Vida Guerra
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Texas versus Pop Warner Buckeyes
Does anybody out there think Ohio State has any sort of chance? We all saw what happened to Penn State, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Northwestern and Michigan State competed but lost. Iowa decimated a terrible South Carolina team but that was the only decent showing by the Big 10. This game is going to get ugly fast.
Ohio State versus Texas (-8.5 and OVER/UNDER 52)
RPJ is picking Texas to win big and cover and here is why: Texas has the travel advantage. Ohio State lost to the only two decent teams it played this year; USC by blowout and Penn State in a close one. Colt McCoy is a man on a mission. We will not bet against him. The nation has seen these games before; the Ohio State faithful bet the Buckeyes because they are insane and irrational. The line comes down and then the Buckeyes get destroyed. Just ask Florida, LSU and USC. Ohio State was even favored in that Florida game. Total insanity but an awesome money making opportunity for the rational bettors out there. The only thing that scares us is that most of the money is on Texas in this game and the line keeps dropping and dropping. Opened at -10.5 and is not down to -7.5 to -8.5 depending when and where you bet. The ATS numbers:
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big 12.
- Buckeyes are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games on grass.
- Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
- Buckeyes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Texas
- Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Longhorns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
- Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
- Longhorns are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Longhorns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
- Longhorns are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Bowl games as a favorite.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
- Longhorns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
RPJ Math is taking Texas to win and cover!
The Wildcard is taking Texas to win and cover and here is why:Tonight is one of the most anticipated Bowl game of the season…Texas and Ohio State. The line has jumped around from like 10.5 down to 8, and it looks like it’s settling at about 9 right now. The Wild Card, thinking that the line would increase to 11 or so, bought in at 9.5. When it dropped to 8 he flipped out, bought a point and put a bunch of cash on Texas -7. And yes, The Wildcard likes talking in third person. I think Terrelle Pryor will be a special QB..I really do. But he struggles throwing the ball right now. Luckily he can run because he’ll definitely need to; Texas’ front four and Brian Orakpo will dominate OSU’s offensive line all night. With Pryor’s arm not scaring anyone, Texas will be able to man up on the OSU receivers along them to shut down Beanie Wells and the run game. On offense Texas will do what they please. I’m not a big Colt McCoy fan but he gets his playmakers the ball and let’s them run. Ohio State’s defense is WAY overrated. Jenkins, an amazing zone corner, gets beat deep a lot. Lauranitis is slow reacting and can’t shed blocks. They just won’t be able to match Texas’ speed on offense and won’t get any pressure on MistaColt. Texas’ underrated RB’s should have lots of room tonight. Ohio State will come out strong because they will be fired up. They’re playing for the pride of the entire Big 10. It won’t matter…Texas turns the jets on in the third quarter and cruises. Texas 34, Ohio State 16
RPJ Pic of the day!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Buffalo Versus UCONN
Yes we are crazy enough to bet this game. Crazy like Pam Anderson….
Buffalo versus UCONN (-7 and OVER/UNDER 51.5)
RPJ is picking Buffalo to cover and here is why: Never bet against the Boys from upstate. We learned our lesson in the MAC championship game. This game is in Toronto and will have a ton of Buffs fans in attendance. Buffalo is 6-1 straight up in their last 7 losing a look ahead game to Kent State before the Ball State smack down. Buffs are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6. UCONN has lost two in a row and is 0-2 ATS in those games.
RPJ Math selects Buffalo
RPJ Pics of the day!
and one more for good measure!
Flash Flash and Runny
2008 NBA: DAY 15 PICKS!!!!!!!!!
Greetings folks. Took the weekend off to focus on football and get our plan together for this week. Our season record stands at a terrible 18-20 ATS. We know that sucks and we know we are having a pretty terrible year calling games all around. But, we are still here and will keep grinding. Our NBA models have grown a little-we are analyzing way more information in picking the games. Consequently, our picks may take a little longer. Also, more analysis means potentially wordy posts. We will do our best to avoid both. We are happy where this will be going. Tonight, we are going to keep this short and sweet. Here is what we like tonight:
Trailblazers @ Magic (-7): Magic win in a close cover. Take the Magic and give the points. (NOTE: We would take this more than -7).
Thunder @ Pacers (+11.5): The Thunder are terrible, but we love the points. Take the Thunder to cover.
Nets @ Heat (-8.5): Heat win in blowout. Take the Heat and give the points.
Raptors @ Celtics (-8.5): Raptors will win outright. Take the Raptors and the points.
Grizzlies @ Suns (-11.5): Take the Suns and give the points.
As always, good luck tonight.
Runny & Flash
2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage
Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season, RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!
Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.
RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)
Game 1
Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.
Game 2
Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.
Game 3
Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.
Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)
Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!
Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)
Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.
Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate
First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,
It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…
RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.
Bowling Green
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.
It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:
Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Toledo
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!
Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!
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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.
Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.
Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.
And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….
The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!
Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.
LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!
Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:
Baylor
Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….
Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.
It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.
Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)
I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:
- Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
- Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.
Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2
Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:
Colorado State
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.
SDSU
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Head-to-Head
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3
Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:
- Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.
Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!
Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)
Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas.
Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.
Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.
Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.
Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.
BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.
Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.
Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.
Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.
UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU. Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.
South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
Week 8 Free Winning NCAA Football Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Saturday Revenge
We do not need to remind you how terrible last week was. We were 2-8-1. Last week was the single worst week in RPJ history and we are back with a vengeance this Saturday. We are going to riot if we do not go undefeated and win a big parlay for hundreds of thousands. We did respond well with a 2-0 night this past Thursday and we feel great about our weekend picks. This is going to be one of our strangest weeks betting. Flash and Runny just did not mesh or agree on many of the games and will be going alone more than together. Also, we had some glitches with the new website so this post will be RPJ picks and the subsequent post will be Flash Flash and Runny picks. We have a ton of games we love this weekend. Also, in keeping with tradition and with our other posts this week, we are going to throw ass at you all post long. This week we honor one of Runny’s favorites…Miss Vida Guerra. Check out this video.
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Syracuse at South Florida (-24) - Syracuse is going to run into a buzzsaw this weekend. It is South Florida’s homecoming and Tampa is going sports bananas cause of the Rays and the Bulls’ success. South Florida will have had 16 days to prepare for this game and the last game they played was their PITT loss. Syracuse has the worst defense in the Big East and is 14th from last in all of D-1. LAst year South Florida won on the road 41-10 and the Bulls have outscored The Orange 95-20 in their three meetings. South Florida’s defense is the best in the Big East and is ranked 11th in the country and they get George Selvie back for this game.
The ATS numbers:
Syracuse
Orange are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Orange are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Orange are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Orange are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Orange are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
South Florida
Bulls are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
South Florida is 3-0 all time ATS versus Syracuse.
16 days to prepare, the return of Selvie and homecoming. Syracuse does not stand a chance. Take South Florida to win and cover!
One pick down, one more video of Miss Vida…
Texas Tech (-21) at Texas A&M - We are jumping back on the Texas Tech bandwagon. Texas Tech won last week but failed to cover for the first time this season (They did have one push). We do not need to tell you how explosive Texas Tech’s offense is. We know you read the papers and watch Sportscenter. Texas A&M has one of the worst defenses in D-1, ranking 107th in the nation, giving up 33 points per game. Texas A&M’s defensive coordinator, Joe Kines, actually said the only way they could slow down Texas Tech is if it rained heavily. The ATS numbers are:
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Red Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Texas A&M
Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Aggies are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
Aggies are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Aggies are 5-18-1 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Aggies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Red Raiders are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Not great ATS numbers but Texas Tech has the clear edge, especially in the heads-up-matches. We think Texas Tech rebounds nicely from their scare last week and comes out on all cylinders. Texas Tech wins and covers!!!
That is it for RPJ picks this week. We gave you two on Thursday, one on Friday and two more this weekend. Look for our part two piece so you can see what we are saying individually. We also promise to show more hot chicks.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2
We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.
The Great Debate Game
Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.
Missouri
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.
Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.
Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:
Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!). FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.
Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.
Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.
Akron
- Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Eastern Michigan
-
Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)
- Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….
Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!
San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:
- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
- Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!
San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.
San Jose State
- Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
New Mexico State
- Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
-
Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!
Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:
Houston
- Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
SMU
- Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
- Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.
Head-to-Head
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!
Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:
Florida International
- Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Troy
- Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)
Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.
Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.
Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.
UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.
Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.
Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.
Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.
Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.
USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.
Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.
Flash Flash and Runny























