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Virginia Tech Hokies

NCAA Football picks: Opening weekend = More boring than a Yo Gaba Gaba Live Show!

RPJ NCAA Record = 0-1. Yup just like we always do, we lost our first game of the year. The USC defense would not have been able to stop a powder puff team on Thursday night. That was embarrassing. We have a new feature this year, we created a page to track our results. Just click the tab at the top of our page and you will get to see all of our picks for the season.

This is one of the worst opening weekends in recent memory. Besides the Boise State/Va. Tech game do you care about any other game? Do any other games even warrant watching? Thinks will crank up again in a week but this week is terrible.

9/4/2010 - Washington at BYU (-2) - Pick = BYU - Locker and Sark will not be able to go to Mormon land and take down BYU. The Huskies are getting better but Locker needs a heck of a lot more talent around him to do anything. He should have left for the NFL. Dumbass cost himself millions to play for this rag tag bunch or losers. BYU wins by more than 2!

9/4/2010 - Oregon State at TCU (-13.5) - Pick = Oregon State - We actually think this will be a decent game. Yeah we know it usually takes The Beavers a few weeks to warm up but we think 13.5 points is simply too high. TCU wins but not by two TDs.

9/4/2010 - LSU (-9.5) at UNC (neutral site) - Pick = LSU - This game turned into a real stinker. UNC lost every returning starter on defense to suspension and their top 2 running backs. Just look at what happened to USC with an inexperienced secondary. Now you have an INEXPERIENCED ENTIRE DEFENSE!!!! UNC has zero chance. LSU wins big.

9/6/2010 - Boise State (-1.5) at Va. Tech (neutral site) = Pick = Boise State - The only decent game on the weekend and we think it won’t be as good as people think. We like Boise State and we like them to win easily.

2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!

We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:

1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.

2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.

3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.

We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..

Monday December 28, 2009

Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)

Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)

Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)

Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)

Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)

Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)

Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)

Friday January 1, 2010

Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)

Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)

Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)

Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)

Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)

Saturday, January 2, 2010

International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)

Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)

Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)

Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)

Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)

Monday January 4, 2010

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!

Thursday, January 7, 2010

BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition

Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing

Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.

Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.

Troy (-9.5) at UL-Lafayette - We are picking Troy to win and cover.

New Mexico State at San Jose State (-11.5) - We are picking New Mexico State to cover.

Navy (-9.5) at Hawaii - We are picking Navy to win and cover.

The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.

North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.

Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.

Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.

Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.

Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!

Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football!  We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 5 Free Picks: If September is any indication, October will be AWESOME!!!

Last week turned into one big clown show; both for NCAA power rankings and for our bets. We had some games dead on like Iowa and the ones we were wrong on we were way wrong like Cal. We did warn of the Tedford turd sandwich we just did not think it would be his largest turd sandwich ever. On the BCS front, Houston looks great, Florida State is done, Ole Miss done, Cal done, Miami done. We love it. Every week that goes by like this the closer we will get to a playoff system. The Flash Flash/Backwoods Southern Lawyer approach has not slayed it yet and Runny will be back soon to get us back on track. We also look forward to our statistical models rolling out in the coming weeks. Lots of picks this week. We pick the winners in the big games (USC-CAL) and we continue to hammer some of the biggest losers (think Miami-Ohio).

RPJ $yndicate Tools

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Also, If you look at the top right of our Home Page tab, we have tabs for you to click to join us on Facebook as well as on Twitter. We are all over the social media crapola right now. Last but certainly not least, we would love it if you opened a Bodog account through our website by clicking one of the banner ads. Granted our picks have not filled the bank accounts by any means but we are offering these picks out of the goodness of our hearts and providing you with great content. We have full faith our picks are on the verge of turning around, especially when we crank out our statistical models which will be any day now. If you think we are a bunch of clowns then don’t do a thing. Well maybe click an ad here or there on our website. Ha ha. On with the picks….

Friday, October 2, 2009

Utah State at BYU (-23.5) - Well we are back on the BYU bandwagon. Besides the FSU debacle, BYU has covered in each game. Utah State has done a good job as 20 point underdogs and covered against Texas A&M and Utah. Both games were set at 20.5 points. The home team in this series is 5-0-1 in their last 6 meetings and BYU is certainly no cupcake place to play. Max Hall and Co. will run up the score early and ram it down The Aggies throats late. Besides the ATS head-to-head numbers the other ATS numbers scream Aggies. This might be the last time we bet BYU this season if they lose because we are expecting a game of 38-7 or 56-10 or something along those lines. Utah State has the 117th ranked defense in the country and only has 2 sacks. No pressure on Max Hall = bad results. Utah State actually has the 9th rated offense in the nation, which blows our minds because they have a 22.5% offensive 3rd down success rate. BYU wins and covers!!

Saturday October 3, 2009

Wisconsin at Minnesota (-2.5) - Totally surprised to see Minnesota favored in this one. Wisconsin actually has some nice, hard fought victories against the likes of Michigan State, Fresno State and Northern Illinois. Minnesota is enjoying their new stadium but really do not have as impressive a run going. These teams look identical on defense with Wisconsin holding a slight edge where it matters. The largest difference is on offense. Wisconsin is significantly better at running the ball and converting third downs. That formula leads to better ball control and the ability to wear down a defense. We also like the fact that the Badgers are 5-2 heads up ATS in their last seven against Minnesota. We are betting Wisconsin to win, cover and Golden Shower the Golden Gophers!

Wisconsin

• Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Badgers are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
• Badgers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Badgers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
• Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Alabama (-15.5) at Kentucky - Does this really need any sort of analysis? See Kentucky at home against Florida -21 and now you have Kentucky at home against Alabama -15.5. Kentucky is just not that good. Where is the media now talking up the SEC? Kentucky might not be able to beat anybody this season in conference. What we do love is that Kentucky is shaking up the BCS in their own way by knocking out Tim Tebow. Just remember what happened to Penn State’s QB last year after he got a concussion…PSU lost to Iowa the next week. The Gator’s showdown in Baton Rouge next week will be awesome. Those Alabama fans who worried that Greg McElroy would have a hard time replacing John Parker Wilson stopped worrying Sept. 5. McElroy is third nationally in pass efficiency and might be throwing it better than Wilson ever did. We like Alabama to pound on Kentucky and cover easily!!!

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Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cincinnati (-27.5) at Miami (Ohio) - Time to jump on the Cincy bandwagon and no matter what we are going to bet against Miami-Ohio every time it makes sense. Cincy has solid wins at Rutgers and Oregon State. Oregon State is incredibly impressive because it is nasty heading up to Corvallis. Miami-Ohio just might be the worst team in the country and they have not been favored in any game this season. On top of that they are 0-4 ATS this season. 27.5 points is a lot to get by but Cincy blew these guys out last year by a score of 45-20 and Miami-Ohio is significantly worse this year. Tony Pike is the man. Jump on the Cincy bandwagon while you can! We like Cincy to cover and win easily!!!!

• Bearcats are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Bearcats are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
• Bearcats are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Miami-Ohio

• Redhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
• Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.
• Redhawks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Redhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Tulane at Army (-6.5) - This is the BSL special. BSL is from Baton Rouge and loves picking on Toolame. We hit nice wins against them earlier in the season when they had swine flu and could not cover against Tulsa and BYU. Time to dump on them again. It is 1,350 miles from New Orleans to West Point and that is asking a lot to go play against a rowdy, disciplined Army team. Army takes care of business just like they did 44-13 on the road last season. No contest. We are betting Army to win and cover!!!

Tulane

• Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Green Wave are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
• Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

LSU at Georgia (-2.5) - I could not get BSL to take credit for this bet because it makes him sick as a Tigers fan. This is classic SEC brutal scheduling. LSU travels to Georgia the week before they host Florida and focus will be spotty. Georgia is actually running a 3 game winning streak against LSU and the games have been ugly. Neither of these teams have helped bettors this year. LSU has one cover and it was against UL-Lafayette and Georgia has one cover and it was at Arkansas. These teams look like mirror images of each other on defense. LSU is sporting a weak offense and is ranked 105th in the country but Georgia’s numbers are not that much better. With a spread under -3 for the home field advantage we will take Georgia all day long. There is a reason the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. We are betting Georgia to win and cover!!!

LSU

• Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Tigers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
• Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Penn State (-6.5) at Illinois - Big rebound game for Penn State. Illinois showed who they are this year and that is a bad team. See games against Missouri and Ohio State. Joe Pa will have the Nittany Lions ready to play and rebound from their second half break down against Iowa last week. Both teams are O-fer ATS this season but we think the Iowa game provided Penn State with the necessary wake up call. Look for big things from the Penn State offense. We are betting Penn State to win and cover!!!

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
• Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

• Fighting Illini are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a S.U. loss.
• Fighting Illini are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Fighting Illini are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 7-25 ATS in their last 32 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
• Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Illini are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head

• Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Illinois.
• Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Ohio State (-17.5) at Indiana - It is that time of year again. Ohio State rolls through the Big Ten bringing sports bettors along for a great ride. Yes Indiana gave Michigan a run for its money but we do not know anything about Michigan yet but the fact that their defense is suspect and everyone loves Forcier. What do we know about Ohio State? Tressel and the Buckeyes roll through the Big Ten every year. Maybe they slip up once but maybe they don’t. They certainly will not slip against Indiana. Ohio State is on fire, posting back to back shutouts. Look at the Head-to-Head ATS numbers and you will get on board. We love and are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
• Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
• Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Buckeyes are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
• Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in October.
• Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Tulsa (-15.5) at Rice - Tulsa has an offense and Rice stinks. We loaded up on Tulsa against Toolame and we look to capitalize some more on the Golden Hurricanes. We might just pick Tulsa so we can make more Golden Shower references but that will be up to you to decide. We are betting Tulsa to win, cover and Golden Hurricane (extreme golden shower)!!!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Golden Hurricane are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Golden Hurricane are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

USC (-5) at Cal - This is another painful one to put in the books but we have to be realistic. The only reason USC is favored is because of the historic USC, not this season’s USC and because CAL was thumped by Oregon last weekend. Stafon Johnson just went out for this game due to a freak weight lifting accident and Matt Barkley is still banged up. USC is decimated. They lost more guys to injury on defense last week against Washington State, Stafon will be out, RoJo is out, Taylor Mays is banged up. This USC is too beat up. Also, USC’s offense is anemic and a CAL team at home will score points, even on USC’s defense. If they score 20 points it just might be enough. Yes USC has the 6th rated defense in the country but Cal is not too shabby. They are giving up less than 3 yards per rush on defense and have 14 sacks so they might be able to get to Barkley more than other teams have. Here is the truly frightening stat; USC only converts 25% of their 3rd down opportunities on offense. That is horrific. Cal for example is up at 43%. This might very well be the difference. We would not be surprised to see a game much like we saw in USC at Ohio State. USC’s defense will play awesome and keep the team in the game until the offense comes through or does not come through. We think Cal will win a close one but even if USC wins it will not be by more than a FG. We are taking Cal to cover!!!

We love that we finally have a picture of a big turd sandwich for Tedford!!!

USC

• Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Trojans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

California

• Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
• Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on turf.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Virginia Tech (-17) at Duke - Va Tech started at +15.5 and is now up to +17.  Va Tech coming off their game of the year after dominating Miami.  Duke with nothing to lose….nothing but the game we guess, but we think they do that by less than 2 tds. We are betting Duke to cover!!!

Va Tech

• Hokies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Next up: The Miss Idaho Game!!!

Colorado St. (-3) at Idaho - Both teams are fairly decent (for loser teams from loser conferences).  Both are 3-1, with loses coming by way of identical 42-23 scores.  Difference is that Colorado St. lost to BYU and Idaho lost to Washington.  Most importantly, the line started out higher and is falling.  Obviously, the betting public loves the Vandals.  We are betting Colorado State to win and Cover this one easily!!!

Colorado State

• Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. WAC.

• Vandals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Washington at Notre Dame (-13.5) - It has been too long since we found a reason to bet against Notre Dame. ND is banged up on offense and has not shown a defense this season. Washington is now definitely over their win over USC after Stanford beat them and out-toughed them. Nick Holt will not let that happen again this season. We do not think Notre Dame can blow anybody out but Nevada. Notre Dame has shown that they have the same talent level as the Big Ten and no more. They easily should have lost to Michigan State and Purdue and then would be sitting on one win. ND is not good but the public does not know it yet. Washington will be fired up to get their first win ever against Notre Dame. We think Washington covers and if you have some extra scratch, take the money line!!!

Houston (-14.5) at UTEP -Houston is undefeated ATS this season and rolling through their schedule taking down Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. This team is good and Case Keenum is awesome. Yes, Houston’s defense is ranked 97th but UTEP’s is ranked 109th. The difference here, Houston has the 2nd rated offense and UTEP is dead last at 120th. Houston wins this by 30 points as Keenum pads his Heisman stats. We are betting heavy on Houston to win and cover!!!

Coach Sumlin has bettors happy this season!!!!

Houston

• Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

All Hail Case Keenum!!!

NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy

RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.

If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!

Missouri

• Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.

• Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Saturday, September 6, 2009

• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.

Miss State

• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
• Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
• Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

• Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

• Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
• Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Head-to-Head

• Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5

• Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Va Tech

• Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

• Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
• Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.

Kentucky

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

• Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Southern Miss at Kansas (-13.5) - Kansas is a bettor’s best friend. Mangino loves to pad the offensive stats for his boy Reesing and the players love to play for a coach who is peddle to the metal all of the time. Southern Miss has some talent and is 3-0 but they are 0-2 ATS because they have been double digit favorites and all of the games have been close. Southern Miss wins by way of the run. Kansas is only giving up 58 yards a game at a 2.23 yards per rush clip. We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

• Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
• Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
• Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Akron at Central Michigan (-16.5) - Of course we are betting the Fever in his MAC-key Attackey home opener. The Chips are also 2-0 ATS and had a nice bye week to calm them down after beating Michigan State. If you do not pay attention to the MAC then you do not know that Akron is a disaster right now. On Wednesday, actions were taken against senior quarterback Chris Jacquemain, recruiting coordinator and running backs coach Reno Ferri and backup defensive lineman Cowles Stewart. Jacquemain, who was in his third year as the Zips starting quarterback, has been officially dismissed from the team, ending his Zips career. Ferri, who was in his sixth season with the UA program, has been placed on administrative leave with pay, pending a school review of whether he violated compliance requirements related to NCAA rules on recruiting. Stewart, a sophomore noseguard, was suspended from the team until the outcome of legal action is resolved. He has been charged with felonious assault for punching a man last month. Enough info for you? The Chips are going to beat The Akron Zips down and we are assigning this our Golden Shower game of the Week. Throw in the fact that the Zips are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Chips and We love The Fever and Central Michigan to win and Cover with ease!!!!

Akron

• Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
• Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
• Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
• Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
• Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.

Straight picks - We just like these games. No theme, no nothing. Just old fashioned winners baby!

Illinois at Ohio State (-14) - Over the last three decades, not many teams have caused Ohio State more headaches and heartache than Illinois. From 1930 to 1982, the Buckeyes went 43-8-2 against the Illini. In the 24 meetings since, Ohio State is 13-11. The teams meet for the 96th time on Saturday at Ohio Stadium. Ohio State burned us last week and now we get to bet on a Tressel team in the Big Ten and that our friends is where the money is made. Tressel and Ohio State pound on the Big Ten and Illinois is not as good as we thought they would be and is 0-2 ATS this season. Pryor looked like a different man last week and we look for his success to continue against Illinois. Illinois rebounded after their pounding at the hands of Missouri by playing Illinois State but we are expecting a result similar to the Missouri game. The head-to-head ATS numbers scare us a bit but we have confidence in our formula. Ohio State plus Tressel plus Big Ten games = Bet Ohio State and that is what we are doing. We are betting on Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois

• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
• Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
• Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

South Florida at Florida State (-14) - BSL told me about the power of a Jimbo Fisher offense when it gets rolling and I guess 313 yards at BYU was ROLLING. Holy moly was that a beat down last week. We are going to ride the hot team and bet against the team that just lost its life blood. Senior QB, Matt Grothe is out for South Florida and you can basically stick a fork in The Bulls. They are done. We love FSU to roll in this one, win and cover!!!

South Florida

• Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Florida State

• Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Washington at Stanford (-7) - Colin Cowherd has a rule that we love to follow. Always bet against the team that just pulled the major upset. You know what Washington did last week and we think that was enough to distract them for a week. Just look at USC the last 4 years; they lose the game after “THE” game. Well Sark and Holt operate the Pete Carroll way and if he can not figure it out then there is no way The Huskies can. We are all over Stanford to cover and win!!!!

Washington

• Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.
• Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.
• Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Stanford

• Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Enjoy the picks

Flash Flash and BSL

Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!

RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.

Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!

Ball State

• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

• Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
• Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

SMU at Washington State (+6) - This is a suck factor game and Washington State is beyond sucking. Washington State has been blown out by Stanford and Hawaii who are not exactly college power houses. Washington State is yet to cover and we do not see them covering here. And would you really bet against a QB named Bo Levi Mitchell? We won’t! Also, we would love to see the last time SMU was favored on the road. Unreal. The curse of Ryan Leaf lives on!!! We are taking SMU to win and cover!!!

SMU

• Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Washington State

• Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
• Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Cougars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Miami (Ohio) at Western Michigan (-16.5) - This game wins the battle of the suckfests this week. Miami(Ohio) has not scored this season, their QBs are completing passes at a 50% clip, they have thrown 6 INTs and they have been outscored 90 - 0 against Boise State and Kentucky. Western Michigan wins and covers on principle alone!!!

Miami (Ohio)

• Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
• Redhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Redhawks are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Redhawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
• Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Special SEC Coverage - In honor of Backwoods Southern Lawyer’s re-appearance in our picks we are going to put some specific emphasis on SEC games this week and probably the next three weeks. BSL is the man and hopefully he has gotten rid of his first season jitters and is ready to pick us some winners!!!

Tennessee at Florida (-29.5) - As much as we want to analyze this game, we are not breaking a rule from our NCAA preview piece. We said we would take Florida no matter what the spread and this game meets another one of our tests, although on the slimmest of margins, of notbetting games where the line is more than 30 points. We made money on last year’s Urban Meyer revenge game against Georgia and this is the game we circled this year. Here is our analysis…..1) revenge game 2) Tennessee lost at home to UCLgAy 3) Florida is the best team in the nation at present. Got it. We are taking Florida to win and cover by this ridiculous margin!!!

Tennessee

• Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
• Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Volunteers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Florida

• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.

Head-to-Head

• Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Mississippi State (+9) at Vanderbilt – Vandy has several players out and is a little beaten up after tangling with LSU last weekend. Vandy has a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s got nearly zero talent around him (as several dropped passes a game will attest). Miss St will get progressively better throughout the season as the players buy in to Dan Mullen’s system. I think MSU’s defense rises to the challenge after giving up a bunch of points to Auburn last week. This is likely to be a one score game at the buzzer. We are taking Miss State to cover!

Mississippi State

• Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.

Vandy

• Commodores are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Commodores are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
• Commodores are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
• Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Head-to-Head

• Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

UL Lafayette (+26.5) at LSU – LSU is 1-11 (and 0 for their last 7) ATS in their last 12 at home, and it’s time for that streak to end. BSL has ridden this team to the brink of economic collapse and this is where it pays off. UL-L is due for a letdown coming off of an emotional last minute win over Kansas State, UL-L’s second win over a BCS-conf school (last one was Texas A &M in 1996). Yes, UL-L is better than usual, but they are still UL-L. In 21 games against the Tigers, UL-L has scored a total of ….wait for it…22 points. Meanwhile, LSU’s offense has a big time chip on their should after turning in sub-par performances against UW and Vanderbilt and hearing all week that they don’t throw deep enough. LSU will throw deep in this one. True freshman phenom Russell Sheppard will find the endzone (maybe more than once), and LSU will roll big time. The ATS numbers are not going to be reflective on how this game plays out. We are  taking the Tigers in a big way.

RPJ $yndicate Picks of the Week

Duke at Kansas (-23) - Duke does not register as high on the Suck factor as Ball State did but they are still not a good team. Kansas is licking their chomps and loves stomping inferior opponents. We hit a nice cover last week when Kansas beat up on UTEP on the road. Duke did respond from their loss to Richmond, yes the 1-AA Richmond, and beat Army last week. Yes the same Army we are picking to beat Ball State. Some have accused us of always picking Kansas so we can put in pictures of Coach Mangino and they might be right. However, we do love us some Todd Reesing. Kansas will win this game easily and cover!!!

• Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
• Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
• Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
• Jayhawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Ohio State at Toledo (+21) - This game is going to be a fun game. Toledo crushed Colorado and that is a nice feat for a MAC school. Ohio State could be 0-2. They did not look good against Navy, did not look good on offense against USC and really do not have a great identity right now. Going to Toledo, to play an explosive Toledo team is a potential recipe for disaster. Jim Tressel should try and toughen up his team and pound pound pound the run but all Ohio State fans know that the Tressel way is a bit of a mystery. The Ohio State offense seems simple and not dynamic and Pryor still does not appear comfortable. 21 points is a lot in this game and we are going to ride Toledo. Not sure if Toledo can win but we are taking them to cover!!!

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Toledo

• Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Nebraska at Virginia Tech (-4.5) - The Hokies responded nicely last week against Marshall after their crushing defeat at the hands of Alabama, a game they had in hand in the 4th quarter and blew. Nebraska is 2-0 and 2-0 ATS but has not really tested themselves yet this year. We almost feel like a team that travels from the Midwest to Blacksburg should just walk in the door and give up 7 points so that makes this line attractive. Virginia Tech came out and pounded the run last week to the tune of a 318 yard margin of difference. Bo Pelini knows how to coach defense so this game will probably be close for a half and even three quarters but in the end the most physical team will win and that is the home team. We are taking Virginia Tech to win and cover!!

Nebraska

• Cornhuskers are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
• Cornhuskers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
• Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
• Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Hokies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Hokies are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Southern California (-20) at Washington - What can we say, we love the Huskies in this one. With Jake Locker and RB Chris Polk healthy, U-Dub is a MUCH better team than people think. USC is coming off of a huge game far away and is awfully likely to be flat footed, and Locker (a running QB with an above average arm) is a tough guy to gameplan for. Everyone knows this is a trap game, even Pete Carroll. Pete has attempted to shake things up this week by reliving the Oregon State game last year and we just do not know if it will work. Pete even mentioned Washington while still in Columbus. Caesar needed to mix it up because USC has flat out lost its last two games following the “Big Game”. Also, super frosh Matt Barkley has not practiced much this week and we are not convinced Aaron Corp is 100% healthy. Could lead to a slow start for the Trojans. Meanwhile, Washington has had this game circled on its calendar ever since Sark, Holt and company came to town and will have the Trojans scouted down to their jockstraps. The only thing stopping me from making Washington BSL’s five-star lock of the week is the fact that Vegas set the line at -23 and the betting public has brought it down to -20. If our years of experience in this business have taught usanything it’s that Vegas is usually right and the betting public is usually wrong. Logic wins out in this one because you know Flash Flash is the biggest USC homer out there. Washington has covered three of the last 4 also. We think USC wins a tight one but Washington pulls the cover!!!

USC

• Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Washington

Numbers are not relevant this week!

Head - To - Head

• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Navy at Pitt (-7) - We know Navy is capable of a lot this season because of their OL. They put one hell of a scare into Ohio State. However, this Pitt team is solid and spanked Navy last season on the road. We think this spread should be more than 10 points and are happy to see it in the 7 point range. An early season anomaly we plan on taking advantage of. We are taking PITT to win and Cover!!!

Navy

• Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

PITT

• Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Florida State (+7.5) at BYU – In the best matchup this weekend that no one knows about, BYU hosts the Seminoles after beating the Sooners in Norman and brutalizing Toolame in New Orleans. FSU meanwhile was clearly still reeling from the tough opening loss to Miami when they didn’t put more than 7 points on the board until the 59^th minute of play against I-AA Jacksonville State. This is a gut-check game for FSU, and one that they are taking very seriously. No doubt their OC Jimbo Fisher is taking it seriously after getting embarrassed last week. The betting public loves BYU in this one and that makes us nervous but we think it is justified. BYU has the cards lined up for this season and they know it. The pressure will not be on yet like it will be when TCU and Utah come to play at BYU but BYU is lining up for a potential BCS game and potentially a title game showing. BYU will have no trouble with FSU. Take BYU to win and cover!!!

Florida State

• Seminoles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Seminoles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

BYU

• Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Cougars are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.

Flash Flash and BSL

2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!

Thursday, September 3, 2009

South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.

USC

• Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

• Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.

Utah State

• Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
• Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

• Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Utes are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Utes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Utes are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 non-conference games.
• Utes are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Aggies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Be afraid of our menacing mascot!!!! Yeah right

Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
• Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
• Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
• Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

• Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
• Broncos are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Broncos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10.
• Broncos are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
• Broncos are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!

Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.

Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

• Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
• Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games as a favorite.

I am THE MAN!!!

Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!

The Juice will be loose!!!

Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:

*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***

* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.

* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.

You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!

This is Purdue Football!!!

Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.

VOlS fans are ready for their showdown in the Swamp!

Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!

Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.

We got the FEVER!!!

Monday, September 7, 2009

Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.

Miami

• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

More food please!

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

Would you bet against this man?

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

Caption says it all!!!

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

Like we needed 77 reasons.

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

"Rangers Lead the Way"

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

Not in my house!!!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: New Year’s Day Games and an ASS Brigade!

Games are flying by now and it is hard to keep track of everything going on. What we are able to keep track of is the tons of the ass we love looking at.

Iowa versus South Carolina (+4 and OVER/UNDER 43)

RPJ is taking Iowa and here is why: This game is in Tampa so USC wins the travel advantage and that is all we think they will win. The Cocks have lost two bad games in a row (Clemson and Florida) and were 0-2 ATS in that time stretch. On the other side of the ball, Iowa has won 3 in a row and is 2-1 ATS in their last 3.

RPJ Math takes Iowa

Clemson versus Nebraska (+1 and OVER/UNDER 56.5)

Runny is taking Nebraska to cover and here is why: Clemson is terrible on the road against legit teams. And, Nebraska’s D is very good. Clemson is a mess. They won’t cover. I’m taking the Huskers and the points.

RPJ Math Selects Nebraska

Michigan State versus Georgia (-9.5 and OVER/UNDER 54)

Runny is taking Georgia to cover and here is why: MSU is too one dimensional. Granted, that one dimension (Jevon Ringer) is outstanding, but it won’t help them in a Bowl. Espeically against a legit team with a chip on their shoulder. I’m taking the Bulldogs and giving the points.

RPJ Math is taking Michigan State

Penn State versus USC (-9 and OVER/UNDER 45)

RPJ is taking USC to cover and here is why:We have seen this game before as we stated in our bowl preview. Penn State has little to no chance in this game. USC has the best defense in recent memory and the D has a lot of players playing in their last game for USC. This defense is fired up and will look to live up to its billing. The offenses look similar on paper but USC has more playmakers and their offense is a lot more dynamic. Pete Carroll has already come out and said that he understands Penn State’s defense and that it all comes down to execution. Well Penn State will not be able to execute against the Trojans defense. No freakin way. This game is in the Rose Bowl and USC considers this a home game. USC has played almost 1.5 times a year there in the last 6 years. Penn State is 2-1 in their last 3 games and 1-2 ATS. USC has won 9 in a row but is only 4-5 ATS.

RPJ Math is picking Penn State to cover!

Virginia Tech versus Cincy (-2 and OVER/UNDER 41.5)

Runny is taking Cinncy to win and cover and here is why: VaTech’s offense can’t score. Their D is a good, and I expect them to play well in this game, but Cinncy can move the ball better than the Hokies. They will win by a field goal. I’m taking Cinncy nd giving the points.

RPJ Math is taking Cinncy to win and cover!

RPJ Pic of the Day!

A Heidi Klum fan favorite!

Hope you enjoyed your day of ball!

Flash and Runny

RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!

We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.

A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.

If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.

In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.

Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.

FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2

Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)

This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)

Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET  New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS  (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)

Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.

FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)

We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET  Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS  (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)

Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!

EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)

Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.

New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)

The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!

Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)

The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.

MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET  St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)

We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)

This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)

We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET  Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)

1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!

2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?

Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)

We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.

Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET  Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)

We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?

Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET  San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)

Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)

We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.

PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers  vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)

Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?

Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET  Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)

We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!

Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET  San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)

This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.

Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)

Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)

These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.

Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m.  Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)

Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET  Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)

How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!

Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)

This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)

Now this is a picture.

You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)

Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.

Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)

We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.

Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)

Caprice Bourret - Yes Please!

We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET  Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)

More Caprice!

Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.

Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)

Jennifer Ellison looks delicious!

This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6

East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)

Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)

Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.

International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)

This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!

GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET  Mobile, Ala.  ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC

Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)

More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.

Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis