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NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Introducing The Wizard

We always say we are here for our fans and to make our readers as much money as possible. This post comes from one of our readers and regular posters….The Wizard. He emails us on the side and has provided his insight on some of our picks. This week we are giving him his own post, with picture and all. From Wizard:

These are the games that I like coming up. The ones that I really like, I will put a $$$ on it.

Illinois (4-3) -1 at Wisconsin (3-4)
The defensive number are about the same, however Illinois offense averages 100yds more than Wisconsin. Illinois runs the spread option which is hard to defend. Illinois went to Penn st and only lost by 14. Wisconsin got blown out at home by Penn St and their spread offense. Illinois blew out Michigan, Wisconsin LOST to Michigan. Illinois lost in a shootout to Mizzou. Wisconsin’s starting QB, who was nothing special, is day-to-day with a bum leg.
ILL are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
WISC are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
WISC are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
TAKE ILLINOIS

Eastern Michigan (2-6) at No. 22 Ball State (7-0) -24 $$$$$
Ball State scores 37.1 and gives up 15. E.Michigan scores 22 and gives up 31. Ball State has won the last 2 between them by no less than 18. E.Michigan got blown out at home by 24 to Toledo. Ball St went to Toledo and blew them out 31-0. No need for more info after that statement.
EMICH are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
BALL ST are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
BALL ST are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
BALL ST are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass
EMICH are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE BALL STATE FOR BIG MONEY

Wake Forest (4-2) at Miami (4-3) -3
Wake Forest just got blown out and shutout by Maryland for Christ sakes Wake Forest barely got by Clemson and lost to Navy. TAKE MIAMI

Kentucky (5-2) +24.5 at No. 7 Florida (5-1)
Florida is coming off a huge win vs LSU. It’s almost a guarantee that there will be a letdown. Florida hasn’t beaten Kentucky by 24 since 2001. Kentucky has a great defense and it’s rare that an SEC game is a blowout by 24 or more. If you still aren’t sure, tease it up to+30.5. TAKE KENTUCKY AND THE POINTS

No. 5 Oklahoma (6-1) -19 at Kansas State (4-3)
I think Oklahoma wins this big, just a little scared on the 19pts. It minds well be 21pts. I will tease this one down to Oklahoma -13 along with another game. Oklahoma scores 8 points more on offense and gives up 7 less on defense than KState does. Oklahoma is still in the hunt for the Championship so they are going to make sure to blow people out. K State has several DB hurt and hobbling.
OKLA are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
KANST are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
TEASE OKLAHOMA -13 (read below for teaser combo)

UNLV (3-4) at No. 17 Brigham Young -22.5 (6-1)
I am going to tease this one with the Oklahoma game to bring it down to BYU -16.5. BYU gives up 13 ppg and UNLV gives up 33 to teams lest potent than BYU. That looks to me that BYU is gonna score 50+ to put UNLV out of its misery.
UNLV are 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 road games.
BYU are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
BYU are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games on grass.
TEASE BYU DOWN TO -16.5

UCLA (3-4) at California (4-2) -17
The ATS numbers don’t show any advantages, but Common Sense and off/def numbers do.
Cal scores 17 more ppg and gives up 7ppg less on defense than UCLA. I just don’t see how UCLA can hang with Cal for 4 quarters. TAKE CAL

Rutgers (2-5) at No. 20 Pittsburgh (5-1) -8.5
Pittsburgh has been getting better since the opening day lost to Bowling Green. They haven’t lost since and are coming home after 3 straight road W’s. Rutgers has been getting outgained damn near every game. Pitt averages 11pts more per game despite playing on the road for most of the season. I think -8.5 is low. TAKE PITT.

Bowling Green (3-4) at Northern Illinois (4-3) -7.5
Definitely buy this one down to -7. N. Ill has a great defense and a running game. BG can’t stop the run and gives up 12pts more on defense. N. Illinois defense held a very good Toledo to 7pts.
NOILL are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
TAKE N ILLINOIS

Wyoming (2-5) at No. 15 Texas Christian (7-1) -31.5
Wyoming can’t score on sorry defenses. They’ve scored 7,0,7 and 16 pts in the last 4 games. Now they have to go on the road to play one of the best defenses in the nation in TCU who only gives up 9.0 pts a game. I doubt Wyoming scores. I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread is covered by halftime.
WYOM are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games.
WYOM are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall
TAKE TCU

No. 3 Penn State (8-0) -2.5 at No. 10 Ohio State (7-1)
OSU has been the most hyped but falling short of expectations team for years now. Penn State has one of the top defenses and one of the top offenses in the country Pryor is good, but he can’t hang with the Penn offense yet. Penn St averages 20 ppg more than OSU and 2pts less on defense. This will be another big game that OSU falls short.
OHIST are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
TAKE PENN ST

Central Florida (2-4) at No. 19 Tulsa (7-0) -23 $$$
Tulsa has scored 77,37,63,62,56,56,45 and 63 points in every game this season. They have yet to lose the Game or the Yardage battle. They avg 56ppg and Central Florida averages 17.7. they are roughly the same on defense. Central Florida lost to UTEP 13-58. Tulsa blew out UTEP 77-35.
CENFL are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
CENFL are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 road games.

TAKE TULSA and watch for the ovr/under numbers when they come out

No. 25 Minnesota (6-1) +1 at Purdue (2-5)
Minnesota scores 8 more points per game on offense and gives up 8 less on defense than Purdue. Only one of the ATS numbers concern me though, but i think that its just a sign of Purdue having better teams in the past. Adam Weber of Minny doesn’t turn the ball over. Purdue’s QB does. Purdue is horrible against the run and has lost 4 straight.

MINN are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2-1 in PURD last 10 games on field turf.
Under is 27-8-2 in PURD last 37 home games.
PURD are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
MINN are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Favorite is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE MINNY TO WIN

Thanks for your picks and your pic Wizard!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2

We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.

The Great Debate Game

Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.

Missouri

Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.

Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.

Texas

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.

Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.

Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:

Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!).  FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.

 

Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.

Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.

Akron

• Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Eastern Michigan

• Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)

• Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….

Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!

San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:

• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
• Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!

San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.

San Jose State

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

New Mexico State

• Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!

Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:

Houston

• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

SMU

• Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
• Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!

Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:

Florida International

• Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Troy

• Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)

Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.

Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.

UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.

Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.

Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.

Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.

USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.

Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.

Flash Flash and Runny

9/20/2008 - Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks - Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!

First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.

Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.

Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….

And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….

And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.

Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.

Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Temple at Penn State (-28.5) - Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:

Temple
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.

Penn State
NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.

LSU at Auburn (+2.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:

LSU
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.

Auburn
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.

Wake Forest at Florida State (-5) - This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:

Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.

Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) - Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….

Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Michigan State
Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.

Head-to-Head
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.

Runny Versus Flash - The Great Debate Game

Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Arizona State
Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.

Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.

Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap - THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?

The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.

(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).

Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.

Flash Flash Picks (3-1 on the season) and the rule of 28

Seems like all my picks have 28 point spreads. Here goes:

Wyoming at BYU (-28) - BYU is coming of a total decimation of UCLA in very impressive fashion and continuing with the nation’s longest winning streak. BYU has the toughness and wants to make it into the BCS title picture. Some points to think about…Last week, the Cougars rolled up 521 total yards even though no individual player had more than 110 yards from scrimmage. The Cougars forced four turnovers and allowed nine rushing yards on 16 carries in handing UCLA its first shutout loss since 2001. Do not doubt this team for a second. 28 points does not scare me. BYU wins and covers convincingly!!!

Rice at Texas (-28) - Good things typically happen for Texas when it meets Rice. The Longhorns, who have won nine straight games over the Owls, are 37-1 against them since 1966 to improve to 68-21-1 in the all-time series, which dates to 1914. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Rice Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Texas wins and covers easily!!!

Runny Pelvis (6-6 on the season)

VaTech at UNC (-3) - UNC shocked me last week with their dominating win over Rutgers in Jersey. Pretty damn impressive. Butch Davis has completely turned that program around. He has done an excellent job of recruiting and it is starting to show. Props to him and that team. However, the Hokies have a great coach, too, and a very established program. Frank Beamer knows how to run a team. Despite the fact that they have looked bad this year and lost their opener to East Carolina, I think they cover in this one. I love the points. Some facts: Tech is 10-1 ATS on the road against opponents they beat the year before, Tech is 12-2 in their lined road openers and UNC is 2-8 as Favorites of 6 points or less. VaTech covers and wins outright.

Miss St. at GaTech (-7.5) - Miss St scrapped last week against Auburn. Impressive? Not to me. Their schedule has been a joke: the lost to LaTech and beat SE LA. That’s right-SE LA!!!! Tech, on the other hand played J’Ville St, BC and VaTech. Much more impressive to me. Paul Johnson is a great coach and within two years, he will have GaTech competing for a BCS title. They aren’t there yet, but I think they are the much better team here. Also, Miss St is 1-6 ATS in their games immediately following Auburn. That says to me that they blow their loads against Auburn. Bad timing this week. I’m taking GaTech -7.5.

Iowa at Pitt (+1) - This line says a lot about how Pitt’s season is going. With all the pre-season hype and the studs they have on this team, no way Pitt should be an underdog in this game. However, after an opening loss to Bowling Green and not destroying Buffalo, Pitt finds themselves sucking it. They haven’t covered all year, and they won’t this week. Iowa has a solid D (allowing a Nation’s best only 2.7 points per game) and they beat their bitter rival last week. We like them here, too. Facts: Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against a team .600 or better under Dave Wannstadt. Enough said for me. Take Iowa -1.

Central Michigan at Purdue (O/U: 64.5) - You readers know that we love us some Dan LaFevour. He is the man!! He knows how to run wild and throw-up some points. However, so does Curtis Painter and Purdue. I love he MAC and I researched this game more than any other this week. Honestly, I cannot figure out who will cover (at posting time, Purdue is giving 3). So, I’m not picking a team. I’m taking the game. Both teams can throw-up massive amounts of point. I love the over in this. Take the OVER 64.5.

Troy at Ohio State (-20.5) - OSU is fresh off the drubbing they received at the hands of SC last weekend. They were completely over matched and dejected by halftime. Now they come home with their tails between their legs and looking to salvage their program and self-respect. Beanie Wells is out, and there has been no decision on who will start at QB. If Tressel is smart, he will go with Pryor for the rest of the season. We watched him in person last week and think he is every bit as good as advertised. He needs to play. However, I think Tressel is still going to play him in spots. I think this is a mistake. This strategy barely beat Ohio. Troy is a MUCH better team than that. They play good D and they smell blood. Facts: Troy is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and OSU is 0-5 at home against non-conference opponents who are coming of a straight-up win. I think OSU wins, but Troy can keep it within 20.5.

Bama at Ark (+8.5) - HUGE SEC battle!! I can’t wait to watch this game. Both coaches left the NFL under high scrutiny. Both have excellent NCAA coaching histories. Bama is stacked and had, in my opinion, the best recruiting class in the country. Julio Jones is a future NFL star and an immediate difference make. Ark does not have that type of player, but they can still play. Both teams will be geeked for this game.  What will give? I say Ark covers. Facts: The Dog in this series is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 match-ups, and Ark is 7-1 as underdogs off a non-conference game vs. an opponent off double digit straight-up win. Due to hurricane Ike, Ark is rested and this is the game they have had circled all year. I think they get a huge emotional edge at home. I’m taking the points and riding Ark +8.5.

Ball State at Indiana (-3) - I will be heading to this game and tailgating like a madman. This is a HUGE rivalry for the great state of Indiana. Both teams will be fired-up. I can’t wait!! Should be shootout, but I think Ball State covers. Facts: IU is 6-1-1 against the MAC and 6-1 at home against an opponent off of back-to-back straight-up ATS wins. This favors IU immensely and give that they are in the Big 10, they should blow Ball State out. However, they have had some turmoil this season (Middleton suspension) and they have not looked that great. Balls State is hot, and I can guarantee you that have had this game circled on their calendars since they were pummeled by Rutgers in last year’s final game. Nate Davis is a stud who leaves it all on the field every game. I’m taking Ball State +3.

Florida at TENN (+7.5) - THE #2 game of the week. Another HUGE SEC match-up. These teams hate each other and it is typically a good game. The ATS numbers scream take Tenn: Tenn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 match-ups and Fla is 2-6 in their last 8 September games. However, the key to me to this game is that Florida is coming off the bye. This is huge. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They will be ready. Remember, this is the same Tenn team that lost to a terrible UCLA that was crushed by BYU last week. Tenn is overrated. This spread is high because Vegas knows Tenn is bad. With the ATS numbers, the spread should not be this high. I’m taking Fla -7.5.

Enjoy the picks and feel free to make comments, tell us we suck and cost you your house or tell us what hot chicks you want to see of feel free to send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

Flash and Runny

P.S no idea why this darn blog bolded everything but this is not a beauty contest. Also, we just saw Jeff Tedford and he was eating a turd sandwich.

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2008 Week 2: Weekend NCAA Football Picks: RPJ Syndicate is on a Roll (Heidi Klum’s rolls)

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

September 5, 2008

Some record keeping from last week:

RPJ Syndicate is 4-1
Flash Flash for the Cash is 2-0
Runny Pelvis the Fat is 1-1
Heidi Klum is hot as hell!!!

Yup hot chicks won out!!! Thanks for your input.

How this blog works is as follows. Flash Flash and Runny merge two successful betting systems to optimize their picks. RPJ Syndicate is our combined effort. Our solo picks are picks that failed one of our betting systems but each individual handicapper still loves and wants to put out there for our readers. The single most important fact is this…..we put our money where our mouth is!!! We share the gain, like last week, and share the pain, which is inevitable to bite us in the ass once in a blue moon and hopefully never but ee are realists and know that shiznit happens so we are not going to sit here and say we are always perfect or winners like our rivals. They are full of Lexington Steele’s cahk, in their anus, and are just trying to make a quick buck at your expense. Over the course of the season we will win more than we lose and the proof is in our results plain and simple. We know some of you are winning with us because you share your gains with us via email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com to the tune of thousands of dollars. You know who you are and please keep up the dialogue and share your thoughts with us.

This is always a little scary when we love this many games but we have to put our money to work when things are this good. We come at you with 8 games this weekend. On with the picks…..

RPJ PICKS (4-1 on the season)

These are all 1 unit bets for us. We think it is still too early to jack up some of these games.

Eastern Michigan at Michigan State (-21) - Michigan State is coming off an emotional loss at Cal. Sorry Spartan fans but they had no chance. Teams do not travel well when they head West. Sounds like a dumb reason to lose but it is the fact. Just ask Vols fans this week. Coach Dantonio is a good coach and has the Spartans moving down the right path. Javon Ringer is one of the best players in the Big Ten and one of the most overlooked players in football. He will break out this game.

Some ATS numbers:

Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Eagles are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Michigan State Spartans
Nothing relevant

Looks to us like the Eagles do not play well after wins, out of conference, in September and versus the Big Ten. We smell an old fashioned arse whooping. Take Michigan State to the bank with an easy cover!

Central Michigan @ Georgia (-24) - This is the most painful bet we will ever lay. Yes we are going to bet against The Fever.

Dan LeFevour is simply the man. We admit that we have man-crushes. If Tebow was not playing right now all anybody would be talking about is The Fever. Fever is the second player in history to pass for more than 3,000 yards and rush for more than 1,000 yards. Vince Young was the first. Also, keep in mind that with all the well deserved accolades laid down on Tebow last year, The Fever was one rushing TD away from reaching the 20-20 club that won Tebow the Heisman (The Fever had 27 passing TD’s to Tebow’s 32).

The ATS numbers for both schools are good:

Chippewas are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Chippewas are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Chippewas are 24-7-3 ATS in their last 34 games overall.
Chippewas are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Chippewas are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Chippewas are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win.

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

It is a sad day but as Clemson proved last year, and that was Clemson, The Chips can not compete with elite competition. Bulldogs win big and cover!!!! Sorry Dan but we will jump back on your bandwagon later in the season.

BYU (-9) at Washington - BYU had the turnover jitters last week and still won 41-17. Washington pulled a Willingham and competed for one half before getting decimated in the second half. BYU always plays tough and has some experience winning against the Pac-10. Willingham is a clown and can not get talent to Washington and guards his players and practices with a steel curtain. He needs to look South to see that Pete Carroll holds open practices. Does this look like the face of a winner? Body language says it all.

The ATS numbers:
Cougars are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cougars are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cougars are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Cougars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Huskies are 11-27-2 ATS in their last 40 home games.
Huskies are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.

Washington has zero chance of winning this game. BYU is for real and will play in a decent bowl. 10 points should be enough. Take BYU to cover against the suckfest that is Ty Willingham. If you were not aware, Washington coach Ty Willingham is 6-21 in the Pac-10 and 1-9 against the other Northwest teams. So to reiterate….Take BYU to win and cover!!!

Ole Miss at Wake Forest (-7.5) - We are following one of our rules, Ole Miss will not travel well out of conference. Wake Forest is coming off an impressive easy win at Baylor and is coming home, after their first win ever in Texas and to a new stadium. They are going to fight like hell for that first home win and it will come at Ole Miss’ expense. Houston Nutt versus Jim Grobe is no contest. Wake beat these guys in 2006 in Mississippi and should not be worried at home. Houston Nutt is not the savior Ole Miss fans think he is and he does not have Run DMC or Felix Jones to save his ass every week like they did last year when he coached at Arkansas. Wake plays solid D, efficient O and has the coaching advantage while playing at home. Throw in the fact that Ole Miss has lost 4 straight road openers and 13 of 14 and you know what we are cooking here. The ATS numbers:

Rebels are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
Rebels are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.

Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Demon Deacons are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Demon Deacons go to 2-0 and although we would love to see this line under 7 we think a 10 point Wake win is not out of the question. Take Wake to win and cover!!!

West Virginia at East Carolina (+7.5) - This smells like a little bit of let down city to us. E. Carolina is coming off an emotional upset of Va. Tech and now has to come right back to face Pat White and West Virginia. Yes the same Pat White and West Virginia that beat their ass 48-7 last year. Check out the highlights if you want to predict this weekend.

West Virginia has beaten East Carolina seven straight times since 2000, outscoring them 278-103. Take a look at the ATS numbers:

Mountaineers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Mountaineers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.

Pirates are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Pirates are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games in September.
Pirates are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Pirates are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
Pirates are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.
Pirates are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East.

That last one really sticks out to us. If the Pirates do not line up well against the Big East then they are going to have problems with White and Devine. Throw in the fact that the Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and we are loving West Virginia. Pat White, our dark horse Heisman candidate, is going to roll in this game. Take West Virginia to win and cover.

Minnesota at Bowling Green (-5.5) - We love this game. Bowling Green coming home after an awesome win at Pitt to face one of the bottom dwellers of the Big 10. We do not think the MAC is so far off talent wise compared to the Big Ten and this game will prove it. Minnesota barely beat MAC bottom dweller Northern Illinois at home and did not cover last week.

The ATS trends:

Golden Gophers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Golden Gophers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.

Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Bowling Green is going to be jacked up at home and will defend their home field. Take Bowling Green for an easy win and cover!!!

Miami at Florida (-22.5) - This is going to be a fun game. 8PM, prime time, Tebow’s first game versus “The U” and the Gators trying to end a 23 year winless streak. It is hard to believe all of that is true but the facts are the facts. Florida is still tough to read because Coach Meyer wants us all to believe he is going to protect Tebow from the pounding he faced last year but in reality the only way they are going to win games is if Tebow is Tebow. And that Tebow loves to hold and cuddle big men. See for yourself.

The Gators will live and die with Tebow. The U is working towards regaining some of its lost luster and potentially has the speed on defense to keep this game in check. Also, they have Robert Marve, from the state of Florida and the QB who broke a lot of Tebow’s records. This is a brutal place to start your first game but Marve has the talent. The Florida schools have a certain rivalry and bragging rights and The U lives by this creed. 22.5 points is a lot to cover in a state game of this magnitude. The ATS numbers:

Hurricanes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Hurricanes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Hurricanes are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Hurricanes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Gators are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

We think this is a tough one to peg but think The U is a team on the rise and 22.5 points is too many to give. We do not think The U has a chance of winning but if the final score is 45-24, which is a blowout, guess what, The U covered for you. Take Miami to cover!!!

UL Monroe at Arkansas (-13) - Arkansas did not look good last week versus Western Illinois and actually had to rally from a 24-14 4th quarter deficit to get on track and win 28-24. UL Monroe got shutout by Auburn and showed absolutely nothing. Bobby Petrino will likely face some growing pains this season but they are not going to come against UL-Monroe. Petrino is one of the best play callers in football. The UL-Monroe Warhawks will be overmatched in this game and they have already shown that they vanish on the road in SEC stadiums. The ATS numbers:

Warhawks are 14-31 ATS in their last 45 non-conference games.
Warhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Also, and most importantly, Arkansas’ cheerleaders have great porno first names. Check this out:

Jenna and Kacey with a “K” and a “C”. I see the tag team action right now. And with a QB named Casey Dick. I can see the porno headline right now…..”Jenna and Kacey love Casey’s Dick” We could go on for hours with this. “Casey’s Dick deep inside Jenna and Kacey” Alright you get the point. Those ATS numbers for Arkansas were all under Houston “likes to suck” Nutt so we are not concerned. Arkansas will roll easily in this game so take them to cover!!!

Flash Flash picks (2-0 on the season)
Only one pick from me this week……Texas will thrash UTEP. UTEP gets thrashed by Buffalo, not the Buffalo Bills, but U of B. What a joke. Texas squashes UTEP big. You heard it here first.

Runny Pelvis Picks (1-1 after Week 1, 1-2 on the Season, damn Gamecocks, they probably got ahold of Casey’s Dick too!)

Navy @ Ball State (-6.5): I love the MAC and I love the Testicular Ones to win it this year. They are stacked at QB, they have outstanding wideouts and Dave Letterman is an alumn. I like Navy, too, just not in this game. Losing Coach Johnson will be a big deal. I’m taking Ball State at home -6.5.

Akron @ CUSE (-4.5): Normally CUSE giving any amount of points to any team is begging you to go against them. They are bad and their coach will be gone by the end of the year. Couple that with the fact that Akron is not a bad team and could win the MAC this year and it is a recipe to take Akron and run. I don’t buy it. CUSE is 10-1-1 in their last 12 against the MAC. I love them in The Dome. Take CUSE -4.5.

Stanford @ ASU (-14): Stanford surprised us with their win last week against Oregon State. Very surprising. Jim Harbaugh has a good idea of where he is taking this program and he is a good coach. However, ASU is just too stacked. Rudy Carpenter is legit and plays with a lot of heart. ASU just has too much ammo for the Cardinals. Also, the home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8. Take ASU -14.

S.Miss +17.5 @ Auburn: Call me crazy, because on paper Auburn should destroy S.Miss. But, that’s why they play the games!!! S. Miss is up-and-coming and their new coach, Larry Fedora, knows how to run an offense. They will catch Auburn sleeping. Plus, S. Miss is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 match-ups with Auburn. Take S. Miss +17.5.

Keep the emails coming at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and hit us up on this blog in our comment section. We are here to help and make everybody money and stare at Keyra Augustina’s delightful ass.

Flash Flash and Runny

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2008 Week 1: Weekend NCAA Football Picks: WE ARE BACK WITH A VENGEANCE!!!

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

August 28, 2008

We are back with our picks for the rest of the weekend and are more excited than ever. All of our picks for this weekend are one unit bets. We do not like to get ahead of ourselves to start the season. The key to any successful gambling venture is bankroll protection. We do not see a Miss St./LSU scenario or USC/Arkansas like we did the last three years. The odds makers are tightening up the ship and we will wait patiently for them to mess up and for our models to identify blatant money making opportunities. Stay patient, manage your bankroll smartly and get ready to pounce when we tell you to.

As any of our readers know, typically we only post picks that we (Flash and Runny) absolutely agree on 100%. No exceptions. Even when we have guest appearences from our degenerates, like Maury the Wig, who posts picks, we must agree with those picks to post. We haggle with each other over nearly every game to get to the games we feel are our locks. We do this because we firmly believe that competion and street fighting leads to the best results. So, when we make an RPJ pick you can rest assured that it is a pick that has been discussed, and dicussed and discussed until we are both bloody.

That said, we are adding a new wrinkle to our game. This year, in addition to the RPJ picks we will post, we will also show you other picks that each of us feel are locks, but did not survive the Flash-Runny battle royale. Our reason for doing this is the same….competion breeds excellence. We are only about winning. Winning big and decimating our competitors (i.e. Vegas) Ragnar Lodbrok-style. We fight so much for our picks that we even want to beat each other!!

On with the picks…..

WEEK 1 PICKS continued

Saturday, August 30, 2008

RPJ PICKS

USC at Virginia (+19.5) - Virginia is a mess. This is not the same team as last year. The QB is gone from the team and their best defensive player is playing on Sundays. For UVA, Last year was the year of the right bounces and winning every close game. This year is not going to be fun for Virginia as Clemson and Wake are solid and Miami, UNC and FSU are all better. USC did not impress in their opener last year against Idaho and the Trojans tend to start the season slowly. Also, Sanchez was injured during the first week of camp and is just back to practice.

However, this week, Sanchez looks great and we believe USC has the best defense in the country. Take into consideration that USC is the only prgram in D-1 that practices its starting offense against its starting defense. This means USC will be ready to pound UVA on both sides of the ball. The best defense USC’s offense will see all year is its own. Only way to really highlight USC’s defense is to showcase one of their leaders…Rey Maualuga. Rey might actually kill somebody on the field this year by hitting them into the third sphere of hell.

and of course you can not ignore Taylor Mays….

These boys can lay some lumber. Some ATS stats:

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Trojans are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.

Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in August.
Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.

We do not think UVA’s August record will matter and see USC absolutely pounding the run all day. USC wins big and probably by at least 4 TDs because the Cavs will not be able to score. Remember the USC/Arkansas scores.

Alabama at (neutral site) Clemson (-4.5) - This is probably the most interesting game of the first weekend. All of the pressure is on Clemson. They are picked by the “experts” to win the ACC, to play in a BCS bowl game and are favored to win this game. If this game were in Death Valley it would be a different story but it is not. The Tide and Saban are coming off a disappointing 7-6 season and are looking to make a statement early. We all know Saban will turn this team around, just give him 2 more recruiting classes as good as his class this past year and SEC foes should look out. Tommy Bowden is a big choke artist and will be fired if he does not meet and/or exceed the lofty pre-season expectations. Does this look like a coach that can lead your team to the promised land?

We do not trust him to wipe his own ass and his roids are clearly flaring up in this pic.

Alabama has beaten Clemson 11 straight times, but the last meeting was in 1975. Saban is the better coach and will have a month to prepare for Clemson and that will be a huge advantage. The ATS numbers are bad for both teams:

Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Crimson Tide are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. SEC.

The ATS point that sticks out the most is Clemson versus the SEC. Coaching and location, two underrated handicapping points, will dictate this game. Alabama (+4.5) will cover and do not be surprised if they pull the upset.

Sunday, August 31, 2008

RPJ PICK

Colorado at (neutral site) Colorado State (+11) - We already pointed out in our Vegas preview piece that the Big 12 has the most elite talent at QB in the country and Colorado is part of that picture. QB Cody Hawkins looks good running the new spread offense at Colorado and he was challenged by his backups in camp. The competition has been healthy and will only make Cody better. He is a scrapper and the Buffs were scrappy last year. They beat Oklahoma and Texas Tech so they have the confidence that they can beat anybody anywhere. Always remember one thing….the reason you have heard of Boise State is because of Colorado’s coach, Dan Hawkins. Hawkins put Boise State on the map and then was hired away to restore Colorado’s program. This team is young and is starting to get the talent needed to compete with every team in the Big 12. A little birdy told us that when Hawkins showed up in 2006 he did not think the team possessed one legit D-1 athlete. Taking that into consideration we think he has done a great job. The Buffs went 2-10 in 2006 and 6-7 in 2007. We think they will improve and end the year with a winning record. We have one reason to shit on Colorado State and it comes from this press conference. Please click here to laugh at these tools.

Here is the injured star of Colorado State….

Any D-1 coach that opens a press conference during game week and talks about his kicker is an idiot. It is clear this clown has never coached D-1 before. Colorado is going to drop huge Buffalo turds all over this team. Plus, Colorado has probably the best freshman running back in the country in Darrell Scott. This kid can straight bowl over defenses. He will be an immediate starter. He probably get 150 yards in his debut.

Well these ATS numbers are a mess:

Buffaloes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Buffaloes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. MWC.
Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

The Buffalos are legit this year. No way Colorado State keeps it close, even in a rivalry game. Team Hawkins is too damn good. Take the Buffs (-11) to the bank!!!

Monday, September 1, 2008

RPJ Pick

Tennessee at UCLA (+7.5) - Last year Tennessee traveled to play Cal and was thrashed. Of course that Tennessee team was good enough to play in the SEC championship game. What a freakin joke. The team that plays in the SEC championship can not even beat a team in the bottom half of the Pac-10. Where was the media to talk about that one? This year The Vols travel to play a UCLA team that is nowhere close to Cal’s talent level from last year. UCLA has a new coach, a new offense and injuries to their 1st and 2nd string QBs. Their new coach is also trying to make himself a public figure with ridiculous ads in the local LA papers. He needs to focus on recruiting and boosting the talent on his roster. Go bet on some more March Madness pools Rick.

Is UCLA serious with that crap?!?!?! Worse ad ever. The USC band has more 5 star recruits than UCLA has had in the past 10 years combined. Tennessee is the superior team top to bottom and this game does not really need any detail. The line should be in the double digits and we are jumping on it under 10. The ATS numbers:

Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Volunteers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Volunteers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. SEC.
Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games.
Bruins are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games in September.

Don’t buy UCLA’s ATS numbers. UCLA is not good and simply does not have the talent to match up with Tennessee. The Vols win this one by more than 10 and if they do not then the SEC is SOFT as hell this year.

We are introducing a new feature this year. Flash Flash and Runny work well together because we only pick games where every single one of our bet criteria are met. This is why we might only focus on 3-8 games each week. It simply means our models do not mesh up. This year we are going to publish our individual picks outside of RPJ Syndicate’s picks. We are not going to give you detailed reasons for our explanations but we are going to track our individual metrics outside of The Syndicate so you can see more picks.

Flash Flash Picks

Illinois (+8.5) at (neutral site but not really) Missouri - One of the best QBs in the nation, Daniel, playing at their home away from home in the Loo. Love Maclin too. Illinois will not be as good as last year minus Mendenhall. Missouri easily wins by more than 10.

Oklahoma St. at Washington St. (+7.5) - Both teams will score but Washington State’s defense is more inept that Oklahoma State’s is and that will be enough for the Cowboys to win by more than 10. Loving Ok. St. in this one.

RUNNY Picks

Bowling Green at Pitt (-13) - Some analysts have picked Bowling Green to win the MAC. They averaged 30.2 points and 402.5 yeards per game last year. Plus, they return their leading QB. However, I just don’t see them competing in the up-and-coming MAC. The architect behind thier offense, O-Coordinator Mick McCall, left to take the same position at Northwestern. Also, their o-line has three new starters. Pitt’s D will eat this up. Pitt has one of the best front 7 in NCAA. Also, Pitt’s D was ranked #5 in total D last year and they return 6 starters. Their D is extrememly deep. Throw in LeSean McCoy and this will be a beatdown. McCoy may drop 200 on them. Take Pitt (-13) all the way to the bank!!!!

Utah (+3.5) @ Michigan - Rich Rodriguez’s Ann Arbor and much anticipated Michigan blue. No doubt he is a phenomenal coach and can get as much out of his players as anyone. I’m a huge fan. However, he can only do so much in so little time. He is implementing his spread offense in a team that just does not have the personnel yet. Rodriguez knows this, and I’m sure he will do the best he can with what he has. Michigan does have a stacked D and return 8 starters, including everyone on their line. They will definitely be the positive in this game for the maize and blue. However, they will be going against a team that runs the spread offense, too. A team that has been doing it much longer and has many more suitable players. QB Brian Johnson is back and finally healthy. This kid has serious wheels and can sling it. To back him up, Sophmore Corbin Louks can come in for a spell much like Tebow did his freshman year. They return their starting RB and a JuCo transfer in Matt Asiata who can run all day. They can guide this offense against Michigan’s D enough to keep this close. It will be the Utes D that stiffles Michigan’s new offense enough to keep it close. Don’t be surprised if the Utes go into Ann Arbor and silence the world’s quietest 100,000+ fans. Take the Utes +3.5. Don’t forget….Ann Arbor is a whore!!!

Enjoy the picks!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Stay tuned for NFL picks next week. Feel free to post anything you want on this blog or to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We are here for our readers and want you to make as much money as possible this season.

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4 Comments

2008 Week 1: The First NCAA Football Pick of the Season!!! Wake at Baylor

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

August 27, 2008

RPJ Syndicate = 0-0 on the NCAA season. Man it feels good to put these numbers out again.

Welcome back for another great year of NCAA football. We can not wait for this season and know this will be our most lucrative yet. First things first, we do not hold anything back and we are here to make ourselves and you money…cold hard cash!!!! We post our picks with the lines we bet them. Our money is on every game we pick so we will feel the pain and share the gain; with lots more gain on tap for this year. Our models have been tweaked and we have spread our network of undercover informants so get ready for the best free pick evaluation you have ever seen. Pay close attention to the lines we bet because a half point spread difference matters to us. If you followed us last year you made money…plain and simple!!!

This forum is as much for you as it is for us. If you want us to pick a game for you let us know. If you want to ask us any questions, feel free to post on this blog or email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We are here to make as much money as is humanly possible this season and we want your feedback. Also, thanks for the positive feedback to our email address. It is nice to know when you do well too. If you want to call us a bunch of stupid idiots that is your right too. We do not edit our blog and will debate you to death and probably call you names because we are both short tempered.

Last note of business before the picks, Runny wants this to be a hardcore betting pick blog only and Flash Flash wants to display our picks with hot chicks. We were the originators of chicks and picks that other sports personalities, not naming names FARRELL, ripped off. No Runny is not gay but it makes you wonder doesn’t it.

WEEK 1 PICK

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Wake Forest at Baylor (+12) - This game is not going to be close. Wake returns 9 starters from a solid and stout defense and returns a decent QB and RB in Skinner and Adams. Baylor is bad and has been practicing poorly leading up to this game. Baylor has been turning over the ball left and right in practice and Wake will be all over any mistakes. Also, why in the hell would anybody go play for Baylor, root for Baylor or bet on Baylor when they put their coaches picture on the cover of the media guide. What a crock. How about supporting your student athletes!!!!

We think this has the making of an ugly game and are confident that Wake can easily win by 14 points or more. We do not see any “coaches” on this media guide.

Based on this we might bet against Baylor every game this year. Ha ha.

Some against the spread (ATS) numbers:

Demon Deacons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Baylor Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Baylor Bears are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Take Wake and start off the week on a winning note. Jim Grobe is a great coach and will have his team ready to play. Anything up to 14 points and we are all over this game. THIS IS A 1 BETTING UNIT GAME FOR US

Let the games begin Biatches!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

And yes Jessican Simpson is still hot……….

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2 Comments

12/29 Free NCAA Bowl Winning Picks and Hot Chicks: UCONN versus Wake Forest

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

December 29, 2007

We are cranking out bets left and right to prove that our system will rebound strongly for you our readers and of course for our own bank accounts. It has been a tough go but we are going to make up some serious ground with our next round of picks. Stay tuned for a fun weekend and sign up to our RSS feeds so you can receive our picks in real time. On the season we are 2-7 and down 15 units. We did win our last bet thanks to Oregon State and their Beavers.

We are making this game our first Dahm Triplet game of the season in honor of these lovely ladies….

3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definately 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.

This is the first time we have shown these lovelies so lets check em out:

I think we need some good old fashioned nudity:

And we would not be RPJ Syndicate if we skipped the obligatory ass shot:

Wake Forest (-2) versus UCONN in the Meineke Car Care Bowl

This is an interesting game to check out because we know that Wake always plays solid football under Jim Grobe and so far Grobe has decided to remain at Wake. Most people did not expect anything from UCONN to start this season so lets take a look at how they arrived at their 9-3 record and almost played in a BCS bowl game. This 9-3 record is interesting…UCONN lost at UVA on 10/13/2007 by one point, lost at Cincy on 11/10/2007 27-3 and lost at West Virginia 66-21 in their last game of the season. The beat two bowl teams… a home win against South Florida by a 22-15 margin on 10/27/2007 and a 38-19 at home against Rutgers the following week. So against legitimate competition they went 2-3 and the only wins came at home. Their other competition included: Duke, Maine, Temple, Pitt, Akron, Louisville and Syracuse. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers and then we will get into it…Both teams have pretty good ATS numbers:

UCONN
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Huskies are 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 non-conference games.
Huskies are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Demon Deacons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Demon Deacons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Demon Deacons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Here is how we see it. Neither team has a distinct edge with their ATS stats so what will give. This game is actually 80 miles from Wake Forest and Grobe already says he expects 30,000 fans to show up. We know UCONN will not travel because it is a basketball school and people do not care in New England right now with the Pats on their run. We already showed you that UCONN did not travel well against good teams. Throw in the fact that Wake was 5-1 at home with their sole loss in week 2 against Nebraska 20-17 when Nebraska was decent and you start to like Wake’s chances. We think Cincy showed the blueprint for how to beat UCONN. Stack against the run and make them pass. Cincy held UCONN to 31 yards rushing and that held them to 3 points. UCONN has to run or they are ineffective because their QB, Lorenzen, is not that accurate. Well Wake has the 7th best rush defense in the country so you now can definitely see where this is going. Wake is essentially playing a home game, with a top rated run defense against a UCONN team that hates playing on the road and has to run to balance out their offense. Easy money here…well no pick has been easy money this year but this is the type of game where you want to pick UCONN but you just know Wake will show up and play a great game Pick Wake to win and cover!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

ACC, Big East, Dahm Triplets, Demon Deacons, Free NCAA picks, Huskies, NCAA, NCAA Picks, Uconn, Wake Forest, Winning Picks, ncaa football

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2007-2008 NCAA Football Bowl Preview: RPJ Syndicate’s Guide to Making Money

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

December 4, 2007

We concluded the NCAA Football regular season with a record of 59-54. We were 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets, which were our super bets meaning we bet 5 times our normal unit. This approach led us to win 13 units on the season. Take away the Vig (about 10%) and we are working with with just under 12 units….11.7 to be exact. We would have liked to win more but we won and that is a lot better than other so called “experts can say”.

The reason we started our blog is because we went 19-4 during last season’s Bowl Season. We crushed it!!!! Combining our record with an article in the Wall Street Journal about a sports picker out in Cal-Berkely who was giving away his picks for free and winning at a nice rate. Well this Cal-Berkeley guy made his picks for pay when he had enough of a fan base and he was making $10k a month in his first few months on top of his gambling money. We know our system and our picking are world class and we are revealing all of our picks to you for free. You the reader are reaping the benefits of a free winning system. The point of gambling is not to have more fun while watching games…the point is to make cold hard cash and when you follow us, as we proved during this season, you make cash!!!

Now the point of this Bowl season is to take your/our 11.7 units and turn that into a lot more. We are going to give you specific reasons why we are picking a game and sometimes we might just tell you to pick a game just like we did with our pick of PITT to cover against West Virginia for their December 1 game. Our betting system is based on a trial and tested system and we always put our money where our mouth is with no exceptions.

For this bowl season we are going to set up a system for you where you bet 1,2,3,4,5 and the Super Bet for as many betting units as you are willing to risk. The Super Bet is our 99.99999% lock!! These bets are called:

The Super Bet = The Keyra Shake that Money Maker bet - These will be our super lock bets. The bets we are taking out second mortgages, bank loans, hitting up friends and relatives…you get the picture. Bet as much as you can stomach bets.

5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet - We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it.

4 Unit Bet = The Shakira Hips Don’t Lie bet- We love us some Shakira and her hip shaking bits. In honor of this Columbian love ma-cheen, we named one of our bets after her. For the Shakira bets, place 4 times your typical unit of bet.

3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.

2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet - In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.

1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.

Below is the schedule for all bowl games this season. We are going to pick as many games as our system spits out. Do not expect us to pick every game but we will have action on most of them. We will probably post our picks on this blog 1-2 days before each bowl. Please feel free to ask us any questions or post comments on this blog. Our email is rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

Sincerely,

Flash Flash and Runny

2007-08 College Football Bowl Schedule

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia
Utah (-9) vs. Navy
Dec. 20, 9 p.m.

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Memphis (+2) vs. Florida Atlantic
Dec. 21, 8 p.m.

Papajohns.com Bowl
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati (-11)
Dec. 22, 1 p.m.

New Mexico Bowl
Nevada vs. New Mexico (-3)
Dec. 22, 4:30 p.m.

Pioneer Las Vegas
UCLA vs. BYU (-5.5)
Dec. 22, 8 p.m.

Sheraton Hawaii
Boise State (-10.5) vs. East Carolina
Dec. 23, 8 p.m.

Motor City
Purdue (-9.5) vs. Central Michigan
Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m.

Pacific Life Holiday
Arizona State (+1.5) vs. Texas
Dec. 27, 8 p.m.

Champs Sports
Boston College (-3) vs. Michigan State
Dec. 28, 5 p.m.

Texas
TCU vs. Houston (+3.5)
Dec. 28, 8 p.m.

Emerald
Maryland vs. Oregon State (-4.5)
Dec. 28, 8:30 p.m.

Meineke Car Care
UConn vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
Dec. 29, 1 p.m.

AutoZone Liberty
UCF vs. Mississippi State (+3)
Dec. 29, 4:30 p.m.

Valero Alamo
Penn State vs. Texas A and M (+5.5)
Dec. 29, 8 p.m.

PetroSun Independence
Alabama (-3.5) vs. Colorado
Dec. 30, 8 p.m.

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
California (-4) vs. Air Force
Dec. 31, 12:30 p.m.

Roady’s Humanitarian
Georgia Tech (-4.5) vs. Fresno State
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.

Brut Sun
South Florida (-6.5) vs. Oregon
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.

Gaylord Hotels Music City
Kentucky (-1) vs. Florida State
Dec. 31, 4 p.m.

Insight
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State (-4.5)
Dec. 31, 6 p.m.

Chick-fil-A
Clemson (-2.5) vs. Auburn
Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m.

Outback
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 11 a.m.

AT and T Cotton
Missouri (-3.5) vs. Arkansas
Jan. 1, 2008, 11:30 a.m.

Gator
Texas Tech vs. Virginia (+5.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.

Capital One
Michigan vs. Florida (-10.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Illinois vs. USC (-13.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 4:30 p.m.

Allstate Sugar
Hawaii vs. Georgia (-9.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 8:30 p.m.

Tostitos Fiesta
Oklahoma (-6.5) vs. West Virginia
Jan. 2, 2008, 8 p.m.

FedEx Orange
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. Kansas
Jan. 3, 2008, 8 p.m.

International
Rutgers (-9.5) vs. Ball State
Jan. 5, 2008, Noon

GMAC
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa (-4)
Jan. 6, 2008, 8 p.m.

Allstate BCS Championship Game
LSU (-6) vs. Ohio State
Jan. 7, 2008, 8 p.m.

Air Force Falcons, Alabama Tide, Arizona State, Arkansas Razorbacks, Auburn Tigers, BCS, BYU Cougars, Ball State Cardinals, Big East, Big Ten, Boise State Broncos, Boston College, Bowling Green, California, Central Florida, Central Michigan, Charlie Weis, Clemson, Clemson Tigers, Colorado Buffaloes, Dahm Triplets, Derek Jeter, East Carolina, East Carolina Pirates, Eva Mendes, Florida, Florida Atlantic, Florida Gators, Florida State Seminoles, Free NCAA picks, Fresno State, Gambling, Georgia Bulldogs, Georgia Tech, Hawaii Rainbows, Heidi Klum, Houston, Illinois, Indiana Hoosiers, Kansas Jayhawks, Kentucky, Kentucky Wildcats, Keyra Augustina, LSU, LSU Tigers, Maryland, Memphis, Michigan, Michigan State, Midshipmen, Mississippi State, Missouri, NCAA Picks, Navy, Nevada, New Mexico, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Oregon Ducks, Oregon State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers, South Florida, Southern Miss, TCU, Tenn, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Texas Longhorns, Texas Tech, Trojans, Tulsa, UCLA, USC, USC Trojans, UVA, Uconn, Utah, VaTech, Virginia Cavaliers, Virginia Tech, Virginia Tech Hokies, Wake Forest, West Virginia, Winning Picks, Wisconsin Badgers, ncaa football

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NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: The Power of 10 - 10 Winning Picks and 10 Observations from South Bend

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

October 25, 2007

“It is not worth an intelligent man’s time to be in the majority. By definition, there are already enough people to do that.” — Godfrey Harold Hardy

Sometimes sports betting becomes one big quandary, picks do not seem logical, spreads do not make sense and you are left scratching your head trying to find a new edge. Our picks are not going to put you in the majority of the betting world and that is a good thing. We have a system and we know it works, no matter how crazy logic fights what we are telling you to do. Do we want it to work better…sure we do but we are picking winners at a 57% right now, we have had one losing week this entire season. So while the other handicappers and sports bettors are trying to find winners we know our big pay day is right around the corner. Stick with us-we do the research so you don’t have to. Our system works and you will continue to see that we are elite. Bring on Bowl Season already!!!!

As always, our disclaimer, we are 29-22 on the season, 3-3 with our Brinks Truck bets (5 times your normal betting unit, and we are up 7 units on the season. Lastly, our money is where our mouth is. We bet every one of these games at the lines we post.

We are not laying down a Brinks truck bet this week. The truck is still in the shop!

The theme of this week is The Power of 10. We have 10 picks for you and we are going to share 10 observations from our trip to South Bend this past weekend where we witnessed just how bad the Notre Dame Cowering Irish football team really is.

Betting Group 1
Clean Sweep Games….These are games where one team has a clear statistical advantage over the other team. Some of the categories we consider are efficiency running the ball, converting third downs, stopping the run, stopping third downs and turnover ratio. If a team can control the clock and the ball, they are going to win and cover.

1 - UNC @ Wake Forest (-5.5) = This game is clear cut. Wake Forest runs for almost 50 yards more per game and is almost 10 percentage points higher converting third downs…42.2% versus 32.7%. Tie that in with a superior defense and a clear advantage in the turnover ration +4 versus -4 and you have a team playing at home in the midst of a 5 game winning streak. Some against the spread numbers (ATS) for you…Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tar Heels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. 6 points seems high and most experts are picking UNC after they scrapped it out with South Carolina two weeks ago. The “Clean sweep” stats are what is important to us and we are taking Wake. Plus, Wake is at home against a bitter in-state rival. Wake wins and covers!

Notre Dame Observation #1: Before we walked into the game, while we were walking around campus, we actually heard a student or young alumnus say the following: “Back in the good old days, when there were no girls at Notre Dame….” We were laughing so hard that we did not even bother listening to what he said after that because he was dead serious when he said it. The ND girls are not known to be lookers but at least they are not swinging tube steaks down there. The football team is bad and now the guys do not like girls. What has become of Notre Dame.

2 - Miami-Ohio @ Vanderbilt (-14) = Vandy wins the statistical battle across the board and is coming off an awesome win at South Carolina. Vanderbilt preys on the bad..Beat Richmond 41-17, Ole Miss 31-17 and Eastern Michigan 30-7. Some ATS numbers for you… Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf. Miami-Ohio just lost to Temple. TEMPLE!!!!! We think that says it all. Vandy wins easily.

Notre Dame Observation #2: At kickoff there were actually empty seats noticeable in the entire stadium, even the student section. We even received a call that we could buy 12 tickets at face value Friday afternoon. How much of a joke is that? Now you have a school where the Boys do not like girls and even the students turned on the football team.

3 - Iowa St. @ Missouri (-28.5) = Missouri is 6 and 0 against the spread and we love picking them. Now we all know we blew it with the Oklahoma/Iowa State game but this is payback. Last week was Iowa State’s homecoming, they were playing as hard as they have all year and eventually blew the game in the end. Missouri absolutely destroyed a dynamic Texas Tech team and loves to pour on the points. Iowa State will be in let down mode and Missouri will capitalize. I do not even need to break down the statistical differences between these two teams. It is a joke. 28.5 points are nothing in this matchup. Some ATS numbers for you….Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. We think that says it all. Bet Missouri with confidence.

Notre Dame Observation #3: The fan base has turned on the team. Our favorite heckler kept yelling at Charlie Weis to run the ball three times for no gain and then punt so they could at least say they successfully punted the ball. it was loud, it was ugly and the fans are not happy in South Bend.

4 - UVA (-3) @ NC State = Here is what we know about NC State, they can not stop the run, can not run the ball and have turned the ball over 24 times this year for a minus 17 turnover ratio. Enough said? You could have given us 14 points in this game and we would have taken it. Just to rub it in….Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Wolfpack are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Wolfpack are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Wolfpack are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October. Wolfpack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Wolfpack are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Wolfpack are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Wolfpack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. We think you can see what we are talking about.

We are breaking out a new feature this week. Mrs. Flash Flash is jealous of Mrs. Bill Simmons and her NFL picking weekly feature so she wanted to speak her mind this week. Her pick of the week is this game because she likes UVA’s uniforms better than all the other teams we selected. We are not kidding. Use this information as you will UVA wins easily so says The Syndicate and Mrs. Flash Flash.

Notre Dame Observation #4: Notre Dame had one pre season all american candidate on defense and it was Tom Zibikowksi, a senior and I think a 5th year senior at that. Well USC came out and spread the ball and put Joe McKnight, a true freshman, isolated outside against Zibikowski. You would think a 5th year senior pre-season all american would have no problem covering an 18 year old kid but Zibikowski was jumping up and down that he needed help and could not cover the kid. Lucky for him, McKnight’s number was not called. Even the TV announcers picked up on this. What a joke. Notre Dame is over hyped and under talented.

Betting Group 2
The Turnover Dilemma Games…This is an interesting development. Teams that appear to have the statistical edge in every category with the exception of turnover ratio are only 7-7 and against the spread in the last 4 weeks. When you look at the home and away breakdown of this 7-7 number we came up with an even more revealing figure…..the home team that has a statistical advantage but does not have the turnover ratio advantage does not cover. We came up with two betting situations that we like applying this theory.

5 - Indiana (+7.5) @ Wisconsin = Wisonsin’s turnover ratio is minus 6 on the season and they have turned the ball over 13 times. Indiana is plus three on the year and has a ball hawking defense that has caused 20 turnovers. Another interesting stat…the road team is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Indiana has been streaky and a tough team to figure out this year but we do know they can score points against anybody…31 against Penn State and 38 against Iowa are two impressive performances and they covered in both. Indiana went toe to toe with Penn State and came up just short. We think Wisconsin is a shell of its former self and their home field advantage is not as relevant as it was in the Barry Alvarez days. Some ATS numbers to back up this pick….Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Badgers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Badgers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Plus, Wisconsin’s QB plays as nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs, and IU’s QB is a stud with a phenom wideout. Indiana will cover this line and do not be surprised if they win outright.

Notre Dame observation #5: The student section gave the USC cheerleaders a standing ovation. This caught us by surprise because the male student body already was on record saying the school was better when there were no girls there and now they were applauding the USC cheerleaders and then it struck us (NOTE: These girls were extremely attractive). Due to the high level of homosexuality that is now prevalent amongst Catholic Priests, the male student body must be primarliy gay and therefore was applauding the dance moves of the cheerleaders. We researched and heard that modern dance was now the number 1 sought after major by males on campus.

6 - Stanford (+13.5) @ Oregon State = Two more scary teams. Stanford beats USC one week and loses to TCU the following week. Oregon St. gets destroyed by Cincy and then beats Cal. Standford’s RB situation is unknown at this point due to injuries and that has us nervous but we love the scrappiness of Tavita Pritchard, Stanford’s QB. He led them back against Arizona last week and has the same “never quit” attitude that Vince Young has. Just so you are not totally afraid to make this bet…..Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October. And on the flip side….Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Not much to go on but enough for us. Stanford continues to show its grit and covers.

Notre Dame Observation #6: We witnessed the strength, power and speed of the E-Freak up close and personal. Everson Griffen, #93 on the Trojans, all 6 foot 3 inches 265 pounds of him. A true freshman listed as a DE. This kid was a freak of nature out there. They brough him out primarily in passing situations and he was a beast and all over the field, even knocking down a pass. What was most impressive was when Pete Carroll lined up the E-freak at CB. Yes, he lined him up at cornerback!!!! We were dumbfounded and they ran to his side and the E-freak got involved on the tackle. You know your offense is absolutely the worst in the nation when an 18 year old defensive end can line up on your WRs. Man Notre Dame was bad!!! Look out for good things to come from the E-Freak. Watch out Dennis Dixon.

The Straight Cash Homey Picks: Sorry folks but we can not give away all our secrets. These are our special picks that we are more than happy to throw our own money on.

7 - Kansas (-2.5) @ Texas AandM = Ride the winning horse until it is defeated. Kansas is 6 and 0 against the spread. They pulled out a nice win at Colorado last week and will look to beat another Big 12 team on the road. Here are some ATS stats for you: Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Aggies are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The thing we think is most important though and the true reason for their success….Mark Mangino, the Jayhawk coach. This guy is by far one of the fattest coaches in the history of NCAA football. Check it out:

Are you kidding us with this guy?!?!? He makes Charlie Weis look like Calista Flockhart!!! This guy is a monster and we would not screw with him….Ride that Kansas horse until it needs to be shot. Jayhawks win and cover on the road!

Notre Dame Observation #7: During the third quarter, Sharpley passed to Travis Thomas who was lit up by Cary Harris and fumbled the ball which was recovered by Keith Rivers. We were on the complete opposite side of the stadium when this hit went down and we could hear it…it sounded like somebody was cracking wood. We have never been to a live sporting event and heard a hit like this in our lifetime. We are not sure how it carried over on television or even how it looked but it sounded great. It is impressive that Travis Thomas got up and his head was still attached to his body.

8 - Arizona @ Washington (-3.5) = Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in October. Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Wildcats are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is extrememly well coached. Not saying AU is not, but Ty is a much better coach. He will have them ready to rock. They put up points and Oregon last week and kept that game close. AU will not like the road trip. Washington covers easily.

Notre Dame Observation #8: Jimmy Clausen’s prediction that he will never lose to USC if he is QB actually came true. Jimmy has been so good playing that Weis benched him and Jimmy was able to follow through with his bold prediction. No playing time = no chance of losing to USC. Nice work on your prediction Jimmy. Three more years to go with that one!!!

9 - Georgia @ Florida (-8.5) = This game will be a street fight. Look for big hits. These games have been close in the recent history. This game is being played in J’Ville, but the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Gators are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss. Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Florida. Gators just have more athletes and more people to lay the lumber. If Florida can cover 9 against Kentucky, they can cover this. Take Florida and give the points.

Notre Dame Observation #9: We observed just how bad Notre Dame is as a team, coaches included. There is zero talent on that team and the play calling was worse than Ron Zook’s at Florida. If you do not know what I am talking about go find a Gators fan and he/she will fill you right in. Screen, screen, draw, screen, etc… You get our drift. Weis was terrible and needs to be held accountable for his game planning and the talent he recruited. He was bad and the players were bad and unprepared. Sharpley looked frantic on every passing play. We observed a horrendous ND team suffer the second worse home loss in its storied history and we loved it. Leprechaun land does not even have anything good to root for in the near term. You know the country is moving in the right direction when Notre Dame has one win and is ranked last in NCAA on offense. We love it!!!

10 - California (+3) @ Arizona State= This a BCS debacle game. We are playing the numbers here. Cal has lost two games in a row but they have not lost three straight games since losing the first 10 games of their 1-10 season in 2001. Also, the Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and none of the games have been decided by less than 17 points. Golden Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Golden Bears are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Sun Devils best RB, Ryan Torain, their leading rusher and scorer is now out for the season. Arizona State is not battle tested and will need to step up big to compete against Cal. We do not think they can. Cal bounces back with a win and a cover.

On a side note, I am very sorry but I was not able to make Jeff Tedford eat a turd sandwich this week. I am still working on it and if he burns us again he will be forced to eat a turd sandwich and wear a very large anal plug.

“Hi my name is Jeff Tedford, I am scratching my head because I have no idea why I let a red shirt freshman ruin our season and ultimately take money out of the pockets of the readers of this fine blog. Runny and Flash are great guys and if I fail this week I will eat that turd sandwich, with an anal plug up my rectum. You can count on it.”

Notre Dame Observation #10: Although we have been bashing the beloved Leprechaun lovers in this post, we must give props where due. The entire staff on campus could not have been more polite. Seriously, it was like we were watching a game in a 5 star restaurant. An usher even gave us a “congrats” on our way out the stadium. They say a team/organization shows its true colors in a defeat. The ND staff was all class. Thanks for the hospitality.

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