Vikings
Week 13 Free NFL Winning Picks 2008: blah blah, lets win money!
The NFL has been kind to us lately. Our records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 17-19 on the season, Flash Flash is 10-6 and Runny Pelvis is 17-33-1. We love a bunch of games this Sunday and are coming out swinging. We also have a new favorite hottie. Between Nina Moric and Jakki Degg, this has been one hell of a week. Check out Jakki:
Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!
RPJ $yndicate Pick
Denver at NY Jets (-8.5) - We love betting the hot team and the Jets are one of the hottest. The Jets have four covers in a row and have won 5 games in a row since a bizarre loss to the Oakland Raiders and they sit in first place. New York has scored a franchise-record 115 points in its last three games, as Favre is completing 77.4 percent of his passes for 649 yards, five touchdowns and one interception in those contests. The Jets are getting it done on both sides of the ball though. The Jets are third in the league against the run (78.0 ypg), and haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher all season. They limited the Titans to 45 yards on 11 carries last week. Somehow, the Broncos are also in first place but are doing it in different fashion with one of the worst defenses in football. The Broncos are 28th in both total defense (390.8 yards per game) and scoring defense (27.5 ppg). Denver was unable to slow down lowly Oakland last Sunday, as the Raiders, who hadn’t scored an offensive touchdown in 15 quarters, handed the Broncos a 31-10 home loss. The ATS numbers:
Broncos
Jets
We think this number might be a little high and we wish the game was scheduled for 1pm but beggars can’t be choosers. The easiest thing to do is betting is to hammer the hot team and the Jets are the hottest team in the AFC. We are taking the Jets to win and cover!
Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?
Flash Flash Picks
NY Giants at Washington (+3.5) - A lot of bettors are betting on the Redskins and the line shows this. This line should be as high as the Jets/Broncs, if not higher. Yes, the Giants are banged up, but if you have not been paying attention this year, the Giants are THE BEST TEAM in the NFL. I want to the Cowboys/Redskins monday night football game two weeks ago and let me tell you one thing…the Redskins have zero offense when Portis is banged up and guess what…Portis is banged up. Portis will play but he is not the same back he was early in the year. And earlier in the year, the Giants held Portis to his second lowest per carry yardage of the season. The Giants just went on the road without Jacobs and Plax and destroyed the Cardinals. That win was impressive as hell. Jacobs might be back but Plax is still out. It just does not matter because the G-Men are the ultimate team and somebody like Boss, Steve Smith or Hixon always steps up. The Giants are 9-2 ATS and are 4-1 ATS on the road and the Redskins are only 2-4 ATS at home. The Giants will probably have a let down or two this year like they did against the Browns but it will not be within the NFC East. Here are the ATS numbers:
Giants
- Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East.
- Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
- Giants are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.
- Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Giants are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win.
- Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
- Giants are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 vs. NFC.
- Giants are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Redskins
Head-to-Head
That stat that the Skins ore 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home is significant and I have first hand knowledge. No matter what the Skins fans do, FedEx field is not loud and has no chance of being loud. Literally, Notre Dame’s stadium gets 10 times louder and that is a smaller stadium. Dan Snyder is a money grubbing whore and he destroyed the home field advantage the Skins had at RFX with the montrosity that is FedEx field. I think this game will be just like the first game…Low scoring in the first half, the better team and better coaching staff makes adjustments and comes out firing. And that team is the Giants. I am taking the Giants to win and cover!
The Jakki Degg trifecta
Runny Pelvis Picks
Panthers at Packers (-3): Panthers are playing very bad right now. Delhomme has been inconsistent, and that is putting it nicely. Going to Lambeau at the end of Novemebr is tough for any team. Even more so when they are playing bad. I’m taking the Packers and giving the points.
Pittsburgh at New England (-1): Teams really show their worth during this time of year. In order to be champs, you have to play at a championship level. Part of that is being able to beat good teams n the road. In order to do that, you have to play outstanding D. That is just what the Steelers do. They roll into Foxboro to face a Pats team that is extrememly hot and seemingly in sync. How do you stop a team like that? Hit them in the mouth! That is what the Steelers do best. They will blitz, and blitz and blitz. They will also completely shutdown the Pats running game. Steelers win in a close one. Take the Steelers and the points.
Kansas City at Oakland (-3): I can’t believe I’m even touching this game, but my Raiders are hot right now. They can match wits with the Chiefs at home. I’m taking the Raiders and giving the points.
Chicago at Minnesota (-3.5): Great NFC North match-up. The Bears roll into Minnesota in a fight for 1st place. The Vikings are playing solid D and their running game is taking off. Both teams are sketchy at QB, but I like the Vikings D and running attack. I’m taking the Vikings and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Shot of the Day
Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!
Flash Flash and Runny
2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage
Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season, RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!
Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.
Eva Mendes is always a "Winning" choice!
RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)
Game 1
Jessica Biel needed to return to us!
Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.
Game 2
Talk About Golden Globes!! Katherine Heigl sports some round mounds of fun!
Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.
Game 3
Lindsay Lohan's Lesbian toys!
Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.
Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)
Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!
Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)
Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.
Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!
Just lovely!
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NFL PICKS WEEK 9: WEEK 9 IS FINE!!!!
Greetings. After the 5-0 weekend last week, we brought our record to 20-11-2. That is damn fine as we head into week 9. We look to continue our undefeated run with some more locks today. Here we go:
Cowboys -3 @ Eagles: The Cowboys roll into Philly looking to avenge two straight beatdwons at the hands of the Eagles. The Eagles head back home after a solid win in Minnesota amidst the turmoil of Andy Reid and his family crisis (Andy, take a leave of absence. Focus on your kids and family. Life is too short to worry about a team where the fans chant “Bill Cower” in the stands of your home games all the while your kids are falling apart. It is not a sign of weakness to resign. Refusing to step down is a sign of arrogance and stupidity. That is just our two cents..). The Boys are coming off the bye. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 November games. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 9. The Boys will win easily. Look for TO to have a big game. Take the Cowboys -3.
Redskins -3.5 @ Jets: The Jets finally pulled the trigger on Pennigton and will start Kellen Clemens this week. We agree with this move. The Jets aren’t going to the playoffs this year. They should look to their future. Clemens has a gun and it is worth the look. That said, they are still pretty bad. Their team has been decimated by injuries. The Skins are fresh off the mother of all beatdowns last week from New England. They will rebound. They have a solid D that is good enough to hold down the Jets O. The Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record. Take the Skins -3.5.
49ers +3.5 @ Falcons: Both these teams are a mess. This game cracks us up!!! The 49ers roll into town probably with Alex Smith back. He is no Joe Montana, but he is probably as good as Joey Harrington. The 49ers have a better D. Here are some other tidbits: 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 head-to-head meetings; the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Take the points in this one (we think the 49ers win outright anway). Take the 49ers +3.5.
Chargers -7 @ Vikings: Chargers are rollin’ now. The Vikings have the NFL’s best back in Adrian Peterson. However, manning the Vikings helm is Brad Childress. He is a terrible play caller (single-handedly cost them the Cowboys game). The Chargers D will be all over Jackson/Holcomb. They can stop Peterson. This is alot of points to give a home team, but they can cover. Take the Chargers -7.
Ravens +9 @ Steelers: The Ravens have not played well, but they are coming off the bye. They will be getting players back from the injury report. The Steelers have been up and down all season. One week they look like the Patriots. The next they get destroyed. Most of those bad games have come on the road. This week they are at home. The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers are unbeaten at Heinz Field this season and have not lost a Monday night game at home in more than 16 years. They will be looking to avenge two beatdwons last season at the hands of the Ravens. They will win this game, but 9 points is too many to give to a division rival coming off the bye. Especially when that rival is a veteran team. Take the points. Take the Ravens +9.
Jags @ Saints -3: The Saints have won 3 straight and look to finally get to .500 on the season. They are at home this week where they have not been good ATS (7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games). They also have not covered (2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall). The Jags held off a late surge by the Bucks last weekend and will throw Quinn Gray out there for his 2nd start. The Jags have a jacked D and will try to pound the Saints with the run. The Saints will counter with stacking the line and make Gray beat them. He won’t. The Saints will cover. Take the Saints -3.
Packers +2.5 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs surprised us this year, but we are not convinced they are as good as their record says. Favre is hot and he has never beat the Chiefs. It will change this week. Pack wins outright. Take the Packers +2.5.
Patriots @ Colts +5.5: Here we go!! Everyone has been asking us our take on this game. Definately the biggest game of the year to date and is probably a preview of the AFC Championship. The Pats have looked unstoppable all season. The Colts have been very impressive, too. Harrison is listed as questionable, but we think he will play. It is tough to find and edge in this game. Both teams have outstanding QB’s. Both D’s are not great, but not bad either. Here is the thing about this though-the Patriots have played a MUCH easier schedule. Their only challenge came against the Cowboys. The Cowboys ultimately lost that game, but did have a lead in the 2nd half. No other team has done that. The rest of their schedule has been a cake walk. On the other hand, the Colts have played some tough teams and still have been damn impressive. They avenged a embarassing loss last year to the Jags. We like the Colts strength of schedule. We like them at home. We like that the media is giving them little chances of winning. We think the Pats will ultimately win, but it will be close. The Colts will cover. Take the Colts +5.5.
There you go. 8 locks!!!!! Good luck with you picks.
Runny & Flash
NFL Preview: A gambler’s intro to making money
The Vegas odds on the NFL season have finally arrived and we wanted to point out to you some of the simple techniques we use to consistently make money. Lets take a look at the over/under win total for each team:
NFC East
Dallas - 9
Philly - 9
NYG- 8
Skins - 7.5
South
Carolina - 9
NO - 9
ATL - 7.5
TB - 7
North
Bears - 10
GB - 7.5
MINN - 6.5
Det - 6
West
Seattle - 9
SF - 7.5
St. Louis - 7.5
Zona - 7
AFC East
NE - 11.5
NYJ - 8
Miami - 7
Bills - 6
South
Indy - 10.5
Jacksonville - 9
TENN - 7
Houston - 6.5
North
Baltimore - 9
Pitt - 9
Cincy - 9
Cle - 5.5
West
SD - 10.5
Denver - 9.5
KC - 7.5
Oak 5
Simply put…Vegas is saying that the Patriots are the best team at 11.5 wins and the Raiders are the worst team at 5 wins. Why are the over/under win totals important? These early lines are the backbone for how Vegas is going to set their point lines this year.
Lets break down these win totals from a historic perspective:
NFL teams that won 11 or more games
2006=5
2005=10
2004=6
2003=7
2002=5
2001=8
6 year average - 6.83333
Why is this important? Well on average for the upcoming 2007 NFL season there will be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games. Vegas right now is only saying that the Pats will win more than 11 games and has the Colts and Chargers at 10.5, close but not 11. Plain and simple numbers are saying that there should be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games and Vegas only has one team identified that can do this. Even if you take the low numbers of 5 teams from 2002 and 2006, that still means there are 4 chances to beat these numbers.
NFL Teams that won 5 games or less in a season
2006= 6
2005=10
2004=7
2003=10
2002=6
2001=7
year average - 7.66666
This stat is even more telling. Vegas has only one team at 5 wins and this stat says that on average, over the last 6 years, there will be 7.6 teams that win 5 games or less. Again this is creating a money making opportunity to find the 6-7 other teams besides the Raiders that will win only 5 games or less. These will be easy under bets.
So to start off this betting year we have identified 11 betting opportunities where we feel Vegas is off by 3 games under or over.
Lets look at the over opportunites. We have spotted 5 opportunities to beat Vegas:
1) Bears - The Bears have an easy schedule and play in a weak division. We think they will win 14 games and Vegas only thinks they will win 10.
2) Saints - The Saints are also in an easy division and Vegas has them tied with Carolina with 9 wins. We think this is a joke and the Saints ar emuch better and will win the conference and come in with 13 wins.
3) Rams - Vegas has this high flying time under .500 at 7.5. C’mon now. S. Jackson will tear it up this year and the offense will be tough to stop with Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael as new additions. Rams win 11 games and the division.
4) Bengals - The Bengals play in a tough division but we think they have a favorable schedule and will win 13 games. Vegas has them at 9.
5) Chargers - We think the Chargers are the best team in the AFC and play in an easy division. This team will be on a mission. We see them at 15-1 and Vegas has them only at 10.5 wins.
Now for the fun stuff and finding the teams that will stink up the joint this year. It is amazing to us that Vegas only put one team at 5 wins. We see 6 money making opportunities for betting unders.
1) Vikings - Vegas puts this team at 6.5. We are laughing hysterically at this pick. Go look for yourself and find even 3 games you think they will win. We think this is the worst team in the league and will be lucky to win more than one game.
2) Atlanta - This speaks for itself. This team is a mess following the Vick legal mess. Vegas thinks they win 7.5 games and we think it looks more like 2. Go find 8 wins on this teams schedule. WE DARE YOU!!!!!
3) Tampa Bay - Vegas puts this team at 7 wins. Lets take a look….No RBs, no WRs, a gay QB and lame duck coach. 7 wins…..we think it will be more like 4.
4) Miami - The Trent Green experiment will go as sour as a Cleo Lemon. Vegas put this win total at 7 wins. We sharted ourselves laughing so hard that the experts think they can win 7 games. We think they will win one game.
5) Houston - Vegas put this team at 6.5 wins. The Matt Schaub experiment showed us all that he is a born loser. He might have put up some stats in the past but he sure knows how to lose and he will not enjoy throwing behind that line that ran Carr out of town. They will be lucky to win more than 3 games.
6) KC Chiefs - This team is the Raiders with Larry Johnson and a worse Defense. Vegas thinks they can win 7.5 games and we think 7.5 is the number of coaching mistakes Herm Edwards will average during each game. Chiefs might win 2 games this year.
So there you have it. We outlined where we think Vegas has made mistakes and we are putting our money where our predictions are. The Rams are probably the hottest pick going right now so you probably want to jump on that one before the lines move too much.
Flash Flash and Runny
NFL Preview: A gambler’s intro to making money
The Vegas odds on the NFL season have finally arrived and we wanted to point out to you some of the simple techniques we use to consistently make money. Lets take a look at the over/under win total for each team:
NFC East
Dallas - 9
Philly - 9
NYG- 8
Skins - 7.5
South
Carolina - 9
NO - 9
ATL - 7.5
TB - 7
North
Bears - 10
GB - 7.5
MINN - 6.5
Det - 6
West
Seattle - 9
SF - 7.5
St. Louis - 7.5
Zona - 7
AFC East
NE - 11.5
NYJ - 8
Miami - 7
Bills - 6
South
Indy - 10.5
Jacksonville - 9
TENN - 7
Houston - 6.5
North
Baltimore - 9
Pitt - 9
Cincy - 9
Cle - 5.5
West
SD - 10.5
Denver - 9.5
KC - 7.5
Oak 5
Simply put…Vegas is saying that the Patriots are the best team at 11.5 wins and the Raiders are the worst team at 5 wins. Why are the over/under win totals important? These early lines are the backbone for how Vegas is going to set their point lines this year.
Lets break down these win totals from a historic perspective:
NFL teams that won 11 or more games
2006=5
2005=10
2004=6
2003=7
2002=5
2001=8
6 year average - 6.83333
Why is this important? Well on average for the upcoming 2007 NFL season there will be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games. Vegas right now is only saying that the Pats will win more than 11 games and has the Colts and Chargers at 10.5, close but not 11. Plain and simple numbers are saying that there should be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games and Vegas only has one team identified that can do this. Even if you take the low numbers of 5 teams from 2002 and 2006, that still means there are 4 chances to beat these numbers.
NFL Teams that won 5 games or less in a season
2006= 6
2005=10
2004=7
2003=10
2002=6
2001=7
year average - 7.66666
This stat is even more telling. Vegas has only one team at 5 wins and this stat says that on average, over the last 6 years, there will be 7.6 teams that win 5 games or less. Again this is creating a money making opportunity to find the 6-7 other teams besides the Raiders that will win only 5 games or less. These will be easy under bets.
So to start off this betting year we have identified 11 betting opportunities where we feel Vegas is off by 3 games under or over.
Lets look at the over opportunites. We have spotted 5 opportunities to beat Vegas:
1) Bears - The Bears have an easy schedule and play in a weak division. We think they will win 14 games and Vegas only thinks they will win 10.
2) Saints - The Saints are also in an easy division and Vegas has them tied with Carolina with 9 wins. We think this is a joke and the Saints ar emuch better and will win the conference and come in with 13 wins.
3) Rams - Vegas has this high flying time under .500 at 7.5. C’mon now. S. Jackson will tear it up this year and the offense will be tough to stop with Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael as new additions. Rams win 11 games and the division.
4) Bengals - The Bengals play in a tough division but we think they have a favorable schedule and will win 13 games. Vegas has them at 9.
5) Chargers - We think the Chargers are the best team in the AFC and play in an easy division. This team will be on a mission. We see them at 15-1 and Vegas has them only at 10.5 wins.
Now for the fun stuff and finding the teams that will stink up the joint this year. It is amazing to us that Vegas only put one team at 5 wins. We see 6 money making opportunities for betting unders.
1) Vikings - Vegas puts this team at 6.5. We are laughing hysterically at this pick. Go look for yourself and find even 3 games you think they will win. We think this is the worst team in the league and will be lucky to win more than one game.
2) Atlanta - This speaks for itself. This team is a mess following the Vick legal mess. Vegas thinks they win 7.5 games and we think it looks more like 2. Go find 8 wins on this teams schedule. WE DARE YOU!!!!!
3) Tampa Bay - Vegas puts this team at 7 wins. Lets take a look….No RBs, no WRs, a gay QB and lame duck coach. 7 wins…..we think it will be more like 4.
4) Miami - The Trent Green experiment will go as sour as a Cleo Lemon. Vegas put this win total at 7 wins. We sharted ourselves laughing so hard that the experts think they can win 7 games. We think they will win one game.
5) Houston - Vegas put this team at 6.5 wins. The Matt Schaub experiment showed us all that he is a born loser. He might have put up some stats in the past but he sure knows how to lose and he will not enjoy throwing behind that line that ran Carr out of town. They will be lucky to win more than 3 games.
6) KC Chiefs - This team is the Raiders with Larry Johnson and a worse Defense. Vegas thinks they can win 7.5 games and we think 7.5 is the number of coaching mistakes Herm Edwards will average during each game. Chiefs might win 2 games this year.
So there you have it. We outlined where we think Vegas has made mistakes and we are putting our money where our predictions are. The Rams are probably the hottest pick going right now so you probably want to jump on that one before the lines move too much.
Flash Flash and Runny