Winning Picks

FREE NBA PICKS FOR DECEMBER 28, 2009

Greetings. We are closing the 2009 portion of the season in winning style. Our season ATS record stands at 106-88-5. Of that, our locks are 3-2-1. We know it is not where we need to be, but we are winning each night. 7 Games on the docket tonight. This is what we like:

 

LOCKS

Thunder @ Nets +6: The Nets are making a habit of getting blown out this year. Of their 28 losses, only 9 have been by fewer than 10 points. They are a joke of a team right now. The Thunder will win their third straight. Take the Thunder and give the points.

 

PICKS

Bucks @ Bobcats -4.5: Bobcats are a completely different team at home (24-11 ATS in their last 35 home games) and they love Monday night games (9-2 ATS in their last 11). However, we still aren’t buying that they are a good team. Brandon Jennings has come down to reality as of late, but we like them to cover. They match-up well with the Bobcats. Take the Bucks and the points.

 

Wizards @ Grizzlies -5.5: We love the Wizards’ D in this game. We think they match-up well against the Grizzlies. Don’t be surprised in Washington wins outright. Take the Wizards and the points.

 

Lakers @ Suns +1: The Lakers have dominated this match-up as of late and look to build some momentum after their overtime win against the Kings. The Lakers are exactly what the Suns hate-a large and athletic team that plays well together. That is the recipe for beating the Suns. The Suns are off one of their worse performances of the season last time out. Even without Artest, the Lakers will still get the best of them. Take the Lakers and give the point.

Nuggets @ Kings +2: The Nuggets have been terrible since Chauncey Billups injured his groin. However, the Kings will probably be without Tyreke Evans and Sean May tonight. Those are bigger losses. Take the Nuggets and give the points.

 

76ers @ Trail Blazers -6: The 76ers have dominated this match-up as of late and they should get Iverson back tonight. The Blazers have been hot-covering in their last 4 games. We don’t think it will be 5 straight tonight. Take the 76ers and the points.

Celtics @ Warriors +6: The Celtics are one of the best road teams in the league, but they have not done well when visiting the Warriors. Still, they play outstanding D. The Warriors are hot off their pounding of a Suns team that played no D whatsoever. Tonight will be different. They will get all the D they can handle tonight. Take the Celtics and give the points.

 

Road team sweep for us tonight. That hasn’t happened before, but we are sticking with our system.

 

Good Luck,

 

Runny & Flash

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

Music City Bowl: Kentucky Wildcats versus Clemson Tigers (-7):

Sunday, December 27, 2009

Music City Bowl: Kentucky Wildcats versus Clemson Tigers (-7) - Only five teams in the SEC will be making at least their fourth straight trip to a bowl game this season, and Kentucky is one of them. The other four are Alabama, Florida, Georgia and LSU. It was another solid season for Rich Brooks & Co., but could have been a whole lot better if Kentucky could have punched the ball in for a touchdown at the end of regulation against Tennessee. The Wildcats couldn’t and were beaten in overtime by the Vols — again. Kentucky has lost 25 consecutive games to Tennessee, the longest active losing streak in the country involving teams that play every year. Kentucky is looking to win its fourth bowl game in a row, which is something that has never happened. Clemson on the other hand is looking to avoid its 4th straight bowl loss. Clemson (8-5) reached the ACC championship game against then-No. 10 Georgia Tech on Dec. 5, with the school’s first league title since 1991 and a spot in the Orange Bowl at stake. Despite 233 yards rushing and four touchdowns from Spiller, the Tigers lost 39-34. The player in this game that will draw the most attention is the versatile Spiller, who finished sixth in the Heisman Trophy voting and is the first Tiger to win ACC player of the year honors since Michael Dean Perry in 1987. He ranks fourth nationally in all-purpose yards with 194.0 per game and is the only player in the country to score a touchdown in every game this year, finishing with a school-record 20. Even the best defenses had trouble containing Spiller and Kentucky struggled against the run all season, giving up 183.1 yards per game to rank 100th out of 120 Football Bowl Subdivision teams. Kentucky’s defense will also be without its best player. Linebacker Sam Maxwell, who had 80 tackles and tied for second in the SEC with six interceptions, is out following shoulder surgery. We think Spiller will go out in a blaze of glory. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!!!

Kentucky

Clemson
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
  • Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
  • Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games as a favorite.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games.

December 26, 2009 Winning Bowl Game Predictions: Little Caesars Pizza Bowl, Meineke Car Care Bowl and Emerald Bowl

We are becoming one of the best indicators of this NCAA football bowl season. We are now 1-5. Of the 5 we lost, we did not even have the winner of the game correct. Disaster city but we will press on. Just bet the opposite of what we are saying.

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: Ohio Bobcats (-3) versus Marshall Thundering Herd - This is hands down one of the worst named bowls of all time. This is the tale of two ATS teams right now. Ohio is on a bit of a hot streak, covering in 4 straight games. Marshall has lost three in a row against the spread and has lost 3 out of 4 games straight up. Marhsall’s skid prompted their coach to high tale it out of town and in steps new coach, Doc Holliday. We love the name Doc Holliday but we do not see Marshall showing up to play an inspired ball game. Ohio has really played well down the stretch. They won at Ball State and Buffalo and then beat Northern Illinois and Temple at home. They did lose by 10 to Central Michigan and Dan LeFevour their last time out but they pulled the cover and Dan LeFevour is the man so that was fine with us. We are going to ride the hot team. We are betting on Ohio to win and cover!

Ohio Bobcats

  • Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Bobcats are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
  • Bobcats are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Marshall Thundering Herd
  • Thundering Herd are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
  • Thundering Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
  • Thundering Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
  • Thundering Herd are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
  • Thundering Herd are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC.
Meineke Car Care Bowl: North Carolina Tar Heels versus Pittsburgh Panthers (-3) - This pains us to write but this is another one of the games where we bet the underdog to cover because they give up less than 100 yards rushing on defense. We already blew it once with Central Florida and Rutgers but we are going back to the well. We wanted to take Rutgers but the strategy told us otherwise. Same situation here. We would normally take UNC in this case but the under 100 yard strategy not only wins but it literally picks outright winners. 70% of the teams win outright so getting points is like a sundae with extra fudge and whipped cream. Our gut says go UNC but you know the drill. On one note, Pitt is terrible against the ACC and terrible in bowl games. Check out the numbers below. We are taking UNC to cover!
North Carolina
  • Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Tar Heels are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Tar Heels are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
  • Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. ACC.
  • Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
Emerald “Deez Nuts” Bowl: Boston College Eagles versus USC Trojans - Oh how the mighty have fallen. USC’s season was more than a disappointment. The team literally imploded. The offense did not improve at all during the whole season and the defense looked like a pop warner team against the likes of Oregon and Stanford. Throw in horrific choking losses to Washington and Arizona and you have your 8-4 USC Trojans. USC was also 3-9 ATS on the season. Now we look at USC’s problems. The coaching staff is a shell of itself following the championship teams of yesteryear. Pete Carroll is micro managing. He let Norm Chow go because of ego and the team has not been the same since. Now there are more quality control issues. Joe McKnight is driving around in Range Rovers. Players are showing up academically ineligible for bowl games. We see distractions, distractions and more distractions. Distractions and an under performing team lead to bowl losses. Is Boston College good? Not really. They play well on defense and have a mediocre offense. Sounds a lot like USC but BC gets 9 points. It is almost sacrilege to bet against USC in a bowl game, but we have to do it. We are betting that BC covers!!!
Boston College
  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as an underdog.
  • Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Eagles are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Eagles are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog.
  • Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
USC
  • Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.
  • Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games as a favorite.
  • Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Trojans are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Trojans are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 non-conference games.
  • Trojans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Trojans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Trojans are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
  • Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Week 16 NFL Winning Picks: Playoff Implications All Around with lucky #7!

Crazy week in NFL. RPJ was a winner, the underdog strategy was a winner but we are sad to say we were knocked out of the winner’s bracket of our knockout pool. We now get lumped into the second chance grouping but will not win major coinage. Very sad. Crazy lines this week. Most of them seem to be 7 points or 14 points and there are a ton of 7-7 teams competing for a playoff spot. Hopefully 7 is our lucky number this week!

RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks - We have been hot lately and we credit the list format. The more analysis we give you the more we lose so now we are relegated to simply telling you what we are going to bet. Two weeks ago we were 8-4 and this past week we were 4-3-1. On the season, RPJ is now 52-43-1. So here is the list of the week:

Buffalo at Atlanta (-9) - We are betting the Falcons to win and cover!

Kansas City at Cincinnati (-14) - We are betting the Bengals to win and cover!

Seattle at Green Bay (-14) - We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!

Houston at Miami (-3) - We are betting Miami to win and cover!

Carolina at NY Giants (-7) - We are betting the Giants to win and cover!

NY Jets at Indianapolis (-5.5) - We are betting the NY Jets to pull the cover!

Denver at Philadelphia (-7) - We are betting Philly to win and cover!

Dallas at Washington (+7) - We are betting Dallas to win and cover!

Minnesota at Chicago (+7) - We are betting the Vikings to win and cover!

The Underdog Strategy - Every time we feel like writing this strategy off, it goes nuts on us. Last week, underdogs were 11-4-1 in the NFL. That is a serious payday. On the season, this strategy is now 117-103-3. It seems to us that when the favorites go on a big run, the following week is a HUGE opportunity to bet the underdogs. Vegas tends to get carried away with their lines. We think this has validity. Underdogs in bold

San Diego (+3) at Tennessee

Buffalo (+9) at Atlanta

Kansas City (+14) at Cincinnati

Oakland (+3) at Cleveland

Seattle (+14) at Green Bay

Houston (+3) at Miami

Carolina (+7) at NY Giants

Jacksonville (+8) at New England

Tampa Bay (+14) at New Orleans

Baltimore (+3) at Pittsburgh

St. Louis (+14) at Arizona

Detroit (+12) at San Francisco

NY Jets at (+5.5) Indiananpolis

Denver (+7) at Philadelphia

Dallas at Washington (+7)

Minnesota at Chicago (+7)

Knockout Pool Strategy - It was a very sad day in RPJ Land last week. Effing Raiders dashed our HUGE payout in the knockout pool. Effing Raiders and their last minute come from behind win against the freakin Denver Broncos, 14 point favorite Denver Broncos, with Jamarcus, 10th string, Russell engineering the come from behind win. Yes we are bitter. Our knockout pool has a second bracket for the losers to keep playing but the payout sucks because it is chopped between all remaining losers when the winner’s bracket ends. Probably end up with $50 even if we win and that blows. So based on this we are still picking.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Week 14: Tennessee Titans

Week 15: Denver Broncos (losing pick)

Week 16: Arizona Cardinals

Hawaii Bowl: SMU Mustangs versus Nevada Wolfpack (-12.5): June Jones Returns to the Islands!

We finally got our first win of the bowl season! Thank you Tedford Turd Sandwich. IT feels damn good to get a Cal bet right. Hopefully that sets us up well for next year.

God Bless Hawaii!!!!

God Bless Hawaii!!!!

Thursday December 24, 2009

Hawaii Bowl: SMU Mustangs versus Nevada Wolfpack (-12.5) - This should be a shootout. Nevada is really fun to watch. It is disappointing that Nevada’s RB, Vai Taua, is academically ineligible for the game. He must have been hanging out with the USC Trojans this past month. We love Nevada’s QB, Colin Kaepernick, and he will definitely become our man crush next year as we look to replace the departing Dan LeFevour. Colin has back to back 1,000 yard rushing season and this year he completed 60% of his passes for almost 2,000 yards and a 19:5 TD to INT ratio. He is a stud. SMU gives up 170 yards on the ground and Nevada rushes for 363 yards per game. Trouble spot #1. Nevada converts 51% of its offensive third down conversions. SMU 29.3%. Trouble spot #2. SMU gave up 34 sacks this year, Nevada 10. Trouble spot #3. THREE STRIKES AND YOU ARE OUT!!! We are all over Nevada to win and cover with ease!!!

SMU

Nevada
  • Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 vs. WAC.
  • Over is 16-5 in Mustangs last 21 games following a S.U. win.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in Mustangs last 21 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Mustangs last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Mustangs last 11 games as an underdog.

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah versus Cal (-3.5): The Curse of the Tedford Turd Sandwich

“Since there are so many bowl games we will probably have posts out and not know our overall results. Case in point, this will be published before the BYU/OSU game.” We clearly wrote that last night and out of pure disgust we were not physically able to post anything. This brings back memories of the last two years when we sucked it so bad in bowls we lost all of the money we had built up during the season. We are now 0-4, have not even picked one winner and now we face the Jeff Tedford Turd Sandwich. There is no God!!!

December 23, 2009

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah Utes verus California Golden Bears (-3.5) - Loyal readers of this website know that Jeff Tedford is the bane of our existence and we always refer to him as a turd sandwich. When we bet on Cal they get destroyed and when we bet against Cal they win some game outright that they should not have any business doing so. This is the curse of the Jeff Tedford Turd Sandwich and we are using this game to try and break the spell. Cal was destroyed in their last game against Washington and now they play a Utah team that has one of the longest bowl winning streaks in the nation. Do you really think Cal wants to play in this game and play without Jahvid Best. These teams are very similar on paper. Utah holds the edge in having the better offensive line (only given up 17 sacks versus 27 for Cal) and is about 7% more efficient on defense in allowing third downs. Then you throw in the fact that Utah will play up for this game and Cal will play sideways probably or who the hell really knows what they will do. In our minds, Kyle Whittingham is 1,000 times the coach Turd Sandwich is. Utah also has won 8 bowl games in a row. Tops in the nation. We are Betting Utah to cover in this game!!!

Utah

King of the TURD SANDWICH!!!

King of the TURD SANDWICH!!!

California
  • Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Golden Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
  • Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Golden Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Maaco Las Vegas Bowl: BYU versus Oregon State (-2.5): Rodgers and Rodgers hit the strip!

Nothing like starting the bowl season 0-3. We took a beating this past weekend and were not even close. Of course we jinxed ourselves with the damn defense holding teams under 100 yards rushing guarantee. That guarantee is now worth a pile of shiznit! RPJ Betting $yndicate really knows how to pick bowl games!

Where the Mormon Women at?

Where the Mormon Women at?

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Maaco Las Vegas Bowl: BYU versus Oregon State (-2.5) - This game will be a whole hell of a lot of fun. The Las Vegas Bowl usually is. Runny’s favorite player in all of NCAA football is Jacquizz Rodgers. That little man can play. He is a lot bigger and stronger than people think. Think Maurice Jones-Drew Part II. This game has a couple of story lines. 1) Will the BYU players be able to bring their children to Sin City? If they are not, will it impact their play? 2) How many pairs of magic underwear will the BYU fan base soil in Sin City? Will they have learned their lesson that Crazy Horse II and Spearmint Rhino are not petting zoos? We are not sure. There could be a run on magic underwear and that could lead to unnecessary chaffing. 3) Which team will be more pumped up to play in this game? BYU beat Utah to end their season but BYU seems to live at the Las Vegas Bowl. Oregon State lost in the Civil War and lost their chance at the Rose Bowl. Will the Beavers be pumped up to play this bowl game. The one thing we like is that Oregon State is smart enough to motivate their team and are talking about using this game as a 2010 Heisman launch for Runny’s boy Jacquizz. We think this game will be close and we think top to bottom, Oregon State has more talent and a more motivated coach. Look for a high scoring affair, look for the Rodgers Bros to go bananas and look for one hell of a fun game. We are taking Oregon State to win and cover!!!

BYU

Oregon State
  • Beavers are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
  • Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.
  • Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games.
  • Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games as a favorite.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Beavers are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
  • Beavers are 49-19 ATS in their last 68 games following a ATS win.
  • Beavers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. MWC.
  • Beavers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
  • Beavers are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

2009-2010 NCAA Football Bowl Kickoff: New Mexico, St. Petersburg and New Orleans Bowl Previews!

In terms of full disclosure we were 94-81-3 on the season picking NCAA football games. We are wiping the slate clean because bowl games are a completely different animal than the regular season and we think they are far more predictable. There are tried and true bowl betting strategies, like the underdog who gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense, that we will never sway from. We also have our own juju that we use to exploit the matchups. Remember, we have this website because we went 18-3 picking bowl games a few years ago and our friends begged us to publish our picks for all to see. We think the 2009-2010 Bowl season provides an unprecedented level of opportunity and we are ready to pounce. We are going to write up every single bowl game this year and we are going to tell you why you need to bet the game and/or why you need to watch the game. So lets get this money making party started!

Saturday December 19, 2009

New Mexico Bowl - Wyoming versus Fresno State (-10.5) - We love this matchup. Pat Hill’s team are nasty farm boys that always come to play and are always physical. Wyoming is in its first bowl in five years and will simply be happy to be here. Fresno State’s offense gets overlooked by conference rivals Boise State and Nevada, but Fresno State has one of the most solid rushing attacks in the country. Fresno State runs for 231.6 yards per game, a stat that certainly bodes well against Wyoming and a defense that gives up more than 170 yards per game, ranking outside the top 90. So why do you watch this game? For Ryan Mathews. Quietly, Fresno State running back Ryan Mathews rose to the top of the Football Bowl Subdivision statistical rankings. Mathews, who ran for more than 170 yards and three touchdowns against the Illini, leads the nation in rushing yards per game with 151.3. The junior averages more than one touchdown per game through 25 career games and has rushed for more than 2,600 yards, the fourth-most in school history. If the Cowboys hope to succeed in their goal of not only getting to a bowl, but winning it, they’ll need to do something they haven’t done all year — beat a team with a winning record. Yeah you read that right. UW has scored just one touchdown against such teams this season, and that came on a gadget play at Utah. Blowout city baby!!! We are all over Fresno State to win and cover!!

Wyoming

Fresno State
  • Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
St. Petersburg Bowl - Central Florida versus Rutgers (-3) - This is the first game in a long line of one of the most profitable betting strategies we have ever seen. Teams that are the underdog and give up less than 100 yards rushing on defense, win the games outright more than 70% of the time. Yes, you heard that right. One quick point to note, both teams can not be under 100 yards, only the underdog. Since we started this website, this strategy has never lost. We usually only see this strategy come into play 1-2 times per bowl season but this is the first of 6 games this year. So based on this simple strategy we are not even going to justify our pick with any other info. Just bet on it! We are taking Central Florida to cover!!!
Central Florida
  • Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Knights are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Knights are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Rutgers
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. CUSA.
  • Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
New Orleans Bowl - Middle Tennessee State versus Southern Miss (-3.5) - These teams look really similar when you line them up stat-wise. Same balanced offense, same balanced defense. One thing these teams do not have in common is bowl experience. Middle Tenn State is going to its second bowl game ever. Southern Miss always goes bowling, 8 straight years and 12 of 13, and even has players on its roster that are familiar with the New Orleans Bowl. The line looks deceptive at only -3.5 and you look at MTSU and see 9-3 SU and 9-3 ATS and it does make you go hmmmm. MTSU has won and covered 6 games in a row and Southern Miss is coming off a loss to ECU. However, Southern Miss has covered three in a row and almost took down Houston. Talent, coaching and experience have us leaning to Southern Miss and we have Flash Flash’s gut feeling for what that is worth. Flash loves betting teams with Golden in their names so he can bust out Golden Shower references. He is the sick of the group! We are taking Southern Miss to win and cover!
Your MTSU Blue Raiders!!!

Your MTSU Blue Raiders!!!

Middle Tennessee State
  • Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. CUSA.
  • Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
  • Blue Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
  • Blue Raiders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
  • Blue Raiders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
  • Blue Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Blue Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Southern Miss
  • Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. S-Belt.
  • Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Golden Eagles are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
The Perfect Ass for the Perfect Weekend!

The Perfect Ass for the Perfect Weekend!

Check back often. We will cover every single bowl game this year.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 15 NFL Winning Picks: We will make you more money than Tiger Woods paid his Mistresses!!! And that is a lot!

RPJ Betting $yndicate - We predicted the exact truth once again, we lost our first game of the week. Jags almost had it but did not come through in the end. Kudos to Peyton & Co. We are now 48-40 on the season. We have a ton of games for you once again. Last week we simply listed them out and went 8-4 so we are not going to mess with what works. If you want any detailed insight, feel free to use our matchup tool on our website or contact us directly via email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com or sign up for our Facebook and/or Twitter feeds (top right of this website) and get in touch with us that way. On with the picks:

Not anymore Tiger!!!

Not anymore Tiger!!!

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-11) - We like the Ravens to win and cover

New England (-7) at Buffalo Bills - We like the Patriots to win and cover

Arizona Cardinals (-13) at Detroit Lions - we like the Lions to pull the cover

Atlanta Falcons at NY Jets (-6) - We like the Jets to win and cover

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) - We like the Eagles to win and cover

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-14) - We like the Broncos to win and cover

Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers (-7) - We like the Bengals to cover

Underdog Strategy - Underdog strategy was 7-9 last week and is now 106-99-2 on the season. Team in bold is the underdog.

Dallas Cowboys (+8) New Orleans Saints

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) - Already have one underdog loser.

Chicago Bears (+11) at Baltimore Ravens

New England at Buffalo Bills (+7)

Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions (+13)

Cleveland Browns (+2) at Kansas City Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons (+6) at NY Jets

San Francisco 49ers (+7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Houston Texans at St. Louis Rams (+12.5)

Miami Dolphins (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans

Oakland Raiders (+14) at Denver Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals (+7) at San Diego Chargers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Green Bay Packers (+2) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+9)

NY Giants at Washington Redskins (+3)

Rich Mistress Jamie Jungers

Rich Mistress Jamie Jungers

Knockout Pool Strategy - Our knockout pool is down to 11 people and we have a bad feeling all 11 are going to take our pick this week. For us, it is a huge no brainer to bet on the Denver Broncos to beat the bag out of the Raiders at home. We would not be surprised if this game was over in the first 5 minutes.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Week 14: Tennessee Titans

Week 15: Denver Broncos

NFL Week 15 Winning Pick: Indianapolis Colts (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

RPJ Betting $yndicate Pick: We had a great week last week coming in at 8-4 and our season record is now 48-39. We are picking at a 55% clip and we want to do better. We know 55% is simply paying the VIG so all we have done is let you bet for free this year but we have not made you any real cold hard cash. We are winning consistently on all accounts and we hope you have been able to leverage that to your benefit.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Indianapolis Colts (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars - There is one thing that is pretty certain, RPJ is horrific this year picking the first games of the week. We are not sure why but it is pretty regular that we suck it early on and start in a hole. That makes our pick in this game even more logical and will probably encourage all of you and the 74% of bettors to pick against us. We also wanted to go with the public on this one upon first glance but our stats numbers really begged to differ. Jacksonville always gives the Colts trouble, the Colts are on the road and the Jags are better on all defensive metrics that matter and are also much better running the ball and competent enough converting third downs on offense. This really screamed to us to play the dog in this one. The one thing that has us the most nervous is that Indy has 30 sacks on the season and the Jags have given up 37 and the Jags have 14 sacks on the season and the Colts have given up 10. This has the potential to make this game a nightmare but we think the Jags will play ball control and keep the ball away from the Colts. And because of that….We are taking the Jaguars to cover!

Indianapolis Colts

Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Jaguars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South.
  • Jaguars are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
  • Jaguars are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Jaguars are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Jaguars are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
  • Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Jaguars are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games on grass.
  • Jaguars are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.
  • Jaguars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
  • Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Jacksonville.
  • Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Sports Betting at the Sportsbook