that beat their ass 48-7 last year. Check out the highlights if you want to predict this weekend.
West Virginia has beaten East Carolina seven straight times since 2000, outscoring them 278-103. Take a look at the ATS numbers:
Mountaineers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Mountaineers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.
Pirates are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Pirates are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games in September.
Pirates are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Pirates are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
Pirates are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.
Pirates are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East.
That last one really sticks out to us. If the Pirates do not line up well against the Big East then they are going to have problems with White and Devine. Throw in the fact that the Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and we are loving West Virginia. Pat White, our dark horse Heisman candidate, is going to roll in this game. Take West Virginia to win and cover.
Minnesota at Bowling Green (-5.5) - We love this game. Bowling Green coming home after an awesome win at Pitt to face one of the bottom dwellers of the Big 10. We do not think the MAC is so far off talent wise compared to the Big Ten and this game will prove it. Minnesota barely beat MAC bottom dweller Northern Illinois at home and did not cover last week.
The ATS trends:
Golden Gophers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Golden Gophers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bowling Green is going to be jacked up at home and will defend their home field. Take Bowling Green for an easy win and cover!!!
Miami at Florida (-22.5) - This is going to be a fun game. 8PM, prime time, Tebow’s first game versus “The U” and the Gators trying to end a 23 year winless streak. It is hard to believe all of that is true but the facts are the facts. Florida is still tough to read because Coach Meyer wants us all to believe he is going to protect Tebow from the pounding he faced last year but in reality the only way they are going to win games is if Tebow is Tebow. And that Tebow loves to hold and cuddle big men. See for yourself.
The Gators will live and die with Tebow. The U is working towards regaining some of its lost luster and potentially has the speed on defense to keep this game in check. Also, they have Robert Marve, from the state of Florida and the QB who broke a lot of Tebow’s records. This is a brutal place to start your first game but Marve has the talent. The Florida schools have a certain rivalry and bragging rights and The U lives by this creed. 22.5 points is a lot to cover in a state game of this magnitude. The ATS numbers:
Hurricanes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Hurricanes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Hurricanes are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Hurricanes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Gators are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
We think this is a tough one to peg but think The U is a team on the rise and 22.5 points is too many to give. We do not think The U has a chance of winning but if the final score is 45-24, which is a blowout, guess what, The U covered for you. Take Miami to cover!!!
UL Monroe at Arkansas (-13) - Arkansas did not look good last week versus Western Illinois and actually had to rally from a 24-14 4th quarter deficit to get on track and win 28-24. UL Monroe got shutout by Auburn and showed absolutely nothing. Bobby Petrino will likely face some growing pains this season but they are not going to come against UL-Monroe. Petrino is one of the best play callers in football. The UL-Monroe Warhawks will be overmatched in this game and they have already shown that they vanish on the road in SEC stadiums. The ATS numbers:
Warhawks are 14-31 ATS in their last 45 non-conference games.
Warhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Also, and most importantly, Arkansas’ cheerleaders have great porno first names. Check this out:
Jenna and Kacey with a “K” and a “C”. I see the tag team action right now. And with a QB named Casey Dick. I can see the porno headline right now…..”Jenna and Kacey love Casey’s Dick” We could go on for hours with this. “Casey’s Dick deep inside Jenna and Kacey” Alright you get the point. Those ATS numbers for Arkansas were all under Houston “likes to suck” Nutt so we are not concerned. Arkansas will roll easily in this game so take them to cover!!!
Flash Flash picks (2-0 on the season)
Only one pick from me this week……Texas will thrash UTEP. UTEP gets thrashed by Buffalo, not the Buffalo Bills, but U of B. What a joke. Texas squashes UTEP big. You heard it here first.
Runny Pelvis Picks (1-1 after Week 1, 1-2 on the Season, damn Gamecocks, they probably got ahold of Casey’s Dick too!)
Navy @ Ball State (-6.5): I love the MAC and I love the Testicular Ones to win it this year. They are stacked at QB, they have outstanding wideouts and Dave Letterman is an alumn. I like Navy, too, just not in this game. Losing Coach Johnson will be a big deal. I’m taking Ball State at home -6.5.
Akron @ CUSE (-4.5): Normally CUSE giving any amount of points to any team is begging you to go against them. They are bad and their coach will be gone by the end of the year. Couple that with the fact that Akron is not a bad team and could win the MAC this year and it is a recipe to take Akron and run. I don’t buy it. CUSE is 10-1-1 in their last 12 against the MAC. I love them in The Dome. Take CUSE -4.5.
Stanford @ ASU (-14): Stanford surprised us with their win last week against Oregon State. Very surprising. Jim Harbaugh has a good idea of where he is taking this program and he is a good coach. However, ASU is just too stacked. Rudy Carpenter is legit and plays with a lot of heart. ASU just has too much ammo for the Cardinals. Also, the home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8. Take ASU -14.
S.Miss +17.5 @ Auburn: Call me crazy, because on paper Auburn should destroy S.Miss. But, that’s why they play the games!!! S. Miss is up-and-coming and their new coach, Larry Fedora, knows how to run an offense. They will catch Auburn sleeping. Plus, S. Miss is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 match-ups with Auburn. Take S. Miss +17.5.
Keep the emails coming at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and hit us up on this blog in our comment section. We are here to help and make everybody money and stare at Keyra Augustina’s delightful ass.
Flash Flash and Runny